probability

Probability | Joined since 2014-03-18

Investing Experience Not Disclosed
Risk Profile Moderate

Probability is a measure of 'likeliness' that an event will occur - there are no 100% certainty.

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Stock

2020-01-31 18:07 | Report Abuse

MFCB rock solid though...

Stock

2020-01-31 14:08 | Report Abuse

this WHO declaration is the peak of the hype (even that they did fearing for under developed countries medical capability)...


sell now and never to return...

go for those bashed w/o a fxxking logical impact on fundamentals

seriously

Stock

2020-01-31 14:03 | Report Abuse

you ask the kids in amazon also...or the sundarban mangroves in Bangladesh also know about coronavirus already...

despite the virus being so smart to spread without symptoms...technology and connectivity between humans is far superior now.....

Stock

2020-01-31 14:01 | Report Abuse

even the orang asli in jungles wearing masks now....all carrying hand phones with live coverage of wuhan virus...

Stock

2020-01-31 13:56 | Report Abuse

coronavirus is totally over-hyped..

Due to media accessibility which is far superior and efficient compared to the days SARS almost all patients are being accounted very fast....

soon you will see the no.of infected barely rising (probably in a week)...

and all the hype will be gone...

Stock

2020-01-31 13:53 | Report Abuse

passive smoke...and "nicotine" is the "real virus" which people are addicted to....

no WHO emergency declaration?

since spreading takes place in schools and universities...

Stock

2020-01-31 13:48 | Report Abuse

https://www.bbc.com/news/health-11844169

Passive smoking 'kills 600,000' worldwide

Children are particularly at risk of the effects of passive smoking in their own homes. The first global study into the effects of passive smoking has estimated it causes 600,000 deaths every year.

One-third of those killed are children, often exposed to smoke at home, the World Health Organization (WHO) suggested.

.............

LOL! Passive smoking far more dangerous than Coronavirus.....

200,000 child death a year.
=====================

Stock

2020-01-31 13:45 | Report Abuse

yup...its over...

News & Blogs

2020-01-31 13:14 | Report Abuse

The Permanent Secretary of the Provincial Party Committee paid a visit and encouraged Tet at Hai Duong BOT Thermal Power Plant on the first day of Spring Canh Ty

Sunday 26/01/2020
.................

http://tinhuyhaiduong.vn/news/Pages/new.aspx?ItemID=1749

According to the report of the General Director of the Group, the Plant has now completed Unit 1, and is expected to put into operation and generation by March 2020.

Unit 2 has basically completed 95% of the work, scheduled to operate in October 2020.

In order for the Thermal Power Plant to come into operation, there are still problems in issuing a slag dumping permit to store ash. and during the test run will cause noise and smog, the Plant is looking forward to the province and local people to support.

Speaking at the visit, giving gifts of encouragement to officers and workers of BOT Hai Duong Thermal Power Plant, Mr. Nguyen Manh Hien, Member of the Party Central Committee, Secretary of the Provincial Party Committee, Chairman of the provincial People's Council acknowledged and praised efforts, efforts with the completed works and the construction and installation schedule, expected to put into operation for 2 units.

..........

march 2020 for unit 1 is just "next month"!.
.========================================

Stock

2020-01-31 12:55 | Report Abuse

The Permanent Secretary of the Provincial Party Committee paid a visit and encouraged Tet at Hai Duong BOT Thermal Power Plant on the first day of Spring Canh Ty

Sunday 26/01/2020
.................

http://tinhuyhaiduong.vn/news/Pages/new.aspx?ItemID=1749

According to the report of the General Director of the Group, the Plant has now completed Unit 1, and is expected to put into operation and generation by March 2020.

Unit 2 has basically completed 95% of the work, scheduled to operate in October 2020.

In order for the Thermal Power Plant to come into operation, there are still problems in issuing a slag dumping permit to store ash. and during the test run will cause noise and smog, the Plant is looking forward to the province and local people to support.

Speaking at the visit, giving gifts of encouragement to officers and workers of BOT Hai Duong Thermal Power Plant, Mr. Nguyen Manh Hien, Member of the Party Central Committee, Secretary of the Provincial Party Committee, Chairman of the provincial People's Council acknowledged and praised efforts, efforts with the completed works and the construction and installation schedule, expected to put into operation for 2 units.

.............................

the above is the latest most accurate un-shakkable conclusive news

i really cannot ask anything better than that

Stock

2020-01-31 12:19 | Report Abuse

Thanks for sharing too TST1234
...............................

It is clear the selling was totally on baseless info...purely due to psychological fear.

Stock

2020-01-31 12:16 | Report Abuse

oh, i totally missed that info VIN3133, thank for sharing again:

http://www.aepc1.ceec.net.cn/art/2020/1/27/art_14612_2059900.html

..............................................



"We are here for the Spring Festival this year." Zhu Yiliu, deputy director of the Technical and Quality Department of the Haiyang Project in Vietnam, said that although he cannot return to his hometown during the Spring Festival, there is still a strong sense of year in the project department.
...............................

All the staff on duty and Vietnam ’s territories The workers gathered together to celebrate the coming of the New Year. The friendship of "comrades and brothers" in the "Belt and Road" construction made the meaning of this Spring Festival particularly different.
γ€€γ€€"I hope that through the efforts of the Chinese New Year, I will strive for more time to enable the Haiyang Project in Vietnam to complete the commissioning of Unit 1 with high quality in 2020, effectively solve the problem of local power shortage as soon as possible, drive industrial upgrading, and inject Vietnam's economic and social development. The new kinetic energy adds new achievements to the construction of the β€œBelt and Road”, and presents a gift to the 70th anniversary of the establishment of diplomatic relations between China and Vietnam. At the same time, it also accumulates more experience for the company's international business performance and demonstrates its 'haiyang role' with its achievements. " During the Spring Festival, the project department will arrange a collective dinner, hoping to make frontline workers at home and abroad feel the red fire and strong Chinese New Year thoughts.

Stock

2020-01-31 02:03 | Report Abuse

If you see the H1N1** in 2009, the no. of cases and fatality rate (17.4%) way much higher than Wuhan virus of 2%, refer chart below:

https://i.insider.com/5e32faee24306a25ce0db2ca?width=800&format=jpeg&auto=webp

https://www.businessinsider.com/how-wuhan-coronavirus-compares-to-other-outbreaks-pandemics-2020-1

However, the advent of technology - media accessibility had made Wuhan virus appear "spectacularly way more dramatic".

Key fact market is not figuring out is that the fatality rate is 2%. This is incomparable to what other viruses had caused.

anyway, time will reveal reality....eventually.

Stock

2020-01-31 01:45 | Report Abuse

Why it's a mistake for investors to compare the coronavirus to SARS: Economist

https://finance.yahoo.com/news/mistake-for-investors-to-compare-coronavirus-to-sars-economist-173312864.html

Investors looking to the 2002 to 2003 SARS outbreak as precedent for how global markets and the economy will perform during the current coronavirus developments will receive an imperfect guide, according to economists from at least one firm.

Extrapolating the S&P 500’s performance from during the SARS period to the present would suggest that stocks are going down before recovering. But to do so alone would be β€œamongst the most misguided approaches” to predicting market performance amid the current outbreak, said Tom Porcelli, chief U.S. economist for RBC Capital Markets.

That’s because both the economic backdrop and geopolitical concerns during the SARS outbreak were vastly different than those of the present, making it difficult to directly compare the two situations, he said.

β€œWith the advent of the coronavirus many market participants have dusted off the market reaction in the midst of the SARS epidemic circa 2002/2003. Looking at the tape for that period shows U.S. equities came off nearly 13% from the time the first case of SARS was reported in late 2002 to the 2003 intraday lows,” Porcelli said.

β€œBut one major event at the time makes market reaction analysis with respect to SARS pretty useless – the Iraq War,” he added.

As Porcelli notes, former President George W. Bush’s administration signed off on a resolution authorizing military force against Iraq in mid-October 2002. Developments around the beginning of this war overlapped with the first case of SARS, reported in Guangdong, China, on Nov. 16, 2002.

While the S&P 500’s low that year did come on the same day the World Health Organization issued an emergency declaration over SARS in March 2003, the outbreak’s overall lifespan was too closely aligned with developments with the Iraqi War to ignore their joint impact on markets, Porcelli said. The first invasion of the Iraq War came just a week after the WHO’s alert.

β€œThe point is: How can we possibly disentangle the market reaction to the build-up and start of the Iraq War from that of SARS?
........................................................

We can’t,” he said.


Economic backdrop
.................

The pathological similarities between the SARS virus nearly two decades ago and the current coronavirus have further exacerbated comparisons between the two. Experts have suggested the 2019 virus is genetically similar to SARS, but with clinically milder severity and fatality rates observed so far. The coronavirus has so far resulted in about 170 deaths and more than 8,000 cases worldwide, versus the 774 deaths among more than 8,000 cases reported during the SARS outbreak.

Comparisons in market response to the two outbreaks are less relevant given the differences in economic backdrops during the periods these diseases arose, Porcelli said.

Namely, the U.S. economy was in much weaker shape between 2002 to 2003 than it is in the present.

β€œA massive distinction between now and when the SARS epidemic took hold is in the performance of U.S. economic data,” Porcelli said. β€œOne could make a strong argument that based on the data flow at the time, the U.S. was on the precipice of a double-dip recession.”

In 2002, weekly unemployment claims – a closely watched barometer of the labor market and overall health of the domestic economy – rose to more than 400,000 per week by mid-2003, and the unemployment rate climbed to more than 6%. That compares to a current economy with jobless claims averaging in the low 200,000s and the unemployment rate at a 50-year low of 3.5%.

And on the consumer sentiment side, the Conference Board’s latest consumer confidence index registered at 131.6 in December, nearing all-time highs. The consumer sentiment index in 2003 wallowed at less than half that reading.

β€œThe fundamental backdrop could not be more different,” Porcelli said. β€œBut despite a polar opposite economic backdrop this has not stopped most from falling all over themselves to extrapolate the current phenomenon to 2002/2003.”

Stock

2020-01-30 18:59 | Report Abuse

no way COD date gets affected due to coronavirus....

even if you take the 20,000 as the number of infected, the odds of an engineer from China having it is:

20,000 / 1,400,000,000
= 1 in 100,000

......

further the odds of the engineer having a critical position to direct the commissioning is too low

Stock

2020-01-30 17:57 | Report Abuse

Just using a gap of 1.5 years between the cumulative cash out flow of US$ 1.87 Billion and the first recurring future cash in flow from electricity sales...estimated annual cash in flow would be RM 1.3 Million to obtain an IRR of 12% (6500 hrs).

For sure JAKS will increase their stakes to 40%...and for sure the operating hours will exceed 7200 hrs..

.................

coronavirus can effect businesses worldwide but not utility sector.....

as they days tick we can only get closer to commercial operation

Stock

2020-01-29 22:33 | Report Abuse

'Only high-quality masks can defend against coronavirus'

https://www.nst.com.my/world/world/2020/01/560477/only-high-quality-masks-can-defend-against-coronavirus

β€œEverywhere I go (in addition to a mask) I also bring alcohol and gel sanitiser to clean my hands and avoid areas with Chinese tourists.”

Others wore heavier duty – and more effective – PM2.5 or 3M (N95) masks, in a city shrouded for weeks by damaging pollution.

Fourteen infections, all but one detected in Chinese visitors, have been reported in Thailand, a peak season destination for the tour groups from the mainland.

For chemist Suphak Saphakkul that has led to the most intense panic-buying of medical items he has witnessed since the SARS epidemic in 2002/3.

β€œAll our (mask) suppliers are out of stock. These masks are made in China and the country itself is out of stock,” he said.

Stock

2020-01-29 22:30 | Report Abuse

Only high-quality masks can defend against coronavirus'

January 28, 2020 @ 7:14pm


https://www.nst.com.my/world/world/2020/01/560477/only-high-quality-masks-can-defend-against-coronavirus

Others wore heavier duty – and more effective – PM2.5 or 3M (N95) masks, in a city shrouded for weeks by damaging pollution.

Fourteen infections, all but one detected in Chinese visitors, have been reported in Thailand, a peak season destination for the tour groups from the mainland.

For chemist Suphak Saphakkul that has led to the most intense panic-buying of medical items he has witnessed since the SARS epidemic in 2002/3.

β€œAll our (mask) suppliers are out of stock. These masks are made in China and the country itself is out of stock,” he said.

Stock

2020-01-29 14:47 | Report Abuse

https://gulfnews.com/uae/health/coronavirus-first-case-confirmed-in-uae-1.1580273983681

every hospital everywhere in the world...they will be scrambling for cleanroom apparels....

every public place everywhere in the world ....will soon be compulsory to wear masks..

Stock

2020-01-28 17:57 | Report Abuse

congrats charlest sifu...you deserved it cause you were in supermax for quite sometime!

Stock

2020-01-28 17:53 | Report Abuse

even after no more new cases of patients and fatality....the whole china will stay cautious...

mask will be selling like a compulsory use and throw napkin for all travellers especially in asia..

Adventa already exploded...its time for Mtag

Stock

2020-01-28 17:51 | Report Abuse

it appears to be a long term phenomenon...so demand will persist looks like..

Stock

2020-01-28 17:49 | Report Abuse

ok la...this time we have to respect sifu pang72, charlesT already...

very experienced people..

i admit i dont have their foresight

i only bought mtag today

Stock

2020-01-27 22:56 | Report Abuse

Dsonic should actually benefit from coronavirus due to increased immigration security requirement worlwide and especially for chinese travelling to african countries

News & Blogs

2020-01-27 22:13 | Report Abuse

The video below explains why WHO never declared it as an emergency:

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=q9E1iwUn_d8

simply because it does not spread internationally

Stock

2020-01-27 19:37 | Report Abuse

Condom stocks will limit up!

Stock

2020-01-27 19:37 | Report Abuse

there is an underlying hidden message being transmitted....

those who are functioning at the right frequency...may able to tune into it

Stock

2020-01-27 19:00 | Report Abuse

may need double layered condoms for extra protection from coronavirus

Stock

2020-01-27 18:56 | Report Abuse

Gloves they may buy only one time...

Condoms will be everyday.....

Stock

2020-01-27 18:54 | Report Abuse

Why waste time here on gloves stock?

Condom stocks will limit up...

40 Million chinese locked-down can only make love everyday at home.

Condom is a must for protection against coronovirus!

Stock

2020-01-27 18:54 | Report Abuse

Why waste time here on gloves stock?

Condom stocks will limit up...

40 Million chinese locked-down can only make love everyday at home.

Condom is a must for protection against coronovirus!

News & Blogs

2020-01-27 18:52 | Report Abuse

Condom stock limit up!

40 Million population make-love triple the rate before...only form of exercise/work at home!

News & Blogs

2020-01-27 18:50 | Report Abuse

China people locked-down in house...can only make love!

Condom stocks limit up!

Stock

2020-01-27 18:48 | Report Abuse

Karex limit up tomorrow! Coronavirus protection!

Stock

2020-01-27 15:40 | Report Abuse

exactly buy only you believe sincerely that it is fundamentals that had pushed the price from 1.30 to 1.60...within just 3 days

and that the virus issue is merely a coincidence...

Stock

2020-01-27 15:25 | Report Abuse

in fact chances of death from Wuhan virus after infection is only 2.6%...malaria is 20%...

Stock

2020-01-27 15:06 | Report Abuse

In fact 95% chances are you wont die if you get infected in Wuhan...(statistics says that)

but the odds of surviving on supermax for the next 20 days is very much lower...95% chances certain death..LOL!

Posted by Tedinvestor > Jan 27, 2020 3:01 PM | Report Abuse

You have to get infected in order get immune? I suggest everyone start travelling to Wuhan. Hahaha

Stock

2020-01-27 15:01 |

Post removed.Why?

Stock

2020-01-27 14:15 | Report Abuse

Buying gloves stock is equivalent to "call warrants" expiring in 20 days.

https://www.thestar.com.my/news/regional/2020/01/27/expert-believes-china039s-control-measures-on-wuhan-virus-will-take-effect-in-20-days

BEIJING (Xinhua): Momentum of the Wuhan virus epidemic outbreak may decline in 20 days based on the current prevention and control measures of pneumonia caused by the novel coronavirus (2019-nCoV), a leading virologist said on Sunday (Jan 26).

The increase in confirmed cases recently resulted from people infected with the virus about 20 days ago,
...............................

said Wen Yumei, an academician of the Chinese Academy of Engineering, adding that the current measures are expected to prevent future infection.

The human body will gradually become immune to the microorganism, which may drive an end to the epidemic, said Wen, who is also a professor at a key lab on medical molecular virology in Shanghai.

Noting most patients that are in critical condition have other existing diseases with immune system disorders, Wen said the public does not need to panic, as a large number of those infected will recover with the help of their immune system.

However, effective self-protection measures like wearing masks are needed, as the epidemic is infectious without typical symptoms during the incubation period, said Cao Wei, deputy director with the infection department at the Peking Union Medical College Hospital. -Xinhua

Stock

2020-01-27 14:14 | Report Abuse

Buying gloves stock is equivalent to "call warrants" expiring in 20 days.

https://www.thestar.com.my/news/regional/2020/01/27/expert-believes-china039s-control-measures-on-wuhan-virus-will-take-effect-in-20-days

BEIJING (Xinhua): Momentum of the Wuhan virus epidemic outbreak may decline in 20 days based on the current prevention and control measures of pneumonia caused by the novel coronavirus (2019-nCoV), a leading virologist said on Sunday (Jan 26).

The increase in confirmed cases recently resulted from people infected with the virus about 20 days ago,
...............................

said Wen Yumei, an academician of the Chinese Academy of Engineering, adding that the current measures are expected to prevent future infection.

The human body will gradually become immune to the microorganism, which may drive an end to the epidemic, said Wen, who is also a professor at a key lab on medical molecular virology in Shanghai.

Noting most patients that are in critical condition have other existing diseases with immune system disorders, Wen said the public does not need to panic, as a large number of those infected will recover with the help of their immune system.

However, effective self-protection measures like wearing masks are needed, as the epidemic is infectious without typical symptoms during the incubation period, said Cao Wei, deputy director with the infection department at the Peking Union Medical College Hospital. -Xinhua

News & Blogs

2020-01-27 14:11 | Report Abuse

Expert believes China's control measures on Wuhan virus will take effect in 20 days

https://www.thestar.com.my/news/regional/2020/01/27/expert-believes-china039s-control-measures-on-wuhan-virus-will-take-effect-in-20-days


BEIJING (Xinhua): Momentum of the Wuhan virus epidemic outbreak may decline in 20 days based on the current prevention and control measures of pneumonia caused by the novel coronavirus (2019-nCoV), a leading virologist said on Sunday (Jan 26).

The increase in confirmed cases recently resulted from people infected with the virus about 20 days ago,
...............................

said Wen Yumei, an academician of the Chinese Academy of Engineering, adding that the current measures are expected to prevent future infection.

The human body will gradually become immune to the microorganism, which may drive an end to the epidemic, said Wen, who is also a professor at a key lab on medical molecular virology in Shanghai.

Noting most patients that are in critical condition have other existing diseases with immune system disorders, Wen said the public does not need to panic, as a large number of those infected will recover with the help of their immune system.

However, effective self-protection measures like wearing masks are needed, as the epidemic is infectious without typical symptoms during the incubation period, said Cao Wei, deputy director with the infection department at the Peking Union Medical College Hospital. -Xinhua

News & Blogs

2020-01-27 13:58 | Report Abuse

China detects large quantity of novel coronavirus at Wuhan seafood market

http://www.xinhuanet.com/english/2020-01/27/c_138735677.htm

the above means, most of the living and non living food sold at the market already got contaminated ...and had been consumed by the wuhan residents for quite some time...even storing in their fridge...

these consumers itself can easily reach thousands...

this explains the unusually large victims in wuhan and most importantly...it means

"the virus needs close contact for infecting human"

News & Blogs

2020-01-27 11:13 | Report Abuse

yup, so far all patients reported internationally had directly been in wuhan earlier....

it as though...the virus has a territory in wuhan only...may be it requires an ideal specific temperature during spreading...which wuhan was able to provide

News & Blogs

2020-01-27 10:40 | Report Abuse

these people who are patients in overseas obviously travelled for many hours in confined planes with other nationalities.....and yet there were no cases of other nationality getting infected.

this means the virus requires are much closer contact....as good as being close relatives to get infected

News & Blogs

2020-01-27 01:39 | Report Abuse

there has not been any spreading to the locals in foreign country so far...that's a little reassuring

News & Blogs

2020-01-25 12:20 | Report Abuse

That team hopes to make an RNA vaccine based on one of the crown-like spikes on the surface of the coronavirus that gives the family of viruses their name, an approach that, unlike many vaccines, would not expose people to the virus.

At the University of Queensland in Australia, scientists backed by the global health emergency group the Coalition for Epidemic Preparedness Innovations (CEPI) said they are working on what they describe as a "molecular clamp" vaccine approach.

The technology adds a gene to viral proteins to stabilise them and trick the body into thinking it is seeing a live virus and create antibodies against it

Stock

2020-01-24 00:50 | Report Abuse

and it cannot infect children....mainly only the elderly with weak immune system...


after 1 month less than 20 deaths only

vaccine is easily produceable within 3 months