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2017-04-27 22:08 | Report Abuse
Supermx2 delete his comment is it? I can't find who is the person that valuegrowth complaining. Lol
2017-04-27 10:33 | Report Abuse
Tentatively I don't want invest into aax. Focus on airasia 1st. My cash is very limited now. Lol..
2017-04-26 16:50 | Report Abuse
Today volume not high. I guess all waiting for aac announcement.
2017-04-26 12:00 | Report Abuse
Ai.. I ald cut loss for my genting wa at price 1.52.but swift all to c-49 which have similar gain (about 20%). If not, I think I will really blame myself. Lol..
2017-04-26 07:32 | Report Abuse
If I'm TF, I will buy in with target privatize price 6.00. Free marketing, why not? Lol..
2017-04-25 20:04 | Report Abuse
newbie_Investor, I'm almost can 100% confirm that TF will only buying at this moment. Even AA not perform well, TF wont sell it at this sensitive period. So he buy or sell, not really important. His buying is just a marketing strategy.
2017-04-25 15:43 | Report Abuse
N Im waiting for calvintaneng as well, let him talk more about AA. Hahaha..
2017-04-25 15:43 | Report Abuse
I'm waiting supermx2 to come out and say "sell down" is coming
2017-04-25 14:40 | Report Abuse
sign already but not yet convert them to ringgit. Everything is still in USD. A bit contradict in currency now. The best scenario is get the deal done and convert them into Ringgit at higher price, like 4.4 but after that ringgit strengthen to 4.0.. hahaha... But everything is not perfect. TF cant control the currency as well. but between 4.4 and 4.2 is still ok.. strengthen 10 cent in ringgit is about 3 cent per share lesser in AAC deal in ringgit.
2017-04-25 13:40 | Report Abuse
Busy whole morning and did not check the price. when I check it, it's
close to 3.30 already. Wow.. I have to keep remind myself not to sell it.. not to sell it.. have to wait for the good news on AAC, Q1 Result, dua listing and Special Dividend!!! Must hold till August and review the fundamental again!!!
2017-04-24 23:39 | Report Abuse
Actually I think that the election of france and england, it's not really related to AA. Anyway, this is just my view.
2017-04-22 22:56 | Report Abuse
Dehouse111 really aggressive... Haha.. Even I'm single now with minimal commitment also not so aggressive... I at most sailang my cash only, He really sailang everything! Luckily now he should earn back the housing fund and renovation budget with some "free" airasia share.. Good to him and congrat.
2017-04-22 21:31 | Report Abuse
sorry, my fault. Mixed up with MACQ target price pula. Maybank target price is 3.75.
2017-04-22 20:35 | Report Abuse
The worst investment from him (30M USD get burst in 6 months) is the airline company, Oasis Hong Kong Airlines Limited in year 2007, which is the airline try to copy airasia concept but failed. If Airasia listed in HKSE, i believe that foreign fund will invest it and pump up the capital to help it growth faster.
2017-04-22 20:28 | Report Abuse
Please find the link below for the talk from Datuk Seri Cheah Cheng Hye last month. This is one of the reason that I increase my portfolio for airasia at that time.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=2_YhizrBoys
It is good if you have time to watch it all.
The key highlights for me on this video is from 1:00:00 to 1:12:00
2017-04-22 20:12 | Report Abuse
If jet fuel price go up to USD100, will the demand significant cut down? I doubt so. Profit might not look good but wont go too bad. When the jet fuel price go up to USD100, I believe ringgit will strengthen to 3.50-3.80 also. So it's just a natural hedging and the cost will pass-through to consumers. i'm not worried too much on oil price. Even go down to USD30 for go up to USD100, AA will just operate as usual.
2017-04-22 20:06 | Report Abuse
supersaiyan3, Maybank target price for AA is RM4.00.
2017-04-22 20:04 | Report Abuse
Statistic already show that you no need to increase the price for air ticket to get higher market share now. Try to imagine, with current demand and current air ticket price, all loading factor already close to 90% (malindo, airasia, even MAS). If you cut down the price, how much extra market share will you get? 93% load factor? 95%? To improve the 3-5% load factor but cut down your revenue to total? It doesn't make sense. If all industry can get good profit (or at least cut down losses like MAS), you no need cut down the air ticket price and possible to think about slightly increase the price. But AA play it differently, maintain ticket price and they are more focusing on ancillary income now which have better potential for AA to earn more in future.
2017-04-22 17:24 | Report Abuse
Loading factor for Q1 and Q2 is expected to reach 90% and TF got mentioned that AA will not cut (nor increase) air ticket price due to market pressure. With improving in ancillary income and higher loading factor in FY2017, Im very confidence that AA will do better than FY2016. If you check back Q1 and Q2 result in 2016, then you can roughly guess 2017 result which is superb to me.
2017-04-22 17:17 | Report Abuse
Tjunkie, I understand that there will be a concentration risk. But my investment fund is not much. If diversify too many then I will face some difficulty to plan my investment strategy. I plan to sell 30-40% around July/Aug to reduce my exposure on AA and realize some profit at that time. Too many good news is coming for AA before August and I believe that AA will do better than FY2016. Sound very waste to me if I sell it now.
2017-04-22 16:58 | Report Abuse
Toto, just my personal preference and depend how you set your entry price. If AA drop below 3.05 then I will only use my available cash to collect more but not at price 3.2x. I'm just a small retailer with limited bullet. If I use all money and when AA drop to 2.90, that time you cannot do anything. Can see but no money to buy more. It doesn't mean that AA will drop below 3.0. But anything can happen in market, sometime is irrational and there is a chance for you to grab more. For example, Roll Royce incidence few months ago. There will be some noise happen around AA and you have to prepare yourself to grab the opportunity. Even super undervalue gem will drop even lower price. It is just a natural of market. But if you believe on the philosophy of fundamental analyst, just stay calm and review the valuation and make your call either hold/buy/sell.
There is another good example for united airlines incidence recently. Drop about 1b market cap in 1 day due to 1 incidence? It does not make sense in term of valuation. Will public boycott united airlines due to this incidence? I personally don't think so. People will forget about it after 1 month. Just temporary effect only. Sound similar to Roll Royce cases in AA, right? Lol.. Current price for united airlines already bound back and closed to the price before that incidence. Current price also higher than the price in 1 month before. Mean investors are still very confidence on airline stock and keep adding for united airline.
And my bullet is very limited now. So only can play the card that I have now. Lol
My Current Portfolio:
68% AA
15% C-49
5% TNLogis-Wa
12% Cash
By the way, I'm not sifu. I'm really a newbie in market and try to learn more to avoid some unnecessary mistake in any investment move. Just share my view on AA and this is not a recommendation on sell/buy/hold which I'm not qualify to do so as well.
2017-04-22 15:16 | Report Abuse
Icon8888, if next week reach 3.62, I doubt that you will sell it lo. At most just sell half.. Lol..
I set the timing to review AA valuation instead of price itself. Will review the price again once AA listed in HKSE.
2017-04-22 12:52 | Report Abuse
supermx2, you can kiasi base on your understanding on this share, no one will stop you. But why you want everyone kiasi like you? Base on what leh? Your analyst /opinion / 6th sense? From your comment in i3, I don't think that you able to consult anyone to hold/buy/sell. Including myself, I'm not qualify to consult anyone to hold/buy/sell on airasia.
Myself not an expert as you say, I never bought at 2.2 as well. The cheapest batch that Im currently hold now is 2.30. The highest batch that i bought is 3.07. Is 3.07 expensive? Cheap when the current price is 3.24 and expensive when the price drop to 3.02 last week? You are very funny, man.. This is really typical belated action, 马后炮. I still can recall you say the same thing when the price at 2.6, 2.8, 3.0, 3.2? You will definitely say it again when the price reach 3.40, 3.60, 3.80..
You say 3.2 is expensive base on what? You not event know how to value AA but dare to comment someone buy it too expensive at price 3.2? You can do your own method or study and act accordingly on your investment strategy. But stop comment on others investment strategy. Everyone have their own risk tolerance on certain share. Will I buy more at 3.2x on AA? At this moment, I wont. But if you ask me is AA cheap now? Yes, in term of FA, AA still cheap. That why I still holding it. But I wont recommend any sell/buy/hold. You can do whatever you like since it's your own money. In this forum, just more to information sharing and learn something. But not look for any investment action call.
2017-04-21 17:05 | Report Abuse
Mr Thrump, focus on your US economy. Put aside NK la, their missile pun failed even in short distance. Impossible to risk US la. Quote from Jack Ma:" It is very easy to launch a war if you wish too, but it's almost impossible to stop/terminate the war when it is started.".
World Peace.
2017-04-21 16:59 | Report Abuse
supermx2 , you are really a different level of joker. hahaha.... Up then trap, down then sell down. If you wanna price not move at all, save them into the bank and check them everyday. U will feel secure and safe.
2017-04-21 15:43 | Report Abuse
3.28 will be idea closing price today.. close my pc and off my phone and check the price at 4.50pm later.. haha.. Good luck to all of us..
Feich, i agree with you, TF like to delay a bit one.. too optimistic.. lol.. Mostly probably TF will delay the announcement date. My best guess will be mid of 5 May or 12 May.
2017-04-21 15:35 | Report Abuse
finally C-49 make some move, is it because I over promote it? Hahaha...
2017-04-21 15:32 | Report Abuse
I check the today transaction, a lot of them is 500 biji per transaction one. 150k per transaction. wow.. not sure who are so rich. Can be one of you.. lol..
2017-04-21 15:26 | Report Abuse
supersaiyan3, yes, I invest a lot on AA in term of my portfolio. But my total investment amount is not much actually. compare to you all, i just a small investor. Although Im not agreed with your statement that AA can generate 4b net profit (disposed of AAC is not consider profit to me, my valuation on AAC is 1B USD, but they sold it at price 1B USD, actually no gain in my view), but i still very confidence with AA. AA should at least price at PE 8 or 9 in my view.
2017-04-21 15:15 | Report Abuse
Cruger12345, I already cut loss my genting-wa at price 1.52 and use that money dump into AA C-49. A bit waste since genting-wa perform very well but cannot regret to what I already decided. Congrat to your genting-wa.
2017-04-21 15:01 | Report Abuse
I sold 5% of AA mother at price 3.25 and swift to C-49 with price 0.35. Hope I make the correct move.. really super hard to do nothing.. hand really itchy.. haha...
2017-04-21 13:24 | Report Abuse
stockmanmy, it's not fair to compare long haul airline like AAX vs Airasia. Even you wanna study about their fundamental, why purposely skip their earning (PE) and growing (ROE) comparison. I'm not saying aax is not good, but if you wanna compare them, put them on the same page 1st.
2017-04-21 10:50 | Report Abuse
Should be no announcement today. Dumb dumb hold and wait for next week
2017-04-20 18:55 | Report Abuse
For example, in new acquisition on 50% Stake in Touristly, they can loan to them with 6% while their debt only 5.x% (very good deal in corporate loan, i believe is LIBOR +1.5% only). AA can work exactly like bank.. Lol..
2017-04-20 18:52 | Report Abuse
JN88, no need so complicated la. Currently AA is superb in handling cash. Better than a lot of company and even some bank. If you refer to FY 2016. Financial Income / Cash Available = 7.x% per annum and Finance Cost / Debt = 5.x% per annum. Company like AA able to earn 2% spread leh.. consider very very good liao..
2017-04-20 15:47 | Report Abuse
myself tak tarat chase at this price liao, i just dumb dumb hold..
2017-04-20 15:17 | Report Abuse
base on the supermx2 observation, someone will use berpuluh puluh million to trap small retailer berpuluh puluh thourand like us.. be careful.. hahahaha...
2017-04-20 15:02 | Report Abuse
actually possible to reach 1B if include forex gain in Q1. Anyway, i focus more for operation profit which i estimate 0.5B.
Phew, luckily din crash for india incidence. Whoever fault also never mind la, just make sure dont crash nia..
2017-04-20 11:01 | Report Abuse
hopefully is tomorrow make the announcement, then C-38 will fly although I din hold any C-38. Lol..
2017-04-19 21:42 | Report Abuse
supermx2, I really dont know what is your intention to be here. If you want to have case study about AA, just do it properly. I can summaries what is your current comment for all the scenarios:
1. High volume - manipulated by someone, try to trap you
2. Low volume - something wrong, no one buy, will sell down soon
3. Closed with green - someone would like to trap you
4. Closed with red - sell down, run run run..
No FA statement to support at all. Although i dont know about TA, I also know that all of these are non TA related statement.
Forget about spread fear over here and try to gain someone. Even everyone here is very fear also hard to move down AA 1 cent la.. If you wanna spread fear, polish your skill with supported statement please.
Hope that you able to sell your AirAsia-HC, if not, it's worth nothing now. Dont think that someone will buy from you now at this moment.
2017-04-19 17:23 | Report Abuse
Icon8888, so far many IB also mentioned that 900M USD for 100% stake of AAC is the lowest price. Should not be a problem la.. worth RM1.18 per share already. I also hope that it can transact faster. If night too long will dream a lot. Like strengthen in ringgit, etc.. Haha... Let say after transaction done then ringgit become strengthen, this TF really genius or damn lucky, the timing to dispose asset is super accurate.
2017-04-19 17:08 | Report Abuse
This 3.20 wait till neck pun long liao, should reach much earlier after annual dividend announcement. If within syria booming, now should reach 3.30 liao.. cheers!!!
2017-04-19 16:52 | Report Abuse
Maybe this Friday will make announcement then everyone can have a good long weekend. Hahaha..
2017-04-19 16:46 | Report Abuse
50m transactions today. Make it 100m pls. Lol
2017-04-19 16:36 | Report Abuse
Seem like C-49 is not that popular. Even C-49 negative prem but transaction is not as high as C-45 and C-47.
2017-04-19 16:23 | Report Abuse
see the q at 3.18 and 3.20. Is it a sign that big fund is collecting at 3.19 and try to set huge volume at buying price 3.18 and selling price 3.20? Lack of TA knowledge, appreciate if someone can teach me.
2017-04-19 13:23 | Report Abuse
opps, sorry. Terpress someone comment in Pmetal as abuse. hahahah..
Stock: [CAPITALA]: CAPITAL A BERHAD
2017-04-29 16:31 | Report Abuse
ning88, mine is 6 working days, maybe boz they sent to non-klang valley area will take a little bit longer.