Warren buffet says the ultimate investor go for low risk high reward mah....!!
Don listen...who is naive....high return must undergo high risk loh...!! This is craps loh....usually utter by naive & people who do not understand what is ultimate investment loh...!!
The below are stockmanmy's pick and Ooi Teik Bee's pick based on the closing price on 29/4/2016.
Let us check the performance on 30/12/2016.
Bornoil 0.15 X 14,000 = 2100 CBIP - 2.25 X 900 = 2025 Ekovest - 1.42 X 1500 = 2130 Ecoworld - 1.29 X 1500 = 1935 Taan - 4.79 X 200 = 958 Jtiasa - 1.35 x 700 = 945 Total capital = 10093
Actual performance on 30/12/2016 Bornoil 0.18 X 14,000 = 2520 CBIP - 1.97 X 900 = 1773 Ekovest - 2.38 X 1500 = 3570 Ecoworld - 1.34 X 1500 = 2010 Taan - 3.95 X 240 = 948 (1 for 5 BI) Jtiasa - 1.34 x 700 = 938 Total capital = 11759 Total gain = +1666 or +16.50%
My pick Gamuda-WE - 0.995 X 4,000 = 3,980 Gadang - 2.08 X 600 = 1,248 Gkent - 1.71 X 800 = 1,368 Kimlun-WA - 0.705 X 1,600 = 1,128 Pohuat-WB - 0.675 X 2,000 = 1,350 WTK - 1.20 X 1,000 = 1,200 Total capital = 10,274
Actual performance on 30/12/2016 Gamuda-WE - 1.21 X 4,000 = 4,840 Gadang - 1.05 X 1500 = 1,575 (1 split into 2 and 1 for 4 BI) Gadang-WB - 0.42 x 300 = 126 (Free WB) Gkent - 3.04 X 1000 = 3,040 (1 for 4 BI) Kimlun-WA - 0.67 X 1,600 = 1,072 Pohuat-WB - 0.775 X 2,000 = 1,550 WTK - 0.995 X 1,000 = 995 Total capital = 13,198 Total gain = +2,924 or +28.46%
Summary stockmanmy gain +1666 or +16.50% OTB - Gain +2,924 or +28.46%
I wish to post this record here for reference to avoid future argument.
I used the below magic formulae to select stocks to beat stockmanmy. I used Margin Of Safety > 30% I used EV/EBIT < 8 I used (22.5*EPS*Total Equity/share)^0.5 I used IV= (EPS*(7.5+1.5g)*4.4)/Y I used Discounted Cash Flows Calculator I used ROIC (Equity) > 12% I used ROE > 10% I also used the followings :- CFFO > 50% Net Profit Price to CFFO <= 15 Free Cash Flow > 30% Net Profit Price to Free Cash Flow <=20 Cash Yield > 4% Earnings Yield > 12% Price / Book Value < 1.5 Interest Coverage > 9
I am not an accountant, I want to talk on facts and figures only.
B Graham and Value investors very popular around here , isn't it.?
I suppose we can all put the financial information in a spread sheet, apply a magic formula, and puff, out comes the answer...............and wait, and wait and wait for the magic formula to work its magic.
But B Graham died a long time ago, even before there is the internet.
Nobody dreams of using a horse carriage travelling to work, but people don't mind being suckered...if it is about a possibility for some money.
On stock picking, if I am to recommend one guru, one tip, it would have to be William O Neal and his CANSLIM....go google it your self
On the objective of all good strategies........don't get killed if wrong, makes a killing when right. If you can do that, you can be rich as KYY.
All chemical reactions need a catalyst. Have you got a catalyst? How strong is the catalyst? Is it reliable, dependable? Got a sponsor/ sponsors?
I will end this with 3 quotes from him..................
Quotes
"Since the market tends to go in the opposite direction of what the majority of people think, I would say 95% of all these people you hear on TV shows are giving you their personal opinion. And personal opinions are almost always worthless … facts and markets are far more reliable."
"The whole secret to winning and losing in the stock market is to lose the least amount possible when you're not right."
"What seems too high and risky to the majority generally goes higher and what seems low and cheap generally goes lower."
When I built the three portfolios above, maximization of profits is never the number one criterion, all three were built to show what a well diversified, defensive portfolio and capital protection looks like taking into account business sense, management and numbers and William O Neal CANSLIM.
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稻田·* 片片绿青~粒粒芳香
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Posted by 稻田·* 片片绿青~粒粒芳香 > 2017-04-09 17:44 | Report Abuse
Some ppl like "pork free" while some still excited to see "free pork"
So wat say you?