i think many misunderstood what trump means, or did not read deeper what trump really wan in his mind, trump ultimate target is to grow US economy, naturally inflation will go up along the way, then interest rate has to go up. this will create super strong USD which will hurt trump GDP target. what he want is USD to stay as it is now without further strengthen too much, preparing a conducive environment to supercharge US economy. strong USD is here to stay. remember current US interest rate is really low, no way near to level where economy really hot.
USD/MYR is determined by strongness of USD and MYR. As long as two more rate hikes in 2017 are on the table, USD will not weaken so much. Ringgit may get stronger in a few month. But as long as USD is strong enough, USD/MYR is not likely to plunge. USD's being strong enough means two more rate hikes in 2017 on the table.
1. All macro data suggests a weak malaysian ringgit, but bank negara already cut off all tools avaiable for anyone to make it weak, so the strength of myr is highly correlated to import, export activities.
2. Trump maybe questionable in a lot of decisions he made, but he got means to get things done.
If it is so easy to talk a currency up or down, every gomen would have done it long ago. No need to rein in deficit. No need to move interest rates up or down. Can overspend like no tomorrow.
I agree with Icon, all these are some burst of hot air to pander to the fantasies of futures traders.
The Plaza Accord type of intervention leads to the recession that Japan never recovered. It also leads to the 1997 Asian crisis.
US will go to war if its economy is in depression. Beware of war started by US to make a US war economy. US war economy benefiting & prospering US economy. Trump had shown to the world that he was trigger happy with dispensing bombs in Syria & Afghan. SAD things happen in 2017.
America is not what I always assumed them to be when I was young. They could start a war by planting false flags. I saw this more clearly when OOOpama & Highclinooton were in power and now, you could see why Trump won the Presidency in many, many U-tube series...
Taiko Icon8888 gives a good description. Let's pray that there is no war so that everybody can live the lives that he is familiar with - no additional stress please.
SEOUL (Reuters) - A North Korean missile "blew up almost immediately" on its test launch on Sunday, the U.S. Pacific Command said, hours before U.S. Vice President Mike Pence was due in the South for talks on the North's increasingly defiant arms programme but fails to launch missile. ...........................
How this Monday? stock down bcos Nkor test missile on Sun 16? Fat boy doesn't care abt US aircraft carrier been sent to Korea. For Fat Boy, if Nkor die , US also die together. Nkor has nothing to lose bcos it is a poor nation but US has every thing to lose. Sad :-(
KEY PRINCIPLES TO INVESTING IN A STOCK In this article we look at the four keys that we believe every stock investment should have. These are not new things but rather the core principles that successful investors have been following for decades.
1. Invest in sectors and industries that you understand –
Becoming an expert in certain areas of the market will give you an upper hand when it comes to selecting stocks to buy. This is like a foundation for all other steps that follows. Pick a given sector or industry and try to get information on it as much as possible. This will enable you to make informed decision when it comes to buying stock.
2. Find companies with a Long-Term Competitive Advantages –
Companies with long-term competitive advantage have an ”economic moat” i.e. Economic protection. These companies have the following advantages:
A recognized brand. The ability to produce products cheaper than anyone else. The ability to sell their products cheaper than anyone else. Barriers to entry that make it difficult for competitors or new companies to compete. The opportunity to grow at a cheaper cost than anyone else. A duopoly situation where two companies dominate the industry like Airbus or Boeing. Networking effect where the users of the product or service makes the business more valuable like Google.
3. Look for companies with Excellent Management –
This can be done by reading annual and quarterly reports and studying the history of the company’s current management in an attempt to understand what the management is currently doing and what they may do in the future. You can look at the following:
The management’s history of decision-making. Do they have a track record of someone who we would actually hire if given a choice? Understanding how management is compensated. Is their compensation based upon the success of the firm? Ensuring that management is shareholder friendly. Do they do things that have the best interest of shareholders in mind? These questions will help you to answer the question as to whether or not we trust the management enough to purchase the stock.
4. Buy When the stock is at a Good Price. Discounted to Intrinsic Value —
Find stocks that are currently trading below the market price. If you can be able to find stocks that are trading below their intrinsic value and have the other three core principles then we would have the formula for a sound stock investment. If you find a stock with the first 3 principles but is not trading below the market price, then it is better you wait. Any investor should know that the price at which he/she pays at, is a critical piece of investing. If you get it wrong then the investment will have a hard time making money.
Bottom Line
When all the four principles align then the possibilities of making money increase, though this does not guarantee that you will make money but rather increases the probability of making money.
Trump sabre-rattling on North Korea has a flaw: Kim Jong-un has nothing to lose CBS News-- The Guardian 5 hours ago
Strategy of sending in the US navy and attacking Syria and Afghanistan likely only to boost Pyongyang's nuclear resolve. .............................. Me →There u have this. Kim got nothing to lose if US chooses war.
I think excess risk-off sentiment will be corrected on Monday as there was no nuclear test in North Korea on 15 April. Stocks especially small caps are expected to rebound.
I mean....no catalysts from exchange gains....but exchange rates is just a component of trade...a medium of exchange and valuation....but does not destroy the whole trade.
Posted by stockmanmy > Apr 27, 2017 12:09 AM | Report Abuse
a weaker US$ does not destroy Malaysian exports.
I mean....no catalysts from exchange gains....but exchange rates is just a component of trade...a medium of exchange and valuation....but does not destroy the whole trade.
This book is the result of the author's many years of experience and observation throughout his 26 years in the stockbroking industry. It was written for general public to learn to invest based on facts and not on fantasies or hearsay....
yfchong
5,863 posts
Posted by yfchong > 2017-04-14 20:10 | Report Abuse
icon w new article.