when Iris sold its 1.1bil Niise project to Tass Tech, Niise got cancelled now Redtone sold its 400mil Mygovuc to Awantec for 300mil, how come govt no cancel Mygovuc? Tak adil ni!
MY E.G. Services Remains underappreciated ■ We raise our EPS estimates following our conversation with management as revenues from blockchain should grow with wider adoption of its applications. ■ Related development expenditure should fall as MyEG looks for greater monetisation, which should bring down gearing levels and improve FCF. ■ Reiterate Add with a higher TP of RM1.15. Valuation at 11.8x FY24F P/E fully reflects policy risks, in our opinion, but ignores EPS upside from other areas. Blockchain revenue mix to continue to rise We raise our FY24-25F EPS by 5-7% and introduce FY26F estimates, following our conversation with the management. We raise FY24-25F revenue contribution from blockchain but lower transportation revenues given the rapid market share decline for its renewal services. We estimate that MyEG generated c.RM90m in total revenues (12% revenue mix) from its blockchain segment in FY23, with majority anchored by Zetrix token sales. Going into FY24F, we expect this to rise to RM143m, forming 18% of total revenue. We understand that management aims to issue c.1m Zetrix tokens per quarter through the two exchanges that the token is listed on. Management also guided that Malaysia-China ZTrade (a blockchain-based cross-border customs trade solution) could go live in May 2024, coinciding with the 50th anniversary of Malaysia-China diplomatic relations. This development is a key milestone that comes ahead of other governments’ efforts, i.e. the Philippines and Indonesia are also looking to onboard the platform. Additionally, we expect the group’s development cost to fall to c.RM150m in FY24F from c.RM460m in each of FY22-23 as the current platform reaches operational readiness, likely leading to FCF improvement and lower gearing level from 22% in FY23 to 10% in FY24F. Immigration segment should still fare well in FY24F We believe the immigration segment could continue to benefit from vibrant foreign worker hiring activities in FY24F. The Malaysian government has set 31 May 2024 as the deadline for employers to bring in foreign workers in the formal sector, with the aim to reach c.2.5m total registered workers by mid-2024F, from 2.13m as of Feb 2024. This should expedite further sourcing of foreign workers by employers with hiring quota, which we believe will benefit MyEG’s permit renewal and job matching businesses and cushion the ongoing decline in transportation segment revenue due to digitalisation of Road Transport Department services, which has dented MyEG’s legacy renewal services. Maintain Add; raise TP to RM1.15 We maintain our Add call on MyEG with a higher GGM-derived TP of RM1.15 (we lift our sustainable ROE from 18.2% to 18.8%) due to its attractive valuation (11.8x FY24F P/E, at close to 1 s.d. below its post-General Election 14 average of 16.2x) and potential EPS upside from its blockchain business. Key downside risks are non-extension of its current concession services, loss of market share in ancillary businesses, and new blockchain solutions failing to materialise. Potential re-rating catalysts are sustained strong blockchain sales and award of new concession services from both local and foreign governments.
To MyEg die hards, i have one question to ask. If you look at MyEg qtrly result. Very beuatiful. But before that , Short term loan is 142m rgt . Long term loan is $704m rgt. Assuming effective loan interest is 7%, that means interest charges per year is about $59.2m. Now if you take a look at MyEg last 4 qtrs profits, PBT and PAT are pratically the same. Dont MYEG have to pay tax? Do I miss something?
This book is the result of the author's many years of experience and observation throughout his 26 years in the stockbroking industry. It was written for general public to learn to invest based on facts and not on fantasies or hearsay....
heesing62
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Posted by heesing62 > 2024-03-29 18:12 | Report Abuse
Something not right with Myeg. Share price stagnant despite all the good news past 2 months.