[Valuations We maintain Fibon’s target price at RM0.37/share, b ased on unchanged 7x FY14 EPS. Note that Fibon’s share price has advance d 18% since early August, we downgrade Fibon to Sell from Hold previously, as we believe the share price has already run ahead of its fundamentals.]
My usual questions are:
1) why based on valuation of Fibon at 7 times Earnings? Why not 5 times, 10 times, 15 times? 2) Fibon has an excess cash of 20 sen per share. Has TA taken this into account in its valuation? 3) What if Fibon has a net debt of 20 sen per share but still earns the same EPS, will the valuation still the same? If yea or no, why? 4) What if Fibon distribute all this excess cash as special dividend. And it is still debt free. Will the valuation still the same?
the group has continued to reward its shareholders by distributing 20%-25% of its net profits since listing. We understand that Fibon has an intention to raise its dividend payout ratio gradually to c. 45%-50% in view of the group’s steady business growth.
kcchongnz, after fibon rally to 0.40, i thought i can't buy cheap anymore, i set tp 0.32 to buy and waited for almost a month, finally grab at 0.32 on fri, suddenly kenanga today give tp 0.40
hiddengem...v difficult to c it down unless u expect another tsunami in our stock market...0.34 will stand as support,may even break new high med term.
My humble opinion on KC Chong's portfolio - Time Horizon:
I think that time horizon on Fibon for KC Chong is years. But many of you were talking about half session, day or week. That deviates from the message behind KC Chong’s analysis. KC Chong is waiting for the duckling to grow to a beautiful White Swan, while you are talking about if the duckling gets fat tomorrow so that you can slaughter and eat it as Peking Duck. For those who do not have patient, I think KC Chong’s portfolio will likely disappoint you. What do you think ?
This book is the result of the author's many years of experience and observation throughout his 26 years in the stockbroking industry. It was written for general public to learn to invest based on facts and not on fantasies or hearsay....
inwest88
5,628 posts
Posted by inwest88 > 2013-08-13 21:13 | Report Abuse
It's a stock pick by kcchongnz very recently. Up 20% since then.