Soon...$1.80, then $1.90...tgt is $2 at least, at which point, the return on capital is still 53%, far higher than the 29% just before the ex-date of the previous SBagan shr distribution!
Prediction fulfilled!!! Another bullseye!!!🎯🎯🎯 I can now terminate another $8,595.68 of margin loans on Kuchai if I so choose!🙆✌🍾 POOR CharlesT can go fly LOSERS' kite...🎃
YIPPeeeeeEEEEEE!!! Equal 2024 high( & 8 year high to boot!)!!! $2.00 by 8th May!!! Another bonus is that it looks like nobody else is here...the less participants( ie speculators), the higher it can rise!🤗
TRIPLE Jackpot for me! Great Eastern bought last yr Mar for S$17.52☝ Kuchai bought 64 lots since 2022 @ $1.78 avg incl margin interest✌ & SBagan bought 10 lots since 2015 @ $3.11 avg!💰💰💰
Averaged UP @ 2.08 just now. As a point of interest, Kuchai's holdings in Great Eastern @ the takeover price alone is worth 2.13, not including the 66-68c in cash per shr once the latter's dividend is credited & disregarding all the other assets(Emerald Hill S'pore shophouse & 8 ha Semenyih land)
I'm disappointed by the CAP AYAM standard of the Edge's articles(which is why I have refused to buy a single copy of their publications since 2016...crammed with dvmb ads!) The shareholders' approval was given 4 days ago BUT the deal needs to wait until 3Q '24 to be completed. There's still room for adjustments since the OCBC takeover could be completed b4 then so the 188 mil equities specified in the original deal could turn into 263.9 mil CASH which is a significant difference from the balance sheet position when the deal was entered into. Furthermore, many minority Great Eastern holders are dissatisfied that the deal is proposed @ 0.8 X the fair value of the biz, so the offer could potentially go UP ! OCBC failed to take it over in 2004 & 2006 so I doubt they won't raise the bid just to get it RIGHT this time...
Like I said, the transfers of ownership have presumably not yet been executed as the EGM approval has to precede it & that approval was only obtained 6 days ago. The latest dividend from 3.032 million GEastern shrs will be credited to Kuchai, NOT SBagan.
Whether the deal could go through would not matter much. Through the various proposals from the holding and associated companies, we can visualize how valuable and precious the assets are owned by Kuchai !!! In other words, the share price might not have reflected its intrinsic value which only the insiders can know before the revaluations.
Averaged UP @ 2.08 just now. As a point of interest, Kuchai's holdings in Great Eastern @ the takeover price alone is worth 2.13, not including the 66-68c in cash per shr once the latter's dividend is credited & disregarding all the other assets(Emerald Hill S'pore shophouse & 8 ha Semenyih land) 3 days ago
Kuchai Development, will distribute the Sg Bagan shares to shareholders . It will distribute the shares on the basis of 222 Sg Bagan shares for every 1,000 Kuchai Development shares held.
That's why the Edge is dvmb...cap ayam reporting...this deal is not a win-lose deal: it's win-win for both companies.If SBagan continues to rise, Kuchai shareholders will get MORE so the OCBC takeover benefits both enormously!
I think coming from the angle that Kuchai could have gotten more. Is there any possibility of adjustment or go around certain conditions to what was agreed at the EGM so that Kuchai will get a fairer deal?
Sg Bagan will take over all assets and liabilities of Kuchai. All benefits are going to Sg Bagan. Kuchai is just a shell company. Might as well buy Sg Bagan in the open market rather than wait for that 222 shares.
Great Eastern closes UP 73c on the SGX on fairly high vol of 165,100 shrs, nearly 3% above OCBC's offer. This can only be good for both Kuchai & SBagan as they are unlikely to need to accept the bid & can keep the viable option to sell on the open market instead.
Can Kuchai's shareholders still negotiate for a better deal from Sg Bagan after they have voted for the resolution? Extending the date will not make any difference to the resolution. .
Based on the approved resolution, Sg Bagan will definitely take over the assets and liabilities of Kuchai first before they will sell their GE shares to OCBC. I don't think Sg Bagan will allow Kuchai to sell direct to OCBC.
This book is the result of the author's many years of experience and observation throughout his 26 years in the stockbroking industry. It was written for general public to learn to invest based on facts and not on fantasies or hearsay....
AhPek
139 posts
Posted by AhPek > 2024-04-18 17:15 | Report Abuse
Is this a good deal for KDB's shareholders?