This is a pure speculative stock. Based on the public info, it does not seem to have any corporate exercise planned. Appeal of this stock is purely based on technical.
The company posted a net loss of RM10.5mil in FY18. It would have been worst if not for the reversal of write off of receivables (RM26mil) and sudden high profit from associate (RM13mil). However, the biggest issue with the company is its very weak balance sheet. As of Dec 18, the company has a total of RM410mil current liabilities (of which RM 184mil is debt) and only RM101mil in current asset (of which only RM4 mil cash). This was also highlighted by its auditor, PwC, back in May 2018 when it issue a statement of material uncertainty related to the going concern of the group (https://www.thestar.com.my/business/business-news/2018/05/02/zelan-external-auditors-uncertain-over-its-outlook-after-losses/) . I would assume the same statement will be made later when the FY18 annual report is out in May. Investors need to take note.
If you are looking to hedge your portfolio outside of Zelan (due to its weak earnings outlook and weak balance sheet), I would recommend you to look at MBMR. (https://klse.i3investor.com/servlets/stk/pt/5983.jsp)
MBMR is a direct proxy to Perodua via its 22.6% interest in the company. Valuation is cheap at only 6.1x PE based on FY18 profit of RM166mil. PB is low at only 0.7x BV.
FY19 should deliver another profit growth year to the company. Profit growth will again be driven by the performance of Perodua (via MBMR 22.6% holdings in Perodua) from the still strong sales of new Myvi, sales of SUV Aruz and the introduction of the newly revamp Alza sometime in the 2H19. Aruz which commands a higher margin compared to other models, will help improve the total profit margin of Perodua (which will flow to MBMR’s bottom line as well).
MBMR is expected to achieve a profit of RM200mil in 2019. At the current share price, the company is being valued at only 5.0x which is a lot lower than the industry average of 15x PE. As an example, UMW (another company with exposure to Perodua) is currently trading at a PE multiple of almost 20x.
Guys, read the quarter announcement properly. If there is no reversal of write off of receivables, do you think the company can turn green? Be cautious. University income is expected to come in not confirmed will come in. Read the announcement properly.
Asia88... Arbitration verdict out in June of July. Things are looking up ahead. Stupid client didn't pay the progress claim then blame it on quality and subsequently terminate. Typical. A big windfall fr the case is expected.
Mike Chong: the university project concession income will only come in when the government approve it.
Note 13:The issuance of Certificate of Acceptance for this project which will be effective from 1 December 2018, is now pending Government’s approval.The income from the IIUM project which will commence in the first half of 2019 will enable the Group to have a stable income stream for the tenure of the concession.
Extracted from quarter announcement:.
Will come in but pending government approval. Not confirmed. Ok.
Zelan ... Wow Wow Wow ... Go more Go more .. I believe you can fly .. lets go further , even 0.20+ .. more and more people will come n support you now !! .. They already fall in Love with you .. :)
Congratulations everyone. It took guts to buy in at 0.05 and 0.06...now reap what you sowed... But bear in mind the windfall is the arbitration... June July.
This book is the result of the author's many years of experience and observation throughout his 26 years in the stockbroking industry. It was written for general public to learn to invest based on facts and not on fantasies or hearsay....
traders888
142 posts
Posted by traders888 > 2019-03-07 15:25 | Report Abuse
why