FY18 marks the 3rd consecutive years of losses for the group. However, some investors have become slightly optimistic on the company’s outlook based on the profit of 4Q18. But if you take out the RM26.3mil reversal in writedown of trade receivables and the RM1.2mil writeback on receivables, 4Q18 would have resulted in a core net loss of a whopping -RM22.9mil. This would bring the total core net loss in FY18 to around -RM38mil. Expect the company to continue making losses in FY19 as well given that the outlook for the construction industry in general is still quite challenging with reviews, cost cutting, cancelation and delays of large projects by the government.
That being said, the biggest issue with Zelan is actually its weak balance sheet. As of Dec 18, the company has total current liabilities amounting to RM410mil (RM184mil is in short term debt) and only RM101mil in current assets (with cash of only RM4mil). The company will likely need to raise capital from the market soon in order to strengthen its balance sheet.
If you are looking to hedge your portfolio outside of Zelan (due to its weak earnings outlook and weak balance sheet), I would recommend you to look at MBMR. (https://klse.i3investor.com/servlets/stk/pt/5983.jsp)
MBMR is a direct proxy to Perodua via its 22.6% interest in the company. Valuation is cheap at only 6.9x PE based on FY18 profit of RM166mil. PB is low at only 0.8x BV.
FY19 should deliver another profit growth year to the company. Profit growth will again be driven by the performance of Perodua (via MBMR 22.6% holdings in Perodua) from the still strong sales of new Myvi, sales of SUV Aruz and the introduction of the newly revamp Alza sometime in the 2H19. Aruz which commands a higher margin compared to other models, will help improve the total profit margin of Perodua (which will flow to MBMR’s bottom line as well).
MBMR is expected to achieve a profit of RM200mil in 2019. At the current share price, the company is being valued at only 5.7x which is a lot lower than the industry average of 15x PE. As an example, UMW (another company with exposure to Perodua) is currently trading at a PE multiple of almost 20x.
Two SUKE project which cancelled from others company being awarded to Muhibah and MRCB , TNB to Sunway. GITT is now axed ,news relocate to Labu , Zelan ......
up from 0.025 untilnow near 400% profit My Pw only 100% I miss see Zelan if buy Zelan capital up 4 times congr to allZelan , actually Zelan got future got MMC support I last time want buy but busy so miss this super power Zelan only untung from Pwort and AZ AHMAD ZAKI RESOURCES BHD both profit about 100% also cannot win if only buy Zelan from 2.5 to 10.5 Best of the best this year is Zelan
This book is the result of the author's many years of experience and observation throughout his 26 years in the stockbroking industry. It was written for general public to learn to invest based on facts and not on fantasies or hearsay....
longvalley
2,287 posts
Posted by longvalley > 2019-03-19 21:51 | Report Abuse
Zelan on the GO.......!