I like Haikeyila's finding on Nestle on 27.11.13. At kind of ROE Nestle will hit RM 100.00 in the future, if it continues with same ROE.By the way Dutch Lady has similar ROE so the counter will do well if it maintains that kind of ROE. Friends, you musrr know who runs PM Corp, in fact it is lucky it is not transferred to PN17 listing.
The Revenue & Dividend have both dropped for this quarter. Actually, I knew it earlier but result at last confirm these facts:
Although Dutch Lady is a Star Performer in KLSE Dutch Lady Milk is vulnerable to competition. You see - milk has low barrier to entry. Just like biscuit, curry puff & nasi lemak - any Tom, Dick or Harry can also start a business anytime.
At long last Dutch Lady has a Formidable Opponent in Greenfields Milk.
Greenfields Milk, a leading Diary Producer in South-East Asia is EXPANDING AGGRESSIVELY INTO THE MALAYSIAN MARKET.
At present it is producing 2 million liters of Milk a year - and in 3-4 years Milk production will increase to 10 Million liters a year. This spells trouble for Dutch Lady. Greenfields Milk already captured 35% Market Share in Singapore, Hong Kong & Indonesia.
Here in Singapore NTUC Fair Price Supermarket - Big Billboards Display words like
----------GREENFIELDS MILK_____________
THE HONEST MILK............THE HONEST MILK..........THE HONEST MILK..........
Yes, Singaporeans are turning to GENUINE HONEST MILK in droves!
The Price is competitive with aggressive price war of offers! Taste is Fresh & Nice!
Many Singaporeans have already switched to Greenfields Milk years ago.
As such the Revenue & Dividend of Dutch Lady will be impacted for years to come.
For Dividend why not switch to OPCOM
Reasons?
1) OPCOM has High barrier to entry. A strong moat.
2) OPCOM has Zero Debt
3) CASH RICH & Give A Better Dividend than Dutch Lady at 8% to 22%.
4) Just Received a Fresh RM63 Million Orders From Telekom Malaysia.
Greenfields Milk is Available in Cold Storage & Giant Supermarkets. Other Companies that will also be impacted are F&N, Nestle and other Milk related Producers.
Be The First To Know. The Flow of Information precedes the Flow of Wealth.
In this case, "The Flow of Information warns you to avoid losses & preserve wealth."
Ha!Ha! Why it took Ken almost 3 months to give a reply?
Do you think the this Overvalued Dutch Lady is impregnable? Greenfield Milk Has Captured 30 - 35% of the Indonesia Market. And Greenfield Milk IS NOW IN MALAYSIA - providing Genuine & Honest Milk to Gloria Jeans Coffee Outlets!
Management Has Indicated Aggressive Production & Promotion in Malaysia RIGHT NOW. Check Out These Facts.THESE ARE FACTS! OPEN YOUR EYES!
So Dutch Lady Has No Barrier To Entry For This Formidable Competitor.
OPCOM IS A MONOPOLY Compared to Dutch Lady which is not. OPCOM Is JUST LIKE OKA. THE NEED FOR HIGHWAY DRAINAGE HAS PROPELLED OKA SALES IN REPEATED ORDERS OR ORDERS
SO IS OPCOM - A VAST NEED FOR THE MALAYSIAN INFORMATION HIGHWAY FOR YEARS TO COME. KOREA HAS ALMOST 100% BROADBAND PENETRATION. MALAYSIA HAS ONLY 30% OR LESS! SO THERE IS VAST ROOM FOR EXPANSION!
AND CHECK OUT THE CASH PAY OUT & DIVIDENDS AT OPCOM BEFORE PASSING YOUR PRECONCEIVED WARPED NOTIONS!
I HAVE PROMOTED TUDOR GOLD AS THE HALAL CHOCOLATES. MANY HAVE THOUGHT I CONCOCTED THIS. NOW THE MALAYSIA HEALTH DEPARTMENT HAS COME OUT TO SAY THAT 2 TYPES OF CADBURY CONTAIN PIG INGREDIENTS!
SEE! I HAVE BEEN PROVEN ACCURATE AT LAST!
AND I WILL ALSO BE PROVEN TRUE IN MY PROGNOSIS OF THE FUTURE PROSPECT OF THIS DUTCH LADY -
BE CAREFUL - ANOTHER YOUNG VIBRANT LADY HAS APPEARED - IN THE NAME OF "GREENFIELD MILK"
Those Who Still Hold Dutch Lady Might Someday Go Back Home With This Dutch Lady To Holland!.
Seriously, I don't give a damn to bullshits. Whether the reply is written by me or not, whether it took 3 months or not, it's not even a concern of mine. I don't come to this place often. This place does not encourage healthy & meaningful discussions. Which is why I rather hang out at Investalks. What I did is copy meaningful replies from Investalks to here, knowing the fact that meaningful reply will get a "you're bullshiting" response. I will never drop by here again. Wasting my time to deal with person with big mouth full of bullshiting.
Goodbye and goodluck. Go ahead and call me a coward. I have seen worse.
Hi Calvin: Good strategy! Now i can buy DLady. But if DLady can give 2 times dividend per year (1.1 x 2) then i can get more Golden Eggs. If the management do that, DLady share go up & share holder also happy. Win win situation lah. Nothing to loose. Think smarter. Ha..ha...Thanks a lot.
When we invest longer term as oppose to punting we should not be bothered with a quarter or 2 quarters result or even a year's result. It is the ultimate 3 to 5 years or in some cases a 10 year holding period.
I once bought a lot of OKA shares. OKA manufactures drain pipes for highways and housing estates. As such it depends on construction boom. And with much of East Malaysia, Trengganu, Pahang & Kelantan still undeveloped there is still room for growth for OKA.
I bought OKA at 35 Cts. Started selling when OKA share price doubled to 70 cts. And when OKA share price crossed 80 cts I completely sold off all. As of today after bonus OKA has crossed RM1.90 & still moving upward.
OPCOM Is Just Like OKA. OPCOM is a basic necessity for our Information Highway Hong Kong & Korea has over 90% High Speed Broadband Coverage Whereas Malaysia has not even 30% as of today.
Years back Malaysia invited Bill Gates, the Founder of Microsoft to CYBERJAYA. Bill Gates laughed when he saw the deplorable standard of Malaysian Internet Connectivity. He gave a token sum of RM1 million contribution although he is the Richest Man in the World. Why?
If you only have dirt tracks like in Sabah & Sarawak Interior How Can You Introduce High Performance Sport Racing There? So You Must Build Up A High Speed (Lightning Speed) Broadband before talking about CYBER CITY.
So just like OKA for Physical Highways - THERE IS VERY VAST ROOM FOR OPCOM IN MALAYSIAS INFORMATION HIGHWAY. . Is It Not The Aim For Malaysia To Switch From A Third World To First World Nation Some Day? SO OPCOM HAS A BRIGHT FUTURE JUST LIKE OKA
Regards,
Calvin Tan From Singapore (I am using Star Hub Broadband in Singapore - anytime better than those in Iskandar)
Hi Calvin & friends: Just share my thought here. There are many types of investment in life. Some investment give you fash cash. Some investment for our family & our society. We invest education in our children for their future. Well, could i say this, we invest DLady for our society as it give jobs opportunity for Malaysian; it gives affordable milk products for our children and next generations to come. Perhaps sometimes the return in cash is not as much, but it is not too little as there are plenty goodness in it. Life is to live happily for everyone. Thanks again. : )
Greenfield is aiming to produce 2 million liters of milk per year in Malaysia market.
And the company also set a 4 year target plan to increase this number to 10 million liters per year.
OMG! Dooms' day for DLADY man...
Hmmm...
FYI, how much is fresh milk selling? ~RM7 per L at retail stores?
So probably we shall assume wholesale price to these retail stores might be ~RM5, which is what was reflected in the company's revenue?
RM5 x 2 million liter = RM 10 million of revenue.
The 2 million liter figure is only a yet to be achieved target for Greenfield in Malaysia.
Assuming they achieve it immediately this year, RM 10 million of revenue and you call this a threat and doom's day to DLADY?
Come on dude, do the math! DLADY annual revenue is amount to RM 1 billion.
RM10 million is only 1% of the production size of DLADY...
Even IF they really successfully increased from 2 million to 10 million liters per year, that is still only amount to RM 50 million worth of revenue per year...which is somewhat 5% of DLADY current revenue. And that is a big IF.
"When we invest longer term as oppose to punting we should not be bothered with a quarter or 2 quarters result or even a year's result. It is the ultimate 3 to 5 years or in some cases a 10 year holding period. "
Okay...I got it.
When it comes to OPCOM or OKA, we should not be bothered with a quarter or 2 quarters results or even a year's result. Look at ultimate 3 - 5 years or in some case 10 year period. Good point.
Whereas when it comes to DLADY, 1-2 quarter or even a year of sluggish performance spells dooms day. We should ignore DLADY 3-5 years performance and even though it grow almost 10 times in the last decade with CAGR of above 24% p.a. with solid support from revenue and profits, simply because Greenfields is bringing their honest cow and honest milk into Malaysia to hit a market which is only 1% of the current size of DLADY.
So the past not equal the future. Greenfields rocks, DLADY is doomed guys. What a double standard.
Greenfields Will Be Doubling Its Production & Sales by 2015. Slowly & Steadily This High Quality Honest Milk Company Is Chipping Away The Market Share of Dutch Lady.
If you still want to behave like Ostrich hiding your heads in the sand is up to you.
For those who take heed please go to Jaya Tiasa tread and view some good defensive counters
1) Protection of Capital First 2) Then only think of a gain.
Happy Investing,
Calvin Tan, Singapore
Or See Article called BJ CORP - THE BERKSHIRE HATHAWAY OF MALAYSIA!
This book is the result of the author's many years of experience and observation throughout his 26 years in the stockbroking industry. It was written for general public to learn to invest based on facts and not on fantasies or hearsay....
choonhock
2,029 posts
Posted by choonhock > 2013-12-12 10:20 | Report Abuse
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