When no one bother to take a look at this counter when it was down, but when you see the forum flooded with new IDs and comments when counter is hot, it is usually not a very good sign.
The Group’s plantation operating environment in the FY 2022 remained challenging as we weathered through the pandemic, labour shortage constraint and erratic weather. As a result, the total FFB production for the FY continued its decline by 14% to 737,723 MT from 861,766 MT in the previous year. In FY18, FY19, FY20 the FFB production is above 1 million+
Out of a total planted land bank of 69,589 hectares, 97% of our palm trees are in their prime with a weighted average palm age of 13 years old. About 3% are young mature palms with an increasing yield trend in the coming years.
So with labour shortage problems over I expect FY 23 the production will hit a million again.
Below the month Jul-Nov data: The Company wishes to announce the crop and logs production of the Group for the month of November 2022 as follows: Product Production Fresh Fruit Bunches 86,810 metric tonnes Crude Palm Oil 17,504 metric tonnes Palm Kernel 4,116 metric tonnes Logs 8,836 cubic metres
The Company wishes to announce the crop and logs production of the Group for the month of October 2022 as follows: Product Production Fresh Fruit Bunches 97,835 metric tonnes Crude Palm Oil 20,246 metric tonnes Palm Kernel 4,987 metric tonnes Logs 9,023 cubic metres
The Company wishes to announce the crop and logs production of the Group for the month of September 2022 as follows: Product Production Fresh Fruit Bunches 100,131 metric tonnes Crude Palm Oil 18,769 metric tonnes Palm Kernel 4,537 metric tonnes Logs 7,851 cubic metres
The Company wishes to announce the crop and logs production of the Group for the month of August 2022 as follows: Product Production Fresh Fruit Bunches 91,936 metric tonnes Crude Palm Oil 17,650 metric tonnes Palm Kernel 4,111 metric tonnes Logs 6,890 cubic metres
The Company wishes to announce the crop and logs production of the Group for the month of July 2022 as follows: Product Production Fresh Fruit Bunches 71,881 metric tonnes Crude Palm Oil 12,488 metric tonnes Palm Kernel 2,664 metric tonnes Logs 7,591 cubic metres
As of the cost: Direct labour and production cost RM(89.9+162.6)= RM 252.5 million Economic Performance (SDGs-8 Decent Work and Economic Growth) In the reporting year, our employees (through their various services in the Group) were recipients of RM89.9 million in employee benefits. The Group also contributed over RM96.7 million to the government through various taxes, cesses and logs royalty.
From the total revenue of RM810.8 million, 20% or RM162.6 million was channeled to the purchase of spare parts, diesel, fertilisers and chemicals, repair and maintenance and payment of utilities and office supplies to meet the needs of the overall business. Inevitably, this has helped the local economy both directly and indirectly. The Group also actively purchased FFB from surrounding plantations and smallholders to the tune of RM52.5 million during the year.
So if FFB production can hit close to 1 million MT and direct cost of RM300 million then per ton FFB cost will be RM 300. If CPO able to maintain at RM 4000 the FFB will be at about RM800/MT. Gross profit per MT FFB will be RM 500.
Goes without saying that Calvin is way off the mark on his palm oil stocks in 2022. Making wrong calls is human and forgivable but not acknowledging them is not. With this one grievous omission, Calvin has lost any semblance of credibility by my reckoning. However, with the start of the new 2023 year, let us put the past behind and begin the year on a fresh note.
happy new year berlin! well said and eloquently delivered. I have also moved on from pointing out calvin's flaws and just let him be. Looking forward to a good 2023! Have a good year ahead berlin!
Happy New Year everyone. Meanwhile, Indonesia has started to tighten export rules for palm oil from today by allowing less shipments overseas for every tonne sold domestically, to ensure sufficient and affordable cooking oil supply at home. Exporters will be allowed to ship six times their domestic sales volume, less than the current ratio of eight times.
Give poor old Calvin a break ... if plantation shares had stayed high, no one would be moaning. I made a modest profit on Ta Ann and SOP, my fault, I could have made a lot more if I had sold at the peak. I put the money into JTIASA at 0.56.75. I also hold SWKPLANT, THP and Univanich (done well there) interestingly this company has a profitable subsiduary in the Philippines. I still believe that plantation shares have been unfairly targeted by the woke climate change ESG brigade ... pension funds and fund managers steer clear but in doing so harm the interests of their clients and pensioners.. More effort should be made promoting palm oil and fighting the corrupt polititions in the EU who seek to smear the palm oil industry. Over the last year, I have made a small profit and had some useful dividends, many of my friends here in England and USA, have lost in some cases 50% of their capital. In the event of a severe world wide market correction PO shares may go down another 20% but as they are trading at such low PE’s and book value, they should do much better than most other shares. Another prop to palm oil is the oil price, due to lack of investment (ESG again) oil should trend higher next year. Oil companies should hold their value in 2023, so should plantations.
Kimloong, MHC, Ta Ann and Innoprise are cash rich/debts free. The "key" is still the SHARE PRICE. As for MHC, its price remains low maybe because the boss is conservative in distributing out dividend. I may be wrong.
As for oil, Petronm and Hengyuan are more difficult to predict due to their involvement in oil price hedging and crack spread margins. Hibiscus is more predictable for its price movement because its main activities are up stream oil and gas productions. I may be wrong Therefore I prefer Hibiscus more than the other two.
This book is the result of the author's many years of experience and observation throughout his 26 years in the stockbroking industry. It was written for general public to learn to invest based on facts and not on fantasies or hearsay....
StartOfTheBull
8,000 posts
Posted by StartOfTheBull > 2022-10-23 08:02 | Report Abuse
When no one bother to take a look at this counter when it was down, but when you see the forum flooded with new IDs and comments when counter is hot, it is usually not a very good sign.