Hi ValueInvestor888, your analysis and calculation may be inaccurate. Several concerns here, and correct me if I'm wrong:
1) Material litigation case with theStar for Pacific project. The full impact is not known yet and may bring additional losses to Jaks depending on court judgement.
2) Further LAD charges may incur.
3) Further impairments on assets like goodwill, etc.
4) Power plant profit of RM180m per year is inaccurate. Is that full profit or Jaks' share only. As i know lifetime profit attributable to jaks is only USD213m.
Pls clarify the above and not simply pluck figures from the sky.
@Steady Punpipi If I am not wrong, according to the contract between Jaks and Vietnam government,Vietnam government still have to pay for the electricity generated by the plant even no people in Vietnam use electricity. That mean the Vietnam government will buy all the electricity from the plant so the more electricity generated by the plant, the more Jaks earns.
If really good for next 2 QR y non stop dropping .... Should be a lot ppls buy in... Not sell... Or shark wan buy more ticket to press down the price...?
@Analyser 4) Power plant profit of RM180m per year is inaccurate. Is that full profit or Jaks' share only. As i know lifetime profit attributable to jaks is only USD213m. -----------------------------------------------------------------------
If possible, can you share the source/article regarding the "lifetime profit attributable to jaks is only USD213m.". Try find it but couldn't.
JAKS Resources Bhd will see a recurring income totalling over RM720 mil per annum over the next 25 years from its upcoming power plant in Vietnam, according to JAKS’ CEO Andy Ang.
The Jaks Hai Duong Power Plant which will comprise of two 600MW units, will see the first unit come online some time in Oct 2020, ahead of the original timeline of Nov 2020.
“As it stands, the first unit is already generating electricity, but no revenue is recognised as it is still in the testing and commissioning phase at the moment.”
“The second unit is due six months after the commencement of operation date of the first unit, and is expected to be done in 1Q21,” said Ang to FocusM.
He also shared that a power plant generating 1200MW can easily see a revenue of US$600 mil to US$700 mil a year, which comes to between RM2.4 bil to RM2.8 bil. With JAKS owning 30% of the power plant, this translates to a revenue of about RM720 mil a year, which should be recognised in the second half of 2020.
“We also have the option to increase our stake in the power plant by a further 10%, and we are already working on exercising this option,” said Ang.
This also leads to JAKS looking forward to a better 2H20, after bearing the brunt of the Covid-19 pandemic in 1Q20.
“Our construction partners in Vietnam were largely from Mainland China, and they had gone back to celebrate the Lunar New Year. The Vietnamese government was also quick to react to the Covid-19 pandemic, leading to our construction partners being unable to get back to the job site.”
“This saw construction starting to slow down after the Lunar New Year. However, we received a special permit from the Vietnamese government in 2Q20, which allowed us to continue most of the work,” said Ang.
JAKS Resources Berhad (KLSE:JAKS) shareholders will have a reason to smile today, with the covering analyst making substantial upgrades to this year's forecasts. The consensus estimated revenue numbers rose, with their view now clearly much more bullish on the company's business prospects.
Following the upgrade, the latest consensus from JAKS Resources Berhad's sole analyst is for revenues of RM462m in 2021, which would reflect a major 78% improvement in sales compared to the last 12 months. The losses are expected to disappear over the next year or so, with forecasts for a profit of RM0.061 per share this year. Prior to this update, the analyst had been forecasting revenues of RM314m and earnings per share (EPS) of RM0.056 in 2021. Sentiment certainly seems to have improved in recent times, with a great increase in revenue and a slight bump in earnings per share estimates.
View our latest analysis for JAKS Resources Berhad
earnings-and-revenue-growth KLSE:JAKS Earnings and Revenue Growth April 5th 2021 Taking a look at the bigger picture now, one of the ways we can understand these forecasts is to see how they compare to both past performance and industry growth estimates. It's clear from the latest estimates that JAKS Resources Berhad's rate of growth is expected to accelerate meaningfully, with the forecast 78% annualised revenue growth to the end of 2021 noticeably faster than its historical growth of 3.7% p.a. over the past five years. By contrast, our data suggests that other companies (with analyst coverage) in a similar industry are forecast to grow their revenue at 13% per year. It seems obvious that, while the growth outlook is brighter than the recent past, the analyst also expect JAKS Resources Berhad to grow faster than the wider industry.
The Bottom Line The most important thing to take away from this upgrade is that the analyst upgraded their earnings per share estimates for this year, expecting improving business conditions. Fortunately, the analyst also upgraded their revenue estimates, and our data indicates sales are expected to perform better than the wider market. Seeing the dramatic upgrade to this year's forecasts, it might be time to take another look at JAKS Resources Berhad.
With that said, the long-term trajectory of the company's earnings is a lot more important than next year. At least one analyst has provided forecasts out to 2023, which can be seen for free on our platform here.
Another way to search for interesting companies that could be reaching an inflection point is to track whether management are buying or selling, with our free list of growing companies that insiders are buying.
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So much said ...the most important thing is still making profit from Jaks ...guess many casualties especially newbies following the wrong sharks and buayas
Vietnam power plant is 30% associate company of JAKS hence it will not contribute any revenue to JAKS but share of profit which is non cash book profit and will be taken out in cash flow.
The only cash flow will be dividend received from the Vietnam power plant if power plant declared dividend to the shareholder.
Sslee Vietnam power plant is 30% associate company of JAKS hence it will not contribute any revenue to JAKS but share of profit which is non cash book profit and will be taken out in cash flow. The only cash flow will be dividend received from the Vietnam power plant if power plant declared dividend to the shareholder.
@Sslee: not sure what do you mean by the revenue cannot be recognized in the books? Are you saying that all the concession recurring income from commercial operation can never be reported as revenue in future upcoming quarter results, due to this relationship of JAKS and its associate company JAKS Pacific Power Limited (who owns 30% Vietnam power plant)?
I read in articles since 2015 that this BOT power plant concession will provide income/revenue to Jaks as a whole and not some vague associate company thing, this was even mentioned in the latest 2020 annual report and recent quarter report. Also didn't read about any dividend or so from such concession? I thought the source of revenue is from Vietnam government instead of public, sorry but I've worked in Tenaga projects before hence is a bit familiar with such special purpose vehicle type of operating model.
Maybe I'm not familiar with how this associate company revenue will be reported in a company's books, will need your explanation to clear this doubt, thanks!
Thanks Sslee. Read up a bit and it seems like this Equity Accounting model is just another type of accounting used for dealing with subsidiaries etc depending on the business itself. Good news is that the concession income can be reported in JAKS book at 30% of revenue generated from the Vietnam plant.
Oh yeah, not sure when but Carsome has lots of its second hand car parked in the basement of Evolve Concept mall in Ara Damansara. If you are familiar with Carsome, this is definitely a positive news to the income of the mall as it will definitely increase foot traffic!
Sslee. Please don't take offence. I hardly could understand your arguements. Below are my queries whenever i see you wrote. 1. JAKS really did breach the rules? Since SC also ignored you. While you are a senior management yourself, doesn't make you understand company laws. I would consult auditors or lawyers friends before i would make such post. I honestly not sure if JAKS did breach rules or not by reading your statements. 2. Please summarise your points that you wanna bring out. I prefer reading summaries. 3. If indeed auditors and lawyers find ground, tell JAKS shareholders what action we can take. Eg. draft a letters and get us to sign petition. Otherwise, your fights won't interest me, at least
Analyser why is disposing JIC for RM1.00 an issue when at the same time, u can dispose it's liabilities as well.
Answer: “If it is too good to be true it probably isn't.”
By the way SC and Bursa did not ignore me and I do not say JAKS breach any rules. A. I merely ask SC and Bursa to investigate and make a finding had JAKS breach any rules on financial and information disclosure on disposal of JSB 51% equity in JIC to ICD for consideration of RM1.00? B. Disallow LTIP/Free grants since every free grant will cause the company to incur losses as expenses and clearly free grant is not in the best interest of the company thus in breach of Company Act 2016: 213: (1) A director of a company shall at all times exercise his powers in accordance with this Act, for a proper purpose and in good faith in the best interest of the company?
sslee seem that u start another challenge to Jaks BOD, hope this time the replies is what you want. I dont fully agree with you method, however respect your fight for governance.
Why Board did not answered my submitted in advance JAKS 18th AGM questions below?
Refer page 104 Investment in Subsidiary Companies: Proportion of equity interest held by non-controlling interest in: JAKS Island Circle Sdn. Malaysia Bhd. (“JIC”): 49% MNH Global Assets Malaysia Management Sdn. Bhd.(“MNH”): 49% Fortress Pavilion Sdn. Bhd. Malaysia (“FP”): 49%
Question 8: What is the paid up capital of JIC, MNH and FP? Who are the 49% equity holders?
Refer: Page 106; As of 31th December 2019. FP equity is negative RM (7,136,589) and JIC equity is negative RM (140,953,429)
Question 9: Both FP and JIC are PN17 companies. What is the proposed plan to restructure and revive the companies? Any plan of capital injection and can the 49% owners able to come out with their 49% share of capital injection?
This book is the result of the author's many years of experience and observation throughout his 26 years in the stockbroking industry. It was written for general public to learn to invest based on facts and not on fantasies or hearsay....
Analyser
64 posts
Posted by Analyser > 2021-04-07 11:57 | Report Abuse
Hi ValueInvestor888, your analysis and calculation may be inaccurate. Several concerns here, and correct me if I'm wrong:
1) Material litigation case with theStar for Pacific project. The full impact is not known yet and may bring additional losses to Jaks depending on court judgement.
2) Further LAD charges may incur.
3) Further impairments on assets like goodwill, etc.
4) Power plant profit of RM180m per year is inaccurate. Is that full profit or Jaks' share only. As i know lifetime profit attributable to jaks is only USD213m.
Pls clarify the above and not simply pluck figures from the sky.