Export of US Soy beans has picked up. Soy usually carried on Handymax and Supramax. There will be corrections along the way on the BDI for sure but the global economies are slowly opening up cautiously. The demand for coal usually increases in the 3rd qtr due to need for increased energy for heating during winter... Panamax usually carry coal and grains.
The demand for these transport vessels will be stable... an on the uptrend as many countries are replenishing...I expect uptrend for vessel space at least till September...
some correction on the fib retracement entry level: 0.395, 0.365. I will collect some at 0.395 & double the size at 0.365. However, shall the price stay below 0.365, the uptrend may be invalidated.
Yes.. it’s expected on the correction due to the peak of iron ore stockpile in China now. Affected mostly Capesizes and Panamax. Maybulk owns mainly Kansarmax, Supramax and Handymax class vessels and carry mainly grains, soy, sugar... if you look at cnss.com as shared by Chngmenghui , Supramax and Handymax charts are on steady gradual uptrend...
However, there are some encouraging signs particularly from China which is showing some resumption of industrial production activities. Newbuilding activity could also see order cancellations or deferments which may further reduce pressure on the supply side. There is still a potential for an improved 2H 2020 globally and stimulus measures in China and elsewhere can possibly support freight rates
https://www.cnss.com.cn/html/bsi/ Maybulk does not own Capesizes and only one Panamax in its fleet. From last annual report, Maybulk owns mainly Supramax, ha day max and kansarmax... Above link shows trend of Supramax rates .
after big move of BDI from May till beginning of July, there is no surprise an adjustment come in. Just wait till BDI around 1360 where Maybulk will be around 0.385.
BDI keep droping, hope recover on next week. If maintain 1000 + should be still have some profit, because oil price still low... But share will no engine to move up..
But what we need to consider now is KLCI already at the highest point(Best perform bursa in the world for 4-6 2020) but maybulk still maintain at 40 cent.If bursa drop again ,what the risk (hold the stock for longer period) ? do we have patient to hold thid stock for this uncertainty period.
BDI index up or down this year partially contribute from 1.Brazil 2019-20 soybean sales hit 93% on weak real, high domestic crush and due to high Chinese demand, which is estimated to comprise 70% of total soy shipment, 2.Brazil iron ore export 3.Australia Mineral export
But start from July2020 1. Brazil’s soybean exports plunge 34% so far in July on tight supply. 2.25/07/2020 Comments Offon China iron ore futures fall on easing steel demand China iron ore futures dropped as much as 3.6% on Friday, falling for a second straight session, as demand for steel products slipped this week on lean downstream consumption.
This book is the result of the author's many years of experience and observation throughout his 26 years in the stockbroking industry. It was written for general public to learn to invest based on facts and not on fantasies or hearsay....
greenland
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Posted by greenland > 2020-07-16 08:50 | Report Abuse
Thanks xjteh for your technicals!