Let us witness the price action since there re 2 different TA analysis.. There is no right or wrong & we may overlook something here or there. Let us treat it as case study then improve for future trading ... Cheers & Happy Trading !!!
bro skyhawk...i understand...but if reli reduce to 0.63 reli fierce drop...i believe good fundamental counter wont drop so fierce...i might be wrong haha
Jasa Merin (Malaysia) S/B (JM), which commenced operations in 1982, is an offshore support vessel (OSV) owner and operator, providing services to oil majors operating in Malaysian
waters. It has over 30 years of experience with an excellent track record and is recognised by the oil majors. JM is 70% owned by AQL Aman S/B, a 100%-subsidiary of SILK Holdings,
with the remaining 30% owned by State-owned Terengganu Incorporated S/B (TIA).
JM presently owns and operates 17 units of OSVs (after disposing two olders units and added on one new unit in FY7/14-YTD, vs 18 units at end-FY7/13) comprising 15 anchor-handling tug
and supply vessels (AHTS) and 2 straight supply vessels (SSVs). All its fleet are locally built with Muhibbah Engineering as its preferred vessel builder. All of its OSVs are Malaysia-flagged
and are relatively young, averaging 4 years in age.
Currently, all JM’s OSVs are on long term charters. In FY13, JM secured 7 new contracts and extended 2 earlier charters. In terms of fleet expansion, JM has been consistently growing its
fleet size during the down-cycle (2008-11) and despite that, it has been successful in securing charters for these OSVs. Based on its new building programs, 2 AHTS (JM Cemerlang, JM
Abadi) are currently under construction with deliveries by mid-2014.
Prospects are bright for JM to capitalise on the wave of opportunities in the Malaysia OSV market. Higher drilling activities, increasing demand for platforms and floating solutions, rising
development for enhanced oil recovery (EOR) activities and deepwater explorations augur well for the OSV market.
5. In addition, charter rates and utilisation levels are recovering to pre-crisis levels. Contract tenures have extended, from 2-3 years to 5 years, reflecting the buoyancy in the OSV market.
Coupled with the decent financing options, newbuilding programs have kick-started after a lull over the past few years.
There is an increasing demand for higher specifications vessels (i.e. PSV, workbarge/boat, 8-12k bhp AHTS). With PETRONAS giving preference to locally owned-operated flagged
vessels and relatively younger fleet, the market is flushed with opportunities for local players like JM.
6. JM has recently completed the acquisition of the other 49% stake of four OSVs (JM Bayu, JM Sepoi, JM Samudra, JM Setia) from GMV-Jasa S/B for MYR49.5m in Dec 2013.
This means that from 2014, the entire JM fleet is 100%-owned. This would contribute positively to the group, adding ~MYR2.1m/4.2m in net profit in FY14/15 after taking into consideration
the interest (financing) costs. Notwithstanding that, the delivery of 2 new OSVs (JM Gemilang and JM Abadi) will likely be contracted out, at decent domestic market rates.
7. We expect JM to generate higher net profit of MYR30m/MYR32m in FY14/15 (FY13E: MYR26m),
driven by the added fleet and higher stakes in four OSVs. Our main assumptions are: (i) average total capacity owned to increase 6.6% YoY to 129.8k bhp in FY14 and 2.2% YoY to
132.5k bhp in FY15 and (ii) gross profit margin to remain stable at an estimated 37%.
with the steady traffic volume growth and next scheduled toll rate hike in 2015 to MYR1.80 (+38%) from MYR1.30, we expect Silk Highway to turn profitable in FY7/15.
Its Sukuk Mudharabah is due for a restructuring in 25 Jan 2015, and this could potentially reduce its finance cost, providing upside to earnings.
Based on our scenario analysis, a 0.5% reduction in finance cost starting Feb 2015 would increase the Silk Holdings’ FY7/15 net profit by +4.4%.
We project SILK Holdings to deliver group net profits of MYR11.0m in FY7/14 (FY7/13: MYR4.4m) and MYR29.3m in FY7/15 with the growth coming from
(i) three new OSVs in FY7/14 and a full stake in four existing OSVs effective Dec 2013 which were previously 51% owned, and
(ii) continuous robust traffic growth at the KRR and a toll hike (+38% for Class 1 vehicles) due in 2015. In 1QFY7/14, SILK Holdings reported a net profit of MYR2.2m, and our forecasts assume another MYR8.8m in 2Q-4QFY7/14.
Profit taking as usual. Up and down prices so that we can make more profits in few rounds. No worry if you are long term investor. Keep this stock to see good values growth. Trust me.
Gua tengok pun sudah takut woorrr. Korang tak check ke PE ratio dia. Kecut perut!! 99 times liao!! Kalau jatuh KABBBOOOMMM!! Hehehehe gua tunggu bawah buat 2nd round liao. Kikikiki
I recommend to buy this share on october 2013 when the price is only 40 cents. Now trading at 70-75 cents. My target to unload all the Silk share once hit 80 cents. 100% profit within 4-5 months make me happy enough.
I miss the boat on this one. First time saw this share recommended. I thnk Duitbesar is right...it will ease a bit after a magnificent rally. Will buy in below 70 cts
wow, below 70cents now, if SILK sells their highway, it could raise potentially 500million cash man, that is sufficient to cover their market cap, or theyc ould just list their oil & gas segment
This book is the result of the author's many years of experience and observation throughout his 26 years in the stockbroking industry. It was written for general public to learn to invest based on facts and not on fantasies or hearsay....
rikki
2,028 posts
Posted by rikki > 2014-02-10 16:34 | Report Abuse
Wow....not good.....step ladder downwards.....luckily no volume!!!