The 1st website gives you the recorded charges over assets of RKM Powergen's assets...see below and move cursor from left to right...It will give an insight to total borrowings I believe..although charge amount does not necessarily equals borrowing amounts. Just more info for u guys.
Heartbreakkid pay and get the financials of RKM Powergen la..I think less than RM 100.00. Although March 2016....at least good picture of financial health. Since u invested so much...its peanuts to u. Share with us ok?
Now we know worst case scenario...Mudajaya if cannot tahan pressure from local banks here and cannot fire plants (no income) or cannot get private buyer of plants...can try and negotiate to sell plants to India government. My 5cts worth. Unless the enforce their charges over their borrowings and give nothing back if their India counterpart defaults in payments.
IBanker, honestly speaking, the price won't go up until a decision is made for the project in India and the management execute the decision. Two possible scenario are to sell the stake in India or to start selling power to the grid. At the moment either way is good for Mudajaya HOWEVER if they keep delaying in selling power than the best option is to sell the power plant. Although the total profit over 25 years is attractive, it is a high risk investment especially in India. If Mudajaya choose to keep the stakes in India once they start selling power, my guess is the share price will only be able to touch RM1.50 BUT if they decide to sell than i am confident the share price will go beyond RM1.5. Either way, i will be happy person.
400523, my shareholding is peanuts compared to those venting their frustration. If i hold at least 1% of the company share, i will fly to Chennai and Chattisgarh to find out what is happening. If Mudajaya is willing to hire me as a special adviser for this project, i can turn around the situation.
The plants will definitely be completed sooner or later. But years of funding and finance costs have gone up..not to mention currency fluctuations. Recorded financial losses are presumably huge at RKM Powergen's India side and can only increase with no firing in sight...my guestimate is Mudajaya's best bet is to sell at a reasonable loss or break even (if ever possible) and run back to Malaysia where it's construction business is booming.
The india government via Power Finance Corp will definitely take over the plant at worse case scenario.
If you add up all the charge amounts in the website below (i might just as well be wrong)..the total charge amount for RKM Powergen's borrowings in India is CRORE 8,632 . 1 crore is about USD160,000.00.
Mudajaya's borrowings here are also substantial and separate from that of India...though much of it find's it's way there presumably. So what is the plant worth?...someone said earning power RM150m pa x 25 years = RM3.75billion...25 years long time...so how much to sell the plant?
Estimated RM70m per annum for Mudajaya's 26% so India's RKM's portion will be about RM200m p.a. add the both = RM270m per annum x 25 yrs = RM6,750m earning potential estimate a few year's ago...correction. How much to sell now and what is the total cost now.
Actually, if I am not mistaken...the estimated RM70m per annum for 26% portion was clean profit estimation is minus off costs (including interest on the projected borrowings at that time)...so the actual estimated revenue from sale of power for the 4 plants should be much much higher...come to think of it.
OK guys I think Mudajaya can get about RM1.5 billion (26% on sale) upon completion of the plants as their CEO says after much analysing...then pay off all their borrowings and have a few hundred million balance (maybe 3 or 4 hundred). So the fair price should go back up to about RM2 to 3.00 (with Menara and other valuable Ampang assets) plus RM2 billion contracts at hand.
Changed my mind because the Indian Government is supporting (no danger of immediate recall of loan facilities) and I think they can finish off the project and sell at a reasonable profit after bank payoff. My 5cts worth.
ibanker what do you think of Mudajya? what other counters are you watching.. respect your stock pick.. I made money from Mycron .. thanks .. am holding JHM too
400523 the RM150 mil p.a. profit is just an estimation of 30% if the power plant continuously supply 700MW. If the profit margin is 20% than the annual profit for the 4 units will be around RM100 mil. Honestly if they did not plan to even make RM100 mil a year, i don't see the reason for taking such a huge risk. I have to tell you from my knowledge, RM100 mil profit a year is splendid compared to the profit they can get from all the construction job.
MUDAJAYA GROUP WISH HAVE A LOT PROJECTS MIN HANDS TO MAKING PROFIT TO COVER LOSSES COMPANY............. WE WAIT THE GOOD NEWS IN NEW YEAR 2017. THE SHARE PRICE WILL BETWEEN AT 1.80SEN -2.50SEN ABOVE.
Once india problem solved, the price is rocket high, high risk if chase high. Unless you ready to take risk tobbuy high. The current low price almost factored in all indian project problems. ?.
Calling to calvintaneng, we can't wait to see your stocks performance in Stock Pick Contest 2017! Demonstrate your making money skills otherwise get lost from i3. We are not sure if you have the available fund to join the contest, otherwise can source it from Ah Long! Don't chicken out or else you got no face to face everyone in i3!
Mudajaya started sinking again. The short uplift was simply due to the orders they got. This company will not make it if they don't do something about their India project.
According to an engineer from RKM, RKM will has to power up the unit 1 continuously for 10 days as part of the term loan criteria to drawdown the loan. It looked like the loan is in hand, so very high chances the unit 1 already power up few weeks ago.
This book is the result of the author's many years of experience and observation throughout his 26 years in the stockbroking industry. It was written for general public to learn to invest based on facts and not on fantasies or hearsay....
400523
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Posted by 400523 > 2016-12-23 10:32 | Report Abuse
The 1st website gives you the recorded charges over assets of RKM Powergen's assets...see below and move cursor from left to right...It will give an insight to total borrowings I believe..although charge amount does not necessarily equals borrowing amounts. Just more info for u guys.