The main reason for Mycron drop is due to quarter result for Mycron is below market expectation. Market expect 16Mil but just come out 7.856Mil. If take into consideration of impairment loss, Q416 net profit is 16.01Mil, Q117 net profit is just 7.856Mil. It is 51% net profit drop compare to last quarter. I have sold all Mycron at 1.12 yesterday.
mycron holding 70% of melewar group revenue and profit and why melewar loss about 1 mil and 8 mil after after tax siting loss in project division. People are worry another FGV in making. Malay company mah what to expect
Warn3r, if you know how to read the report and read the detail, then you will know the actual net profit is RM 7.856 mil not RM10 mil. You need to take out impairment loss divided into 4 quarters which just charge on every Q4. I just tell the fact.
Posted by Warn3r > Nov 30, 2016 07:55 AM | Report Abuse
Remisier, after repeating yourself 3 times. The net profit is RM 10 mil not RM 7.856 mil.
There's too many smart ppl in the mkt. All getting panic and cut loss :D and in another one months time, when Csc steel and gang is gearing up.. all chase high!
Mycron has found some support at 0.9. Melewar's drop has also halted for now. Seems like calibration is going on. Hopefully technical can help to support their price for some time before some good news come. Why not just take Melewar private since the price does not reflect the true value of the company. Any opinion on this matter?
@Alex nvm. Maybe i make mistake. Really hard to understand the market nowadays. Now im finding a good price to cut loss or to wait longer. I ok with my price.
Warn3r, the impairment loss for Q416 is 8.646 Mil, it just charge for every Q4. This amount divided into 4 quarters will be 2.16 Mil per quarter. So net profit for Q416 is 9.336+8.646*3/4=15.82Mil, net profit for Q117 is 10.08-8.646/4=7.9Mil.
Posted by Warn3r > Nov 30, 2016 09:24 AM | Report Abuse
Hi Remisier, apparently I don't. How to get RM 16 mil profit from last quarter's result after taking into consideration of the write down?
B3 Prospects for the remaining financial year (continue) Specific to the Group’s steel businesses, the ramifications of the aforementioned are generally negative. Besides the weak Ringgit which increases the landed cost of imported raw materials, Hot Rolled Coil prices in USD also saw sharp increases by more than 15% in the early 2nd financial quarter following the sharp rise in coking-coal prices by more than 70% in the current financial quarter. Even-though the Group’s steel businesses’ financial performance is not directly correlated with steel prices, such sharp movement in prices may affect demand and erode margins in the near-term. The acceleration of cost pushed inflation translates to higher production and operation costs which in the near-term may also erode margins. The spike in crude steel prices has already started to boost crude steel production in China, and this may result in surge of steel exports again to the region and disrupt the domestic steel market. However, the Group’s steel products are in the ‘flat’ category which is in a better position to compete given the existing trade measures against unfair competition from imports. On the positive side, the wide industrial applications of the Group’s flat steel products provide a relatively stable demand base – as certain ‘end consumer’ output may benefit from the weaker Ringgit in export markets. On-going and planned mega infrastructural and construction projects in the country will also continue to provide a strong support for local steel demand. In conclusion, the Group’s prospect outlook for the remaining of the current financial year is ‘challenging’ with mounting pressure on margins.
*** The word "challenging" in management comment meaning sell. Upcoming business is not optimistic anymore.
wont subscribe otb service again. he brought me to holand like gamuda-we, mycron, gadang..his TA is fxxking laosy, when the price moved up n we supposed to sell but he asked us to buy just because what TA BUY signal come out. those who want to subscribe his service must re-consider again. im his 2 years subscriber, last year export share kena, this year steel/construction share kena.
if you guys really understand HRC pricing locally, HRC price externally and the concept of bulk CRC price to local customers compared to CRC price externally, plus the direction of currency... its all plain to see whats happening at Mycron.
You will understand why a huge potential gain from Megasteel closure had been wiped out - simply because of the above dynamics.
If you want less headache knowing how all this works with the added assurance that shares are being acquired by major shareholders....suggest go for Prestar - it wont face such abrupt margin changes.
Post a Comment
People who like this
New Topic
You should check in on some of those fields below.
Title
Category
Comment
Confirmation
Click Confirm to delete this Forum Thread and all the associated comments.
This book is the result of the author's many years of experience and observation throughout his 26 years in the stockbroking industry. It was written for general public to learn to invest based on facts and not on fantasies or hearsay....
8wpwtmt8
2,949 posts
Posted by 8wpwtmt8 > 2016-11-29 22:41 | Report Abuse
http://www.malaysiastock.biz/Corporate-Infomation.aspx?type=A&value=V&securityCode=5797
Choo Bee results is also no good. Revenue continues to drop.