If you can sell at the price you are comfortable, sell else just wait for next qtr results in 3 months time to recover. (at least CNY wont affect it!, but i dont know if there will be yearly impairment on next qtr?).
Sorry if i had misled or influenced anyone here to mycron.
What's wrong with the CNY??? It is a norm in Mycron business cycle. Let's read the explanation in last year.
QR 31 Mar 2017 explanation: The Group however registered a lower pre-tax profit of RM10.8 million compared with the immediate preceding quarter’s pre-tax profit of RM12.6 million mainly due to the lower sales volume (down by around 17%) achieved by its Steel Tube segment attributed to the Chinese New Year holidays saddling the current quarter. Correspondingly, the Group recorded a lower net-tax profit of RM7.4 million compared to a net-tax profit of RM9.5 million in the immediate preceding quarter.
QR 31 Mar 2016 explanation: The Group’s revenue at RM142.5 million for the current 3rd quarter which saddles the Chinese New Year festive period is around 1% lower than the immediate preceding quarter’s RM144.1 million. The lower revenue is attributed to a 12% drop in sales volume for the Steel Tube operation (due to the festive holidays and raw coil supply disruption from the cessation of Megasteel as mentioned in Note A11) coupled with the continued decline in unit selling price for the tube products (down by 0.8%) and cold-rolled coils (down by 3%). However, the higher sale volume (up 11.8%) achieved by the Cold Rolled segment lifted the current quarters’ revenue.
up_down, they are running at half the capacity...if they really wanted...if there is a real drive to grow...they could have overcomed this CNY constrain. I see that as a lame excuse
they could have put some overtime earlier...its not like you have 2 weekk CNY break. Can't they accumulate and stock their products and then sell in one go?
probability. I am not really sure whether they have done that or not...Inventory shot up by almost 80% comparing with Qtr 31Dec16.
Posted by probability > May 26, 2017 10:26 PM | Report Abuse
they could have put some overtime earlier...its not like you have 2 weekk CNY break. Can't they accumulate and stock their products and then sell in one go?
:D I see! Up_down has some experiences in supply chain and finance I believe. That's why I trust his figure a lot.
I can understand about preparing production/OT before/after shutdown to make up for it but when no demand supply is not needed. I try to see both side, perhaps could be a good explanation. correct me if I am wrong.
The thing with production is you don't need high skilled labor, nepali, bangladeshi also can do it and they dont mind if they are paid overtime or extra pay during public holidays.
like what up-down mentioned, they talk about throughput in terms of tonnage sold (Sales volume) not in terms tonnage produced. As such the high level of inventory can be a justification as they probably did not stop the production completely during the CNY.
Yes bro. What I am trying to say is this, bangladeshi nepali working on site for steeltube no work becuase Chinese supervisors not working. My family runs constrution company, so this is the norm for a lot of small/medium projects. CNY is low demand month because tauke/supervisor wants shutdown not the labors.
in overall my concern is this, the rising sales volume earlier gave me the impression the demand is improving...but with this report i became more skeptical.
Posted by abangadik > May 26, 2017 11:40 PM | Report Abuse
Yes bro. What I am trying to say is this, bangladeshi nepali working on site for steeltube no work becuase Chinese supervisors not working. My family runs constrution company, so this is the norm for a lot of small/medium projects. CNY is low demand month because tauke/supervisor wants shutdown not the labors.
This book is the result of the author's many years of experience and observation throughout his 26 years in the stockbroking industry. It was written for general public to learn to invest based on facts and not on fantasies or hearsay....
Hwai Hooi
2,249 posts
Posted by Hwai Hooi > 2017-05-26 17:52 | Report Abuse
seem like QR look good