I dont have intention to put salt at ppl wound. IMO nx QR may not looks good based on MD remarks. I only will come back if the PE <=8 So pandai pandai lah...
Director "should" act in a good faith of stewardship toward shareholders. He has the "responsibility" to clarify any material news or rumours so that shareholders are able to make informed decision. Well, definitely some "punters" would hate to learn about this
The MD is cautious and conservative in his views. They are still many pros than cons in this company. Since it is Cash positive, it has more options to diversify and expand in other business investments.
Like I said before, EPF buying this counter may not necessary a good news.
When the share price up a little bit, they can then sell their stock in hand. Just to earn or realise the profit, don't care big or small profit. They can do so, as their costs are always lower than retailers'.
Wow USDMYR just touched down 4.175 a minute ago. This will drive a sudden sentiment across all exporters hence it will hamper the demand by foreign entities for products, services & trades with local companies. I've said to watch fx rate closely yesterday :)
Just as what I've been expecting after Hevea's stock price peaked recently where I predict it will be "normalized" back to the norm due to various notable factors. Now the fx rate is back to where the surge started since 09-Nov-2016.
If my concerns are not aligned to what I've been expecting, MD Yoong would not have taken the interview to express his other concerns in a dovish tone. I hope those who purchased Hevea's shares yesterday and probably more today or subsequently will be able to pay up and have the holding power. Just remember not to waste your money and be smarter with your funds optimally.
Posted by flytothemoon > Sep 8, 2017 12:44 AM | Report Abuse
EPF more like buying Hevea to manipulate the share...dont forget their ppl can short selling hevea, EPF now can easily control up or down of hevea ><
yes this is correct. coupled with weak holding powers of retailers. dear retailers remember the reason u buy a stock, if u cant see them drop dont start buying.
Selling off of Hevea in conjunction with strengthening of MYR against USD. USD is weakening. So the attractiveness of Hevea is getting lesser as all the while export is their main strength since 2015. not a good sign as yesterday break 2 supports of 1.58 and 1.51 in one day. Unless it can close back the above supports in these few days. otherwise we shall see more down turn. next critical support is at 1.29 then followed by 1.05.
Ur maths fail is it 1.70 drop to 1.05 how many %. 4.35 drop to 4.2 how many %. Yen is strengthening Chinese yuan is also strengthening. How u derive ur price target
The fx rate 4.20 support barrier is broken and the looming GE14 will have an adverse effect not only on RM but also the local economy as a whole. That is why some people do not understand it, it affects the demand for trades with Malaysian companies and locally produced goods.
stockistlearner, i am curiosity who is so stupid to push it down below 1.40, then we shall buy as well as we can, enjoying dividend yearly with cheap cost, continue accumulate lah...hahaha
There is always time and tide for everything. If u want to sail through the rough sea across oceans, u will still have to rely on the wind or in modern times u will need more fuel for your vessel's engines.
julian1981 if you are long term investors, that is sure you can accumulate it, but how low the price it can fall we dont know, but never sell the stock which is undervalue.
Posted by Andrewhlc > Sep 8, 2017 09:59 AM | Report Abuse
julian1981 if you are long term investors, that is sure you can accumulate it, but how low the price it can fall we dont know, but never sell the stock which is undervalue.
Despite the change of tide, some supporters would still buy & accumulate but with the misaligned notions. Instead of optimizing their investment objectives, they have underestimated the change of sentiment as a directional shift in the company's core strategy going forward. Don't over exhausted your own resources too early because there will be better bargains.
look at AYS (my losing stock) for instance. if i sell at 0.47c im stupid. i know its undervalue and theres no reason to sell. So I top-up, because its a chance to buy cheap. i bought from skyhigh 65c (disadvantage position). now my avg price is 54c (better margin of safety). Only buy stock u dare to buy when it falls thats because u know its value. Not sell when it reaches its bottom.
another one is hiaptek bought at 40c. top up at 36c-37c. why? I only buy something with discount. any drop is a further discount.
if what MD told was true, revenue won't be growing much in the near future, the annualized EPS for hevea will be around 15-16. which the current price 1.50 at PE 10. Reasonable entry point but would be better to enter at 1.45.
"Hong Leong sentitivity analysis indicates that every 10 sen depreciation in MYR against the US$ will boost Hevea's FY17-18 bottomline by 11%."
It is not the proportion of USD/MYR to share price. It is how much strengthening of MYR/USR affect the bottomline. If USD/MYR drop from 4.30 to 4.00 then bottomline will be affected 33%.
by what u have to say if drop to 3.35. then hevea lose money? it makes no sense. im sure export driven company has method to hedge against currency fluctuation
This book is the result of the author's many years of experience and observation throughout his 26 years in the stockbroking industry. It was written for general public to learn to invest based on facts and not on fantasies or hearsay....
Patrick13
1,971 posts
Posted by Patrick13 > 2017-09-07 17:28 | Report Abuse
I guess Hevea will be hovering within price range RM1.30 and RM1.50 for few months until next QR, like what happened to Top Glove last year.