patience.....be patience..... think positive .....now Rm 1000 can get more 20% shares d.....compare to hevea0.90 lol work hard collect more.....hahhahaha (laughing with tears)
dont think short term the price of hevea will have a big move...it is due to the weak performance..let's see how the company perform in Q4'18...if not much improvement, i think gonna put it into the refrigerator...
The company's 14% dropped in revenue was mainly due to lower contribution from both its main division, the particle board division and the ready to assemble ( RTA) division. Apart from the strengthening of RM vs USD, particle board prices has been decreasing due to the higher supply of the product in the market at the moment. This competition is mainly attributed to production expansion decision made by most particle board companies boom years of 2015-17. However, Hevea is still ok given that production capacity is still running above 90%. So there is demand just at a lower price.
Hevea's RTA is totally a different story. They actually have a lot of demand for the products (especially for export market) but could not cater to the demand due to foreign labour shortage. Currently the production level of the division is only running at around 70%. Which is why they had recorded lower revenue ( apart form the strengthening of RM vs USD).
The profit margin of the company decrease substantially due to : 1) Lower average selling price (due to competition and strengthening of RM) 2) Higher raw material cost (rubber wood) 3) Higher labour cost. Expected to go up even further in tendence with the higher minimum wage. Additional fees that Hevea needs to pay is the foreign labour levy. 4) Higher operating cost due to machines operating at below the optimum level (due to lack of workers).
Until the issues of foreign labour is resolve (being the biggest issue for Hevea at the moment), i foresee that the margins that we saw in the 3 previous quarters are likely to remain.
In terms of valuation, the company is currently trading at a very high PE. Even if the company can achieve a profit of RM15 mil in FY18 (meaning 4Q18 profit need to be around RM5mil or more than 50% higher than 3Q result), at the current share price the company is still trading at an expensive valuation of 25x PE.
Those that are already invested in the company will need to be prepare to face some volatility in the near term. The coming 4Q18 results almost certainly will be lower than last years.Given the lack of profit growth offer by the company, most investors would prefer to diversify their position into other companies.
If you are interested in investing in the company, it would be better to wait for the labour supply issue to be resolve ( i don't think it would be anytime soon). Given the current market condition you can actually find a lot of companies that currently trade at a cheaper valuation but still able to offer growth to its investors in the near and mid term.
MBMR is a direct proxy to Perodua via its 22.6% interest in the company. Valuation is cheap at only 6.0x PE (based on target FY18 PATAMI of RM145mil. 9m PATAMI is already RM106mil). PB is low at only 0.6x BV. 4Q18 results is expected to be higher than 3Q18 and last year's 4Q17. And FY19 growth will be driven by the still high demand of new Myvi and the launch of the new SUV in 1Q19.
whole world is dropping, I still believe Hevea is good bet. So long, with the extra 20 million from non cash flow depreciation. I hope Hevea continue to pays at least 1.2 cents per quarter.
@Iksiam, read my question carefully.I'm asking 'Did KYY recommend Hevea'! I didn't see KYY mention Hevea. That's why I'm curious why so many people said so.
What I heard is Hevea may have slim profit but order is more than supply. One day the workers, pricing ... will be solved. As long as they keep their promise during last AGM by paying out dividend using 20 million depreciation. The stock still good to hold or rather time to collect more
@MirageHotelPD, Haha.. I did read your post. To me, is the same.
"That's why I'm curious why so many people said so." That's why i said do your own homeworks if you want to get a real and reliable answer. This is particularly true in i3 forum.
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Posted by yfchong > 2018-11-25 19:46 | Report Abuse
Rta... Labour issues or really deep shit...