MArch 2015 when oil price dropping . the boss still spend 60 M to purchase a OSV.. What a sohai boss. last year he said will not focus on OSV biz anymore .
With currently almost rm1b contracts in hand that last 3-5 years, it's most unlikely into pn17. I would reckon it's revenue for this 2Q is around rm80m, if they have received the first preliminary payment from the latest contract secured in March this year.
September 2, 2019 Alam Maritim (AMRB MK) Exited CDRC; a positive catalyst BUY Share Price 12m Price Target Previous Price Target Company Description [Prior:SELL] Raised TP from MYR0.06 to MYR0.18; U/G to BUY 1H19 core loss was in line with our estimate. We raise FY20-21E earnings on improving prospects (higher OSV utilisation & underwater services ops). Also, Alam has exited the CDRC scheme, which is a positive catalyst that warrants a valuation re-rating. Our revised TP (+200%) is based on a higher 0.4x BV to reflect mean valuations post sub-USD100/bbl oil price vs. 0.1x BV previously (a debt default risk valuation). OSV ops turnaround in 2Q19 2Q19 core net loss of MYR4m (-29% QoQ; -72% YoY) took its 1H19 core loss to MYR9m (-56% YoY), accounting for 49% of our FY estimate. The lower QoQ loss was driven mainly by the turnaround at its OSV division. Despite registering lower utilisation, it managed to reduce opex and reported MYR1m in EBIT (vs. LBIT of MYR2m in 2Q19). This was, however, offset by the continuous losses at its associate (-MYR2m) and underwater services division (-MYR2m), respectively. Improving prospects Its net gearing level was 12% at end-Jun 2019. We understand that Alam has recently exited the CDRC scheme, a positive re-rating catalyst, in our view. There is no debt haircut except for: (i) a 7-year extension on principal debt repayment up to 2024; and (ii) lower interest rates (5% now vs. 6-7%). This is a positive from a cashflow and working capital perspective. Operationally, it has reactivated 2 OSVs for charter in 3Q19 with 4-5 to go (currently docked), which will further strengthen its financials ahead. Notwithstanding that, its underwater services activities will also see improvement, driven by Vestigo’s EPCI USD59m contract. Raise FY20-21 earnings; the worst is over Our FY19 earnings are unchanged but we raise FY20-21 earnings to reflect improved OSV and underwater services ops. We now expect lower interest expense, higher OSV utilization of 70-71% (+1-2ppts) and lower opex (-8-12%) for FY20-21. All in, we expect Alam to break-even (ex-OSV assets impairment) in FY20 and return to profit in FY21. An OSV service provider, operating largely in Malaysia FYE Dec (MYR m) Revenue EBITDA Core net profit Core EPS (sen) Core EPS growth (%) Net DPS (sen) Core P/E (x) P/BV (x) Net dividend yield (%) ROAE (%) ROAA (%) EV/EBITDA (x) Net gearing (%) (incl perps) Consensus net profit MKE vs. Consensus (%) Liaw Thong Jung tjliaw@maybank-ib.com (603) 2297 8688 FY17A FY18A 161 93 (36) (72) FY19E 172 33 (18) (2.0) nm 0.0 nm 0.2 0.0 (4.7) (2.9) 2.2 net cash (19) 0.7 FY20E 199 45 0 0.0 nm 0.0 nm 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.6 net cash (14) 100.1 FY21E 216 49 4 0.5 57,925.0 0.0 20.5 0.2 0.0 1.1 0.7 nm net cash (10) 141.7 (98) (10.6) nm 0.0 nm 0.3 0.0 (21.8) (10.8) nm 16.1 - - (84) (9.1) nm 0.0 nm 0.2 0.0 (35.0) (11.3) nm 10.2 - - Statistics 52w high/low (MYR) 3m avg turnover (USDm) Free float (%) Issued shares (m) Market capitalisation Major shareholders: SAR Venture Lembaga Tabung Haji Caprice Capital Intl. Price Performance 0.240 0.220 0.200 0.180 0.160 0.140 0.120 0.100 0.080 0.060 Sep-17 Dec-17 Mar-18 Jun-18 Sep-18 Dec-18 Mar-19 Jun-19 Alam Maritim - (LHS, MYR) Alam Maritim / Kuala Lumpur Composite Index - (RHS, %) Absolute (%) Relative to index (%) Source: FactSet -1M -3M -12M 0 6 (24) 1 8 (14) MYR 0.10 MYR 0.18 (+89%) MYR 0.06 0.15/0.07 0.1 45.0 924 MYR87.8M USD21M 35.7% 10.1% 7.8% 210 190 170 150 130 110 90 70 50 30 THIS REPORT HAS BEEN PREPARED BY MAYBANK INVESTMENT BANK BERHAD PP16832/01/2013 (031128) SEE PAGE 7 FOR IMPORTANT DISCLOSURES AND ANALYST CERTIFICATIONS Malaysia Oil & Gas Shariah Compliant
I agree.Alam will be passing 20 cent worst case scenario.If things gone 2-3 quarter of of increase in profit consecutively then testing the 30 cent possible.Finally we agree with this counter.
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This book is the result of the author's many years of experience and observation throughout his 26 years in the stockbroking industry. It was written for general public to learn to invest based on facts and not on fantasies or hearsay....
SuperPanda
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Posted by SuperPanda > 2019-08-23 18:40 | Report Abuse
if +ve then will be above expectation.. price will shoot up