he company's slow progress in securing officialmining rights has been a big letdown. While we have been waiting patiently for the award to materialise, after the Terengganu Menteri Besar's second verbal confirmation in December 2011 on awarding the concession providedsome assurance, that official word on the award is just around the corner.Meanwhile, Perwaja is building its pelletizing plant which is hoped will boostthe profitability of its direct reduction plant. This plant will allow it to meet its own iron ore pellet needs, as well as achieve total savings of up to USD50 a tonne from the procurement oflocal iron ore, logistics benefits, in-house value-adding and utilization oftax credits on accumulated losses. As for its existing iron and steelmaking operation, we suspect that the kitchen sinking carried out in 4QFY11 may have reconciled the materialcosting to present levels and thus do not expect another impairment, unlessthere is another drop in material prices. Nonetheless, we are keeping ouroriginal estimates of a marginal profit in FY12 before the new iron processing plant starts to contribute significantly. As we are keeping our hopesalive on Perwaja's upstream makeover, we are only cutting our recommendation toTrading BUY, although our fair value is nudged lower to RM1.21. We are addingonly 10% instead of 20% of iron ore DCF to our base valuation of 0.56x FY12 BV.
I believe that the steel producers' share performance would be more moderate going forward. I see the near-term upside gain as possible due to strong momentum of ETP demand.
(1) Ann Joo Resources Type Mini-blast furnace for production of hot metal/pig iron Location Prai, Penang Capacity 450 cu m or 500,000 tonnes Value (RM mil) 600 New jobs created approximately 640 Date commissioned October 2011
(2) Perwaja Holdings Type Iron ore concentration & pelletization plant Location Bukit Besi, Terengganu Capacity (tonnes) 240,000 Phase 1 120,000 Phase 2 120,000 Value (RM mil) 400 New jobs created approximately 3000 skilled & unskilled Targeted commissioning Phase 1: 1H12 Phase 2: 2H12
If Petronas , Trengganu Government or even the Central government intervened in the equity distributions, by holding certain percentage of Perwaja stock, I guess , they wouldnt be defamed into promoting Time Chronolism parctices as Perwaja is one of the best company in this region that was build up during the best time of the agricultural and midheaval time of Malaysian automotive industries.Maybe, there should be effort in neutralizing political link sentiments of Sovereigniety rule as it is a sovereign company , established in a sovereign state.
Technically, Perwaja's uptrend has been confirmed after the 20MA crossed over 50MA. Recently, price was under consolidation and found its support @0.66. Price was boosted by the news today but failed to break the overhead resistance 0.685 at the time of writing. In order to confirm its reversal price must overcome this barrier to break away from the squeeze. Its next strong support is @0.63. The impressive business venture entail a gradual accumulation.
The Board of Perwaja Holdings Berhad ("Perwaja" or "the Company") would like to clarify that Perwaja is currently in discussion with the relevant parties to finalize the terms and conditions for the award of the mining rights to Perwaja. Once these terms and conditions have been finalized, an agreement will be signed in due course. Perwaja will make the necessary announcements, at the appropriate tim
......................................................................... Jz hold ur position and wait for the announcement....the price will go up. Now look like more on collection on this share.
PETALING JAYA: Perwaja Holdings Bhd has received a writ of summons and a statement of claim from Petroliam Nasional Bhd for the sum of RM146.14mil including a claim of interest of RM10.31mil.
This is the total amount invoiced for the supply of dry gas by Petronas to Perwaja Steel, a statement to the stock exchange said.
Perwaja Steel said it “will be entering into a defence via its solicitors due to disagreement in the credit period.”
It also added it didnot expect any loss arising from this claim but said it has made sufficient provision to meet any liability that may arise.
WITH IRON ORE CONCENTRATION AND PALLETIZING PLANT NEAR COMPLETION AND IRON ORE MINING IN PLACE,Perwaja is on a transformation path. It may be difficult to recover to the $2.90 IPO price but if everything go well it's share price might recover to $1.5 to $2.00. Go Perwaja !!!!
This book is the result of the author's many years of experience and observation throughout his 26 years in the stockbroking industry. It was written for general public to learn to invest based on facts and not on fantasies or hearsay....
nazriwbw80
565 posts
Posted by nazriwbw80 > 2012-01-27 22:05 | Report Abuse
Bullish soon