rakutens tp of rm 1.25 is quite a conservative estimate. I foresee an upwards revision when the upcoming earnings surprise is reported good luck all :)
The increase in demand for chemicals provided by samchem will not only occur in Malaysia, but in all of its operating regions including vietnam, indonesia and singapore.
SAMCHEMS most recent quarter saw a record breaking revenue and PAT despite the lockdown in malaysia (its largest revenue contributor in FY20).
Now that the malaysian economy is recovering, it will begin contributing to the company's earnings again, bumping up the earnings even higher.
Moreover, in its most recent quarter, SAMCHEM saw its revenue from the Vietnam operating region jump by 120% yoy. Proving the immense growth SAMCHEM is seeing in the international market.
I am confident in the growth of SAMCHEM as a leading industrial and specialty chemicals distributor in the SEA region, atrributing this confidence to its strong consistent growth in Malaysia, and its recent explosive growth in Vietnam.
As i mentioned in the chart link sent above, the current TA of SAMCHEM looks promising, the probability for it to break the ATH is verh high. Its latest weekly candle is also a green hammer which depicts the bulls grew much stronger than the bears towards the end of the week, this momentum should carry forward to this coming week and help it challenge the ATH. Exciting times are ahead!
There's no telling how high SAMCHEM would go after breaking its immediate resistances and consequently, its ATH. However, based on the company's continued pursuit of organic growth in the SEA region, I wish to see at least RM 1.58 based on the industry average 12x PE on SAMCHEM's FY21(F) earnings.
Note that this is quite a conservative estimate, I assumed the following 2 quarters left of FY21 sees no growth in earnings at all (which is quite unlikely given the current economic recovery and pent-up demand for industrial chemicals seen across its operating region will boost earnings).
Also, the Graham Number of SAMCHEM estimates a fair value of RM 1.96. Thank you.
Lol...same story, this counter can't stay above rm1 and always GG at this level, I sold some at 0.94...oil & gas and plantation is faster...drken91 talked so much but price is still the same...funny...dun con people pls
SAMCHEM which distributes industrial and specialty chemicals will be the main beneficiary from any industrial activity recovery. Its diversified client base allows it to enjoy steady growth with low std.error through time as proven during the lockdowns.
The main upcoming theme will most likely be revolved around the recovery of industrial output, and likewise, the companies along the value chain will benefit. Now that the industry theme is identified, we can proceed with investing in the company that is best positioned to capitalise on this overall industrial output recovery. I'm choosing to put my money in SAMCHEM. Thank you.
Samchem executive director Ng Ai Rene says the group is confident of delivering another record year.
Thin Poh is confident about the group’s prospects in Vietnam.
“We expect [Vietnam’s contribution to group revenue] to grow exponentially. The population in Vietnam is more than 90 million, and Malaysia’s is only one third of that. Vietnam’s economy is mainly based on manufacturing for exports, so the amount of chemicals needed is about three times that in Malaysia,” he says.
Ai Rene says the group plans to be in “every industrialised country in this region”.
This book is the result of the author's many years of experience and observation throughout his 26 years in the stockbroking industry. It was written for general public to learn to invest based on facts and not on fantasies or hearsay....
thesteward
6,782 posts
Posted by thesteward > 2021-09-30 15:55 | Report Abuse
But don’t chase la wait for small correction just my view