EVEL..was trying to recall when n how did i get the final target of 1.09-1.11 which i mentioned b4....I wont advise to take risk here for the aforesaid target.The 5 wave sequence shud be over soon n retracement target on the downside shud be seen at 0.90 first.
TP/FV:RM1.57 based on PER of 12x FY14F EPS of 13.1 sen.
Although TAS’ MYR5.3m 1QFY14 core net profit only accounted for 23% of our full-year estimate, due to lower sales recognition on its projects, we do not view this as a concern. The company is backed by a strong MYR372m orderbook, which is equivalent to 2.7x of its FY13 revenue. Its quarterly earnings also surged by more than twofold on the back of a 67% y-o-y jump in revenue, mainly due to the reversal of a MYR3.3m trade receivables impairment loss and a MYR1.8m foreign exchange gain. Excluding the impairment loss reversal, net profit growth was still at an impressive 95% y-o-y. Thus, we maintain our BUY call on TAS, with a higher FV of MYR1.57, pegged to a higher target P/E of 12x. We deem this valuation as fair, as it implies a low 3-year average PEG of 0.13x. The company’s fundamentals remain unchanged too, underpinned by its strong orderbook, positive growth prospect in the oil & gas (O&G) sector and its ability to capitalise on Labuan’s low-tax system.
Stronger y-o-y results. While TAS’ 1QFY14 core net profit of MYR5.3m accounted for only 23% of our full-year target, we maintain our forecasts on the company for now, as its revenue tends to fluctuate according to its project progress billings, which we believe is not a concern. Our view is backed by its strong orderbook of MYR372m, which is equivalent to 2.7x of its FY13 revenue of MYR138m. Normally, TAS will only recognise a huge portion of its billings upon the delivery of a vessel. Hence, we should see greater sales recognition in the coming quarters. On a y-o-y comparison, net profit surged by more than twofold to MYR8.5m, on the back of a 67% jump in revenue to MYR29.6m. The better results were mainly due to the reversal of an impairment loss on trade receivables of MYR3.3m and foreign exchange gains of MYR1.8m. If you strip off the impairment loss reversal, the company still reported an impressive net profit growth of 95% y-o-y.
Stronger q-o-q bottomline. TAS reported lower q-o-q revenue on quarterly basis, down by 39% to MYR29.6m in 1QFY14. This was primarily due to a sales recognition of one anchor handling tug supply (AHTS) vessel in 4QFY13. Nevertheless, its MYR8.5m bottomline was 177% higher q-o-q, due to the aforementioned impairment loss reversal and foreign exchange gains. When you strip off the former, earnings growth was still higher at 71% q-o-q.
Healthy orderbook, more in the pipeline. To date, TAS has secured a total orderbook of MYR372m. We understand that the company is still actively in talks with potential customers for more contracts. Earlier this month, it sold an AHTS vessel to a new Indonesian customer for MYR38m, indicating that TAS is now able to expand its customer base by penetrating into the Indonesian O&G market.
Maintain BUY, FV raised to MYR1.57. We are introducing our FY15 forecast. In view of the stronger growth in TAS’s 1QFY14 results, we are raising our FV to MYR1.57, based on FY14F EPS of 13.1 sen that is pegged to a 12x P/E – a 25% discount to its 4-year average P/E of 16x. We deem this valuation as fair, given that, at 12x P/E, this implies a low 3-year average PEG ratio of 0.13x. Furthermore, there is a possibility that the company will secure more contracts which could contribute for the FY15f performance and the FY15f’s PER is now projected at only 6.6x based on 11.5% organic earnings growth. All in all, TAS’s fundamentals remain unchanged, underpinned by its strong orderbook, positive growth prospects in the O&G sector and its ability to capitalise on Labuan’s low-tax system.
"The company is backed by strong orderbook of MYR372m, equivalent to 2.7x of its FY13 revenue" this is a strong enough reason tht it will rise and shine
ok...will try to study wave as well,,now using the bollinger and TAS looks like out of band...but price stil going up..hihihi so basically means my charting is off :/
1.09-1.(my final tp given in the posting)is already overextended the normal extended wave...current upwave already covers the final upwave...unless we c some reasonable downward correction,dont think of fishing the bottom.
This book is the result of the author's many years of experience and observation throughout his 26 years in the stockbroking industry. It was written for general public to learn to invest based on facts and not on fantasies or hearsay....
usry
1,202 posts
Posted by usry > 2013-10-23 17:18 | Report Abuse
profit is double.. so fundamental still strong.. will sell half and keep half..