I would also like to add on that under MMLR PN16 Paragraph 2.2, the exchange requested any cash company to make a Requisite Announcement that contains: (a) Details of the proposal; (b) Timeline for the complete implementation of the proposal; and (c) Inclusive of a Principle Advisor for the announcement. In this case, the MGO was assisted by Hong Leong Investment Bank Berhad and MIDF Amanah Investment Bank, which they would in turn, be the advisor (or one of them) of the RTO proposal.
Both are well known in handling such cases. I think your group somehow misunderstood the RM 1.070 valuation. The new shares are issued based on the MGO, and the number of shares is not determined yet. Take ANCOMLB as an example, the RTO reference price per share of RM 0.100, and the LDP for ANCOMLB is RM 0.375.
Hence, reference price serves as a reference, but the dilutive effect does not drag down the share price as per said.
Next interesting argument is on profitability and reNIKOLA being a newly set-up company. Do note that the corporate structure of reNIKOLA is complex so I don’t expect all to understand. However, SBU Power Sdn. Bhd. was incorporated in 15th September 2016, and RE Gebeng Sdn. Bhd. was incorporated in 20th November 2015. And don’t forget Halpro Engineering Sdn. Bhd. was incorporated in 20th July 2016. As the ultimate shareholder of this companies, I think the claim that reNIKOLA is a newly incorporated company with no profit background is merely hoax and false statement. I would like to also add on that RAM has certified these companies and assisted in issuing a AA3 ASEAN Green SRI Sukuk. Please enlighten me if you find any similar company that is doing RTO that receive the same rating.
*Fun Fact: The Sukuk issuance was also aligned with SC’s framework. These 3 companies contributed a total of 64 MWac (MWac and MWp has some difference in it, maybe you could ask your group to explain to you). Which is larger than CYPARK, SAMAIDEN or SLVEST. So when we are talking about a company with a market cap of RM 152 Million, how is it expensive?
As for the PACs issue, I do not understand what the group is trying to say and if the admin of your group suspects a share manipulation, he or she should report to SC. And I would also know more about the group – now that SC has banned “sifus” for charging people for analysis, how is this DK still operating?
Since Pimpinan Ehsan Berhad (Or better known as, PEB) had announced a corporate proposal of reverse takeover with reNIKOLA who owns up to 64 MWa.c. solar PV plant, the company’s share price soared. But some investors might be concerned – how does the technical graph look like?
- Based on HoG’s analysis on the 15 minutes graph, we can see that the share price had trailing upwards strongly driven by investor’s demand in the solar themed company. A strong support can be seen now at the price of 2.150 to 2.200. Any drop to this level will be immediately eaten up by investors.
- The chart shows a small consolidation around 2.200 level, which is healthy for the price movement before challenging the recent high of 2.410.
- EMA 5, 8, 13, 21 shows a consolidation around current level, and short term EMA crossing above mid and long term EMA, strong buy-in signal.
- Backed by strong fundamental and takeover story, a few more bounce around 2.200 level could lead to another challenge on 2.410 level.
- Once broken the resistance, next psychological resistance level would be around 3.000 level.
- Short term target of 3.000, mid term target of 5.000 for now.
believe it is not too late to invest in PEB now, given the valuation comparison as well as the future prospects of the RE sector. The company had already operating a larger MWp solar plant base than CYPARK.!!!! Solar Titan -PEB
DK group somehow misunderstood the RM 1.070 valuation and many other issues.
The new shares are issued based on the MGO, and the number of shares is not determined yet. Take ANCOMLB as an example, the RTO reference price per share of RM 0.100, and the LDP for ANCOMLB is RM 0.375.
Hence, reference price serves as a reference, but the dilutive effect does not drag down the share price as per said.
Those who had visited Jaks forum surely know that DK66/DK never collected any subscription fees.
His comment was a response to a personal question from me. I just thought it is good to share here.
Since you prefer to think that he has misunderstood the relevance of new share issue price of RM1.07, I will not reveal his further comment. For your information, he was a professional auditor.
Under SLVEST, the company has 4 key segments; namely the EPCC of solar energy solution, O&M of solar energy system, sale of electricity through solar energy and “others”. Technically, O&M and sale of electricity are similar, and we can see the inter-segment revenue crossed between them. Based on SLVEST’s annual report for financial year end 2020 March, the company had only owned a 1 MWp solar PV plant. Most of SLVEST’s revenue comes from EPCC segment and SLVEST’s market capitalization is currently approximately MYR 989.0 Million.
Lastly, SAMAIDEN had 3 segments. Namely EPCC services, RE and Environmental Consulting Services and O&M Services. Like SLVEST, a big chunk of revenue of SAMAIDEN comes from EPCC sector and minimal revenue and profit were contributed from O&M services. The company plans to invest in a 12 MW solar PV power plant but had not integrated into the company yet, and under their IPO plans, the management had also shared their interest in biogas/biomass plant. As of now, the market capitalization of SAMAIDEN stands at approximately MYR 361.0 Million.
Based on the studies we did above, the closest peer for PEB, or reNIKOLA in the future should be CYPARK alone. SLVEST and SAMAIDEN are not matured in operating their own solar PV farm, and they are specialized in EPCC, which means they are more focused in the contract basis business.
PEB will be the stock to watch - A pure play in Solar Energy concession holdings.
Investors should be focused on true renewable energy concession holdings.
One of the largest players currently in the market should be Mega First Corp Berhad (“MFCB”), and not Solarvest Holdings Berhad (“SLVEST”) or Samaiden Group Berhad (“SAMAIDEN”) with injudicious valuations.
Current valuation is pretty attractive - taking into account its massive potential in RE.
PEB前身为TRIplc Berhad,这家公司被交易所归类为PN 16的公司,主要是因为主要业务卖给了PUNCAK,但PEB本身仍然持有接近RM 70.3 million的现金,所以不被归类为PN 17。而根据最近最新的文告里提出,文告里的收购者由于收购份额高达65.5%,抵触SC收购条例的33%的股权限制,也就是Mandatory General Offer, 他们必须以RM 1.07来向小股东收购股权,以保护小股东的利益。
那么,这次收购方案是否是一颗还未发亮的钻石? 这次收购的对象是一家潜质太阳能公司——reNIKOLA,而这家公司与国内其他的太阳能公司不同,因为他们大部分都是EPCC contractor,而reNIKOLA是真正拥有 Solar Farm,也就是太阳能发电厂,主要将收集到的太阳能转换成能源,并且通过Tenaga的通电网售卖给国内企业,因为新能源的兴起,许多国内外国公司他们都会偏向采用新能源,如著名的欧洲汽车品牌。
注:这次的RTO已经进入HOA (Head of Agreement),并不是MOU,是实实在在的在进行,预期应该会在年尾就会完成全部手续,而在去年也有一个著名的收购案,那就是S5 —— ANCOMLB,但是当时我们能通过MYEG收购S5的股权判断公司的收购价,而这次没有参考的例子,是否值得投资,那就看大家眼光,还是那句,最近大市不好,投资有风险,买入前需谨慎。 Published by J.Bull Invest
dont take current mkt value of PEB to compare with others. Current mkt value is overvalued for an empty company. Nothing inside. Those who buy at current price is paying so high a premium. Before annoucement, the company also empty shell, worth only 96 sen
Nikola not injected yet. Nobody knows what is buying price for Nikola. If Nikola sells for RM1 billion, PEB shares will be very expensive, not worth buying
This is why you are "typical retailer". SLVEST and SAMAIDEN are EPCC player and does not own their concession assets. Yet their share price spike and PE ratio is over 100 times. This is purely based on investors' sentiment on renewable energy - or to be precise, solar energy. Concession assets enable a company to earn a sustainable flow of income over time and should be more valuable than so called EPCC player.
Do you know why analysts always give lower PE to project based companies? That is because their unpredictability in earnings in short, mid and let's not even long term. If you are smart enough, just go ahead and refer LSS tariff and do the math yourself on the potential earnings. Or are you trying to depress the price so you can buy more?
as a "typical retailer", i only understand very shallow things, like I should compare in similar biz when evaluating investment opportunity and not other slightly related companies and try to bang on investors's sentiment to invest, talking about PE 100 times when it is non comparable
I'm also not smart because I don't look at LSS tarif and estimate potential earnings caused I already know exactly how much projects with a "FINITE" lifespan would be valued at...
Wouldn't you be happy if price is depressed ? ...or you are one of those few who jumped in at higher price and now trying to justify the impossible with 100 PE statements ?
I not so smart like you...I only know concession companies, although can have a predictable stream of earnings over its concession period, it is again bound by the limits of the concessions which means it cannot have superb growth in revenue...Every parameter is fixed upfront...There can never be upside surprises as revenue is fixed , conversely there is only downside risk of cost overrun etc...
So your smart statement of "concession assets should be more valuable than EPCC companies" is so very "smart" statement.... I love investors like u...full of confidence in making wrong assumptions and yet still unaware of it.....With investors like you out there...easy money for me.
Investing in companies like PEB is similar to investing in REITs. . A steady inflow of cash over a predetermined period of time in accordance with the contract.
But...it is worse than a REITs company ....because end of the contract, the assets of PEB is greatly marked down by obsolescence in technology, wear and tear of the solar panels, generators and all...whereas the properties in a REITs would be much valuable (under normal circumstances) than before....But then again...what am I....?..I'm only a "typical retailer" who is not smart enough....
The bulls on PEB better pray hard that the solar assets are injected at significant discount to their FV to justify the current share price. How good the solar biz is does not mean anything cos the injection price is NOT FIXED yet. One has to analyze the whole injection thingy using CF technique. If the solar asset injections were to be carried out at FV, the share price will go back to RM1.07, plain and simple. If you don't understand the argument, seek help from an investment banker friend to explain to you how it works.
Bingo......Now...cg14134 is someone who clearly identified the most important issue. What is the asset price used for injection ?. He/She is clearly someone who can distil the corporate exercise and analyse it carefully.
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Posted by vespa > 2021-03-02 08:43 | Report Abuse
Thanks Just88