Now only 3.78% treasury shares retain. Still have another 3.22% to go before they slow down in the shares buyback. That may need another 2 months to go and by that time, Parkson would announce Q4 results.
Buying land is for future gain. Market value for the land is RM191 million but bought at RM93 million. Maybe in future can sell the land and make gain like KL Festival City Mall? Don't forget this year WC has bought Parkson at higher price than now. Does he want to lose his own money?
Land value RM191 million doesn't mean there is a quick taker. If buy from PHB, at least WC still own it in a way. Afterall he made most of the decision. Maybe in 3 years time, he wants to buy back the land for RM100 million and PHB would allow it. Get RM93 million for 3 years and pay back RM100 million. Better than borrowing from banks.
Shares buyback has reached 4.28% as at 30th December 2014. Another 1.72% to go before they going to slow down in the buyback. I think they can easily hit that by end Jan 2015.
HowIn, if hits 6% by then, it will repeat its approach of declaring dividend shares as of 2014. Next, they buy again to support the share price as shares buyback cannot exceed 10%. They can do this until maybe July 2015 before declaring another dividend shares.
Next, they need to seek AGM mandate to approve another round of share buyback. The price may drop again from August to November 2015 if there are no solid evident of the company delivering better results in Q1 2015 - Q3 2015.
Shares buy back has slowed down for the past one week. Is it because of cash allocated for buyback has been exhausted or the price has stabilized and there's no need to support the counter price anymore?
Parkson treasury stock already reach 5.15%, anytime from now can declare 3rd round share dividend 1:20.
Although Parkson earning still under recovery stage, but with RM weakening against RMB (1 RM: 0.58 RMB, already depreciate more than 10%). Parkson china earning translate in RM will be higher.
Think they will only announce dividend share after Parkson has announced Q4 results in end Feb. Dividend shares payout should be somewhere in end March or April 2015, just like last year.
Another poor performance in China. The management is busily closing down non performing stores in China. If not for shares buy back, the counter price would have dropped to RM2.
Not the fittest, in the same category of service provider, hard to survive in long term, competitions also become fiercer and fiercer every year. The cost to run the business is mediocre, the company is slimer and slimer over time, they need to grow new roots (blood lines), so that the company or the tree can grow bigger. The mistake is they plan for short term and because they don't know what is going to happen in the long term. It is not they didn't plan, it is just that, "they should be planning for short term and long term together". When they are planning for short term they should incorporate the long term perspective into consideration. When they are planning for long term, they should also incorporate short term conditions into studies. You just can't split long term planning and short term planning and do them at two different times based on need and requirement. This is what is causing the company (or all the lion group of companies) to pay huge price for what is happening now. A simple person also know that need and requirement must go in sync, there are not doing this right? What do you think? They did not sell assets but increases their debts also when the present conditions are unfavorable, always pinning of future hopes? Sell assets! Those bring the whole Malaysia financial system down with you? The Lion Group owes the Malaysia banks debts of RM$4.7 (figures from Chinese Newspaper) or something billions. If they go bust, what is going to happen to Malaysia financial system. 再玩會死人的 !! 不過你也跑不掉!!你住馬來西亞!難道你沒有長眼睛嗎!你還在拍手做什莫?白癡還是天真?你自己講給大家聽?
When a company is in trouble, it should at least implement a 5-steps policy to overcome its trouble! The Goal is to not to avoid the external trouble (too late ) now, but to change yourself (the internal) first with (1) the confident in yourself (you don't need other people's confident) and stop doing things that you yourself are not sure you can succeed or not in the present time. The 5 steps are not so difficult to do: This is taught by Buddha!
I only can teach you how to go from emptiness (your reaction to yourself) to wisdom (your reaction to other people): this you have to do it yourself.
(1) Get to Know Yourself
(2) Get to know Other people
(3) Change Yourself.
(4) There is no good and bad in this world (give other people and yourself time).
(5) You have to do what is right to get to the right ending (be patient do
the necessary first before get to the important in the future). How to tackle things that you are not able to do: 3 steps: The Buddha's most fundamental method: The most fundamental mistake Buddha say we make is:
(1) Greedy(you),Angry(at other people), Stupidity (your relationship with people).
The mistake is you give yourself a too high expectation, you are tend to expect
a lot too much from other people, you end up being stupid and sink into
continuous depression.
(2) The most fundamental method Buddha suggests is:
Simple (you), Lower( from other people), Stable (find mutual ground or benefits to both parties to work with in the long term).
I think what Buddha means to say: (1) Keep yourself simple to understand (for respecting people), (2) don't expect too much from people by giving them time (for thinking on their behalf in advance to save yourself later on), and (3)do the right thing instead of doing what is good or bad (for short term) for yourself and other people. Or else, you mind end up being (1) greedy, (2)angry, and (3) feeling stupid, like what Buddha said!
Buddha is 3000 years ago, see this same type of things repeats until now, like reincarnation! Usually, (1) we give ourselves to high expectation to complete in short term, (2) we require high expectation from people in short term, and (3) we feel stupid for after doing (1) and (2).
Hope You All Have a Smooth and Happy Ride For This Year
If You Becareful and Don't Be Over Ambitious From The Beginning!
Dividend share again of 1 share for 20 shares held. Ex date 11th March. Operating profit is no good. Q4 result is better due to disposal of festival mall and the Sri Lanka business.
Personally I prefer cash dividend. If the counter is a growth stock, I don't mind dividend shares as that would give me more return, since I can avoid paying the brokerage fees and taxes if I purchase the shares myself. However, for this counter, I don't think it's a good dividend as it is not a growth stock as per current situation and once they payout the dividend shares, the price will be adjusted to reflect it.
Here, it is going to give a 5% dividend shares and hence if the share price stays around RM2.35, with the adjustment, ex price should be around RM2.23. You gain nothing basically in term of value. If it's a growth stock, for it to go back to RM2.35 would be easy but for Parkson, kinda challenging.
Just my opinion and observation so far. Other members have any different views on this?
GoldenShares, be careful of the Q4 results. It's not improving as the profit is through the disposal of festival mall and Sri Lankan business. The SSS growth in Vietnam, China and Malaysia is -6%. Only Indonesian business is making positive SSS growth. The F&B businesses only contributed a very small fraction to the business.
The core business of retailing is not improving for the past 9 quarters.
This book is the result of the author's many years of experience and observation throughout his 26 years in the stockbroking industry. It was written for general public to learn to invest based on facts and not on fantasies or hearsay....
AdCool
3,864 posts
Posted by AdCool > 2014-12-16 11:01 | Report Abuse
retail investor use contra leh....