My portfolio already has enough MSC after yesterday added third batch at 2.20-2.22. It is now biggest stake in portfolio now, follow by series of gold stocks and REITS
Tin is cyclical and we should look at MSC performance over the cycle (long-term). Historically the company achieved an average ROE of > 10%. It was 14% in 2022. Fundamentally a sound company. The challenge is whether you can buy it at a cheap price
Malaysia gov ambition to develop 4GW solar power, Singapore ambition to import 4GW, Western like EU, US all keen to develop solar power plant
Tin is a crucial part of solar power infrastructure. Solar panels are formed of many individual solar cells, connected by “solar ribbon”. This ribbon is a copper wire, coated in a thin layer of tin solder. The ribbon carries the charge to the edge of the panel, where it feeds into junction boxes. This electrical system also requires solder connections – as does the grid infrastructure. In line with solar module production, tin use in the industry has been rapid, growing more than six-fold in the past decade.
bursa not very efficient leh, already know myanmar supply issue and tin price up last week, today only up... Give me opportunity to add more at 2.17+ before today jump...
MSC should trade valuation in line with Pmetal. Many analyst give very high premium to Pmetal due to its source energy from cheap hydro power and tag high score for ESG for its green product
But, many unknown, MSC is actual even greener than Pmetal as MSC use its own hydropower generation 5MW for mining activities and use solar power at its smelting plant
Upcoming usage in tin is at explosion rate, but production is cap.
1. EV is to replace billion petrol vehicle. 2. Charging station is to replace million petrol station 3. Solar power plant is to replace thousand fuel power plant
If oversea institutional fund look at MSc valaution if compared to other country tin stock, they will chase these embeded gem to trade in line with global tin stocks, afterall, market cannot ignore too long that MSC is world third largest tin exporter
always remember, Msc fair price is 3.13 for Tin 24500 , but now above 28000 for sometimes already. Not like glove , no one can simply build a tin mining business. it is limited , non-renewable resources.
Tin is expected to trade at 29401.91 USD/MT by the end of this quarter, according to Trading Economics global macro models and analysts expectations. Looking forward, we estimate it to trade at 32147.46 in 12 months time.
The Ministry of Finance and the Bureau of Industry and Mining, in accordance with “Wa Jing Zi No. 2023-06”, detailed the upcoming changes:
1. All mines within the mining area of Wa must gear up for the cessation of production from August 1. Preservation of existing facilities and infrastructures is mandated, with stringent penalties for intentional destruction or safety violations.
2. The state’s mines, open-pit mining areas, and concentrators are to enhance safety measures in slag piles, tailings, roads, and rivers prior to the rainy season to prevent safety hazards related to the mining halt.
3. Pumping operations will be permitted to avert mine collapse and minor damages, but any form of exploration or mining will remain prohibited.
4. Mining companies are instructed to collaborate with the Bureau of Industry and Mining’s Man Maw Inspection Section to settle wage disputes and trade debts for mining workers, precluding potential large-scale safety incidents.
5. A smooth demobilisation process for mine workers, inclusive of water and electricity safety provisions, is stipulated.
The unyielding stance exhibited by the Wa State government in its latest correspondence to mining firms demonstrates its serious intent to proceed with the mining suspension. It is positioned as a strong message to the mining sector about the government’s unwavering commitment to promote sustainable mining practices, protect the environment, and safeguard the welfare of mine workers. Companies failing to adhere to these guidelines risk facing severe economic and criminal repercussions.
Our free fortnightly email newsletter providing a summary of the latest tin industry developments as well International Tin Association news.
Generally speaking, the current tin industry chain has contradictions such as the shortage of upstream tin ore supply, the expected production reduction of smelters, and the relatively weak downstream terminal consumption. Therefore, the short-term tin price may show a pattern of easy rise but hard fall. "We expect that tin prices will still run strongly before August, and we need to pay attention to the implementation of the ban on mining in Wa State, Myanmar in early August, and the prosperity of the semiconductor industry in the second half of the year. If the mine ban in Wa State is implemented and the demand recovery stage resonance, tin prices may reach a high point in the second half of the year.
Eyes on Myanmar loh If the suspension is real lah Tin price will stay above 28000 for 6 months loh ( until demand is high) This bring the average of tin price about 27000 ++loh Surplus of 3000++ from analysts prediction (24000) will fully turn into the profits loh
1Q PAT 35 million, tin price 26460 lah If the volume about the same for each quarter lah MSc tak ada masalah to score 160 millions in this year loh Recrord high profits loh Eps 0.38 P/E 10 pun 3.8 loh P/E 15 5.70 loh
Sedap part is. In future, tin price will keep uptrend loh Maksud msc will always break profits record loh
The real impact will gradually reflect in global supplier sequence. Currently inventory still available to meet demand, but, storage level will gradually vacant
agree with hng33 and kebling, the inventory have cushion for the supply disruption, Tin price might not spike at this moment , but 28000 good enough to send MSC to above 3.50. The future is Tech, Tech need more and more Tin
This book is the result of the author's many years of experience and observation throughout his 26 years in the stockbroking industry. It was written for general public to learn to invest based on facts and not on fantasies or hearsay....
KClow
1,291 posts
Posted by KClow > 2023-07-28 10:19 | Report Abuse
Yup been very bullish for a few days now.
Hopefully investors can see it.
Strong buy