CK, typically MKH rewards shareholders with dividends and bonus issues. MKH could pay more dividend as its plantation is now capable of generating positive cash flow.
sold at 4.33 before raya to realize profits, bought back at 4.18 (a bit too early) before it went down all the way back to 4... I have no worries about the price, just that if buy at 4 could save a lil bit on cost hahah... good to see it flying up again. Can't wait for quarterly report. Still my favourite stock that pulled up my whole portfolio this year :)
If u check back Quater result at Feb. Ady plan for 0.1 dividend. So normally will give out after AGM. So hold tight n for bonus again next year. n nxt year n next year. hahha.. huat ahh
Wow, sold at 4.33 & bought back at 4.17. Some waiting to buy at 3.50... Many short termers & traders...no confidence on MKH over the long term.Investors don't try to go in & out...or use trading strategy.
hahah, I just happen to have some "info" that it's a pre-hari raya goreng goreng session, so decided to follow the trend. Now onwards am not selling anymore. Long term is good :)
Be a savvy investor, who know how to separate the wheats from the chaffs. But even Buffett can't be right everytime. And if he could time & outsmart mart like he can invest, he would be a trillionaire by now!
Issued Capital (m shrs) 419 Mkt. Cap (RMm/US$m) 1,682 / 528 Major Shareholders: Chen Choy & Sons Realty (%) 43.1 Public Bank Grp Off Fund (%) 9.8 Free Float (%) 47.1 Avg. Daily Vol.(‘000) 572
Worst case .. MKH 'retires' from plantation after realising huge profits of more than RM500 mil. Shareholders walk away with at least RM1.00 special dividend. Indonesia suffers from long term deterioration of capital income resulting from weaker IDR, higher cost of borrowing and lower FDI.
If mkh retires from plantation business, the 14.44 ha plantation can sell at least rm38,400/ha, total rm553mil. deduct liability of 303mil, still can get profit rm250mil = 60sen/share. but i think the new indonesia policy unlikely to enforce, bcos it involved a lot of foreign investors in indonesia.and huge fund (about 165mil) may withdraw from indonesia market.
Can't buy more, as i'm already fully invested. Don't want to sell other counters in my small & humble portfolio for more MKH shares...too much uncertainties over Indonesia's...
although mkh's plantation facing pressure from indonesia authority's new policy, but don't you remember mkh property sales target 800mil for fy2014? for the 1st half fy2014, the property sales already hit 380mil. the managing director do mention that their property sales target for fy2015 is 1bil. mkh's property business doing very well.
i bought at 3.50 on may , so sad dint sell at 4.30. but nvm , i have strong faith in mkh . is a strong comp ...ll keep it ...in fact just bought again today...hehehe..
everybody looking for coming financial result. i have do some calculation to forecast the earning of new result, i think mkh net profit will be around 12mil, eps between 3 to 5sen. plantation sector will face loss of 18mil due to forex loss of 35mil (idr depreciate against rm). if this type of result really appear, mkh share price will plunge further to below 3.50. i hope my calculate was wrong bcos i still keeping a lot of mkh share.
IOI reported higher profit with huge FX gain .. yet its share price drops. MKH reports lower profit with huge FX loss .. share price up or down? Guess investors look at fundamental in the case of IOI ..
The dampening factor is the low CPO price. But it is cyclical. 1. You have had election over for the high population countries India and Indonesia .. things are looking up. 2. US economy is talking about increasing its interest rate .. things should be picking up. 3. China has been supportive of oil palm industry.
aero1, forex loss in qtr 31.12.2013 was 19.9mil when idr depreciate 5%. in qtr 30.06.2014, idr depreciate 7%, liability is higher than 31.12.2013, so i estimate forex loss 35mil.
Cyclical blip in CPO price has little influence on the Result as long as FFB yield and extraction rate due to expansion of mill have not reached their full potential. A growing stock it is and exponentially as how Eddy had described it over the air!
mkh's plantation sector having 303mil liability, i would suggest mkh to offer right issue to source fund to reduce debt in rm and usd. plantation sector do very well but forex loss caused the financial result looking poor when idr depreciate.
Kevin Wong/wenyiwu1971 .. ya perhaps should talk more on the fundamental here. FX sometimes distorts and distracts our views from the underlying of the operations.
Aero1, idr-rm was 3,705 at 31 dec 2013 and 3,747 at 30 Jun 2014. although the forex gain/loss is only the accounting measure, but it will definitely affect the quarterly financial result and eventually will affect the share price. when mkh announce 63mil forex loss on 28/11/13, share price drop 18sen next day. when announce 19.9mil forex loss, share price drop 22sen next day. when annouce forex gain 29.4mil, share price up 28sen next day. so this time i forecast forex loss 35mil, share price may drop 30sen unlessl property can perform excellent and earning can cover forex loss.
lcng123 .. most of the RM300 million debts are in USD so the USD/IDR movement matters more. Not sure the portion of its plantation revenue and assets are in USD .. which will mitigate.
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This book is the result of the author's many years of experience and observation throughout his 26 years in the stockbroking industry. It was written for general public to learn to invest based on facts and not on fantasies or hearsay....
Carson Teor
266 posts
Posted by Carson Teor > 2014-08-14 08:07 | Report Abuse
cannot be down to 3.70, in uptrend now, let go in before too late