Thong Guan Industries (TGI MK, BUY, TP: MYR5.27) Set To Impress Again
We recently caught up with management and believe FY17F bears exciting prospects for Thong Guan (TG). Earnings drivers include further expansion at its stretch film and polyvinyl chloride (PVC) divisions, underpinned by robust demand for its products. We expect TG to post a solid 3-year earnings CAGR of 22%. We upgrade to BUY with a TP of MYR5.27 based on FY17F target P/E of 13x (from 10x).
TG looks set to post another stellar quarter and we believe the market will continue to re-rate the stock given its strong profits delivery.
Further expansion. Encouraged by the market’s reception of its new 33-layer nano technology stretch film commissioned in early-2016, Thong Guan (TG) will be adding another line in 1Q-2Q17, to cater to encouraging demand for the superior film type. The new line will increase stretch film capacity by c.25% and add an additional MYR90-100m in revenue pa. As TG moves up the value chain to offer higher value-add products, we expect the company to achieve better margins going forward. Ambition in the wraps. We also favour TG’s positioning as the only major polyvinyl chloride (PVC) food wrap producer in Malaysia and one of three largest in South-East Asia (SEA). It is targeting to be a market leader in SEA by end-2017 and has allocated MYR20-25m to add two more PVC wrap lines over the next eight months. Demand for PVC wrap is growing fast, with TG already facing a backlog of orders to be filled for the rest of the year. Overall PVC wrap capacity is currently running at around 90%. As the new lines come on-stream, this is expected to add MYR20-24m pa to total revenue. Food certification underway. TG’s noodle facility in Sungai Petani is awaiting organic certification from authorities in Australia, China and Japan, which could happen in the near future. Upon certification, it will be able to ramp up production to cater for larger noodle orders going forward. The company is currently engaged in talks with several retail chains in Australia and China to supply organic baby noodles. Upgrade to BUY. We tweak our FY16 estimates by 4.7% after accounting for stronger-than-expected utilisation rates at its stretch film division. We also raise our sales tonnage assumption by 17-26% in FY17-18 to account for the new capacity. Our SOP-derived TP is raised to MYR5.27 after rolling forward our valuation to FY17F, based on P/E of 13x, which is in line with the peer market cap weighted-average P/E of approx. 13x. Our target P/E of 13x implies a PEG- ratio of 0.59x.
Up-Down, maybe you want to add in RM 1.50 exercise price x 26.234 mil warrant = RM 39.5 mil / RM 0.21 real hard cash per share into your calculation of Tguan PER
Insiders' are collecting bit by bit over the past few days. I feel strongly that forthcoming QR will be good. Share prices have gradually moved upward and I believe RM5.00 will soon be reached.
At first glance, the result looked good with dividen. But if you study in detail, the profit has dropped actually from 18m to 14m (Qtr to Qtr) after take away the FX and property gain.
Whack up nicely as the current trend we can see only stocks with potential have the ability to go forward . This stock have been moving up quite steadily currently .
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resilient911
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Posted by resilient911 > 2016-08-16 12:49 | Report Abuse
double digit growth for coming quarter…