I afraid many has missed the crucial point of investing in tguan. Resin price drop is the secondly important factor but it can be offset by cost pass through vs saving pass through. The most important key to note is the VOLUME (more tonnage sold / higher revenue even during lower resin price). Tguan's revenue jump 15% y-o-y and 12% q-o-q. This gives them better economy of scale. You do not see such jump in scientex plaatic division.
Based on my LLDPE tracking, the price has collapsed further in Q4.
We shall see how's the volume loading Q4.
I'm sure the company continue to increase the production capacity for better demand from north america. Traditionally strong company like berry and APE foothold which asia company hard to penetrate.
Everyone know US and china will be there. Trade diversion is a sure thing.
Dear Ricky Yeo, I am not against ROIC. But in my opinion, it is useful for identifying lousy companies that capex non stop for poor return. Choivo article above is a good case for ROIC analysis
IMHO, ROIC is not suitable for analysing whether a stock deserves 10 or 15 times PER etc
Likely will need another improving qr to push the price to the next level at RM4. Meantime look like the current hovering price have already factor in . Rotational movement at play couldn't bring the price to higher level . Just my opinions.
People only focusing on gloves demand recently but forgotten about rubbish bags demand! Perhaps we shall c a dramatically increase in rubbish bags demand in de near future.
This book is the result of the author's many years of experience and observation throughout his 26 years in the stockbroking industry. It was written for general public to learn to invest based on facts and not on fantasies or hearsay....
ivanlau
1,388 posts
Posted by ivanlau > 2019-12-17 23:38 | Report Abuse
over panic sell by stupid investors, the prospect is still good, nothing to worry.