Reading the commentaries in this forum, I think some people still think that the company profit is highly dependent on gold price/ outlook. It’s actually no longer the case.
The company main revenue comes from their F&B business, SugarBun and Pezzo. However, a big chunk of the profit actually comes from the limestone business. Gold division only contributes around RM700k of revenue in the 1Q19 (from its operation in Bukit Ibam, Pahang). In 2Q19, total gold mine is only around RM600k (based on the monthly mining report to Bursa).
The rest of the mining revenue, amounting to more than RM3mil in 1Q19 was actually from the sales of limestone which is also the main contributor to the profit of the group. Limestone in general is used to manufacture building materials like cement, mortar and concrete. So, given that the company’s profit is highly correlated to the sales of limestone which depends on the demand for building material, we can actually deduce that Borneo Oil is actually highly correlates with the construction or property industries rather than the gold mining industry.
In 1Q19, the company sales of limestone drop substantially to only 101,00 MT compared to 4Q18 sales of 435,000 MT, a drop of more than 75%. Sales of limestone is expected to be low at least until the return of upcycle for the construction industry (which might not be in the near term). With this in mind, investors need to be prepared for the company to continuously post low profit in FY19.
MBMR is a direct proxy to Perodua via its 22.6% interest in the company. Valuation is cheap at only 7.0x PE (based on target FY18 profit of RM145mil. 9m profit is already RM106mil). PB is low at only 0.7x BV. 4Q18 results (which should be out by next week) is expected to be higher than 3Q18 and last year's 4Q17.
FY19 growth will be driven by the still high demand of the new Myvi and the newly launched SUV Aruz and also the newly revamp Alza in 2H19. The recent announcement of closure and potential disposal of the loss-making alloy wheel manufacturing business alone is expected to boost the company’s profit by an additional RM20mil. I am projecting a profit to shareholder of RM170 mil for FY19 which at the current price values MBMR at only 6.0x PE.
Please go through the analyst reports and do your own analysis before making any decisions. There are 8 analysts in total covering the stock with most of them having a TP of above RM3 (all have a buy rating). The average TP for the 8 analysts is around RM3.50.
Rate of Jan 2019 gold production has not improved compare with previous 2018 productions despite launching new mining technology. ! Was the new tech successfully launched?? What abt the palm oil bio diesel??
Sales Bornoil of course my favorite cup of coffe . But let say u buy in 100,000 talamt at 4c , u earn a lot if price spike to 800 c (80-4=76k)within a short time as ECRL almost released . I bet liow , the worst scenario it slump to 3c ( lost 1 k only ) ............................
This book is the result of the author's many years of experience and observation throughout his 26 years in the stockbroking industry. It was written for general public to learn to invest based on facts and not on fantasies or hearsay....
Crasd123
729 posts
Posted by Crasd123 > 2019-02-15 21:21 | Report Abuse
Borniol future rm33, back to yr 1992, Sugar bun is Bornoil rm33