I think the brand is still ok... but its all pricing and image. H&M you can get a nice blouse (don mine the quality good or not) for below RM50 - no need to wait for sale. I also notice that padini was giving big discounts to move stocks, that would hurt margins. Their corporate segment, more pricey, but they are in direct competition with a lot of brands some internal ones... Padini's only hope is Brand Outlet.... While we can bank on management to reinvent themselves, but since we are only investors, why not change counter which is less painful? If we are substantial shareholders, its a different story la!!
Good discussion. I dont think padini is able to compete with foreign brands. They need to reinvent their style and keep focus on what they are selling. As the saying goes, jack if all trades, master of none. They just trying too hard to sell everythg! To excel in business, you just need to have 1 signature dish, master that, all else will follow suit.diversifying into different apparels will only kill themselves. I hope the management sees my comment!
jagungman, you input should be listened by the management team. I wish they also follow up the talks here. Comments are good for improvement. Let's see how they can improve further.
The only thing that is keeping this ship afloat is the high dividend yield. For a low growth (may I say declining?) business like Padini, it is worth 10x PE at most. My TP for Padini is RM 1.4X or a minimum 15% downside. Believe it or not, once Padini's dividend is cut in the next financial year, the stock will tank below my TP of RM 1.4X. I wont explain why Padini's dividend will be cut. As a responsible investor, you should do your own diligent.
To the buffett wannabes here, I must say, be careful of what you wish for. I know this post is going to get a lot of sticks. But I am seeing many new investors making newbie mistakes on this stock and I am here to give them some light. I will be back once Padini hits RM 1.4X.
15/10/2014 Flintstones
Congratulations to my friends who listened to me. You have dodge a bullet. Now, I am willing to share another tips today. Padini will bottom once dividend is cut so there is more room to drop. Quickly take your money and run.
Management do have a clear business strategy for Padini and Brands Outlet but Vinci is a problem child for them. 10 cent regular dividend is unlikely to be cut for at least one more year due to their cash reserve. But financial performance should deteriorate further after GST as they have to absorb the tax until June 2016.
As i mentioned last week, the research houses purposely made good report so they can sell 1st....2moro sure drop like hell....RM1.1 will be better bet.............
if you look at the result , you will be surprise it is still cash rich. why panic? I bought @ 1.46 and I get 10sen dividend, the the DY = 6.8% . still better than FD. leave the money making to the management and we just sit back and enjoy the dividend. to win you must trust the management can make money for you. if the management is useless then how they can survive more than 20 years? if panic then you are punishing yourself. why not invest happily.
Stockoperator, Earning per share = 2.46sen, Dividend per share = 2.5 sen, still need use extra cash reserve for the dividend, is this a good move? Padini's cash will become less and less or DPS will be reduced half...............
My guess is the lucrative dividend is supporting the share price. The decrease in profit margin is pretty much factored at current price already so even thou the report came out but it's all in major investors' expectation. Nothing to worry about for current price.
This book is the result of the author's many years of experience and observation throughout his 26 years in the stockbroking industry. It was written for general public to learn to invest based on facts and not on fantasies or hearsay....
gg123
68 posts
Posted by gg123 > 2015-02-14 00:22 | Report Abuse
now 1.44 boleh beli kah?
Anyone can give me opinion