cant believe some still bashing this counter since last year. Spending almost 12 months just to bash the counter. Can you gain anything by bashing it? The resentment and grudge must be damn high. Must have entered above rm22 during the peak and cut loss when at rm18 before Supermax split. Just a 4k loss already have the resentment to bash for a year. If 40k loss, gonna bash for whole life.
skyu since when this q result is pronounced delayed? is normal for this company to release result end of the month such as 30th. 23/08/2021 11:03 AM
In fact most companies have their QR announcement approaching the last day of the deadline. Just because Supermax had an earlier QR announcement last quarter, some people assume this time it is delayed.
Nobody is hoping for PE100. Assuming June 30 was the peak for super profit and maintain 1 billion profit. That would be around EPS150 for the FY2021. Assuming that the ASP will drop from now on (as per what estimated by the market and IB back in last year before they heard of Delta, Lambda, Vaccination losing its effect after 6 months, booster shots required, world population is still under vaccinated even after 9 months), let's said the profit down back to 30% of the peak in 2023 (70% lower), that would be around EPS45. With PE15-20 which was the NORM, I repeat the NORM prior to Covid 19, Supermax should value at RM6.75 - RM9.00. Assuming in 2024, down another 30% of profit, the EPS would be 31.5. WIth PE15-20, Supermax should value at RM4.72 - RM6.30. Come 2025, another 30% drop of profit, Supermax would value at RM3.3 - RM4.41. That is 2025 for gosh sake! This only materialize if ASP dropped drastically in 2022 and 2023 (losing a total of 70%) and subsequently ASP losing 30% each year in 2024 and 2025.
All these didnt even factor in the volume increase, cash on hands, the automation investment, new biz venture (with 4-5 billions on hands, you can do wonder). The market is now valuing the counter purely on profit decline, not on the actual growth. The market is valuing the counter based on profit 1 billion per quarter and how much decline it gonna be in 2023 in comparison with 1 billion. If i made rm100mil per quarter in 2025, i gonna make rm400 mil in 2025. I still make money for gosh sake. Not that I make 90% loss as they compute it as 400mil/4 bil = 10%.
aiseh, lu really a kampung zai, in this highly competitive business, where in earth u will find a company to be so generous taking turn to raise the selling price? is all down to supply demand ma. but, tell lu la , even if sapuermaz report a extremely high Matt profit, the manipulator still wont push the pride up. if the nett product is much lower, the only reason is Stanley gone hayxrazy with impairment.
know nothing better, just shut up and stay in tour kampung ma
Hoping that pandemic gets worsen, if it does but glove share prices can't increase much the shareholders who bought at high price will lose both, money and a normal life.
This book is the result of the author's many years of experience and observation throughout his 26 years in the stockbroking industry. It was written for general public to learn to invest based on facts and not on fantasies or hearsay....
Keyman188
5,968 posts
Posted by Keyman188 > 2021-08-22 17:22 | Report Abuse
Bearish-vs-Bull....