Actually all the gloves stocks should be skyro ket just like last year if not the sin ga lan IB analyst or youtuber noisy with ASP everyday ! The results prove that glove company still make huge profits , where got drop drastically ???
Since this counter shot up last May, the phenomena has always follow the mantra "sell on fact", as shares got dumped and price drop after every "good news". Now that the price seems to factor in all the bad news, I wonder what the price will be tomorrow. The 15 sen will likely be factored in, so it should open around 3.25 or so....
In the previous QR when supermx mentioned ASP had peaked.and ASP was dropping 20 to 25 % , the IBs misinterpreted that subsequent QR PAT will drop correspondingly without listening to the details. Many had expected last QR profit at 700 to 800 mil. RHB even projected 500 mil which MMM quoted repeatedly. They intentionally omitted " LOCK IN " Contractual ASPs. With the 6 months lead time then , at least two subsequent qtrs PAT will not be significantly affected. Today result had proven the IB s were grossly wrong in their projection. If not because of the 60 % workforce implemention during June MCO , Supermx would have made another record profit of mire than a million
Why don't the ib make negative remarks on gaming counters like genm, magnum, toto & AirAsia. Where are the revenues now, when all the businesses stopped operation during these few months. Casinos, magnum Toto outlets closed yet share prices stable. Got logic or not?
What has dropped quite substantially is the spot market price which contributes only 5% of supermax total revenue as far as i can remember.The more important question is whats the current asp for its other 95% revenue
I am sure even with the economy recovery expected next year, earnings will be very weak for gaming n leisure counters like genm coz people are still hesitant n worried n there will still be lingering fears of catching covid in casino or travel in airplane though the operators will give assurances that all sop are strictly abided. So investing in glove counters will be the better choice.
Net cash company, solid business, high dividend. If price 52w high then maybe risky to chase high, but now is near 52w low, slowly accumulate, better than FD.
The market was expecting recovery in end Q2 and Q3 this year. Now we are entering Sept already and no recovery is on sight. The IBs just refused to admit their short sightedness because there are stakes on the table. The tourism n travel counters would cont to post losses amid lower losses and the gloves would cont to post profit amid lower profit and such trend may last for another 3-4 quarters. A company that post 900 mil profit in comparison to a company that post 200-300 mil losses every quarter. Yet the IBs would go for the losses counters since their justification was that 300 mil losses per quarter to 100 mil losses per quarter in a year time is better than 900 mil profit per quarter to 500 mil profit per quarter. Their logic really baffled me.
Demand continue to increase but global selling price decreasing. Supermx expect demand.continue to be buoyant beyond 2021.
By the end of 2021 , supermx expect its capacity to increase from.26 billion to 36 billions per year , an increase of 38 %. As long as there is strong demand , the 38 % increase can mitigate the fall in ASP so that the drop in.PAT will be more gradual and not significant.
Even my dog can comment what is obvious. Some more say 500m . Not shameful . My dog knows where to hide after making mistakes. If you earn salary as a rumor monger then can excuse you . But if you arent then you are just leaving a piece of rubbish my dog won’t even smell
Sharks and whales will want your tickets. Almost certain they will push down price to scare traders, contra ,margin and retailers to collect . As volume is very low, they can easily control the price. Hopefully FF will buy aggressively to mitigate. The usual mantra "sell on news" perfect smokescreen. I'll buy more if price drops .
@calvintaneng Palm oil bull cycle still haven't start yet! Macd is still below zero line( monthly chart). Good for swing and daytrading only ... ... this period for tsh!
Kossan higher profit than supermax without so called 'OBM' but has lower market capitalisation compared to supermax. Buy undervalued company not overvalued
This book is the result of the author's many years of experience and observation throughout his 26 years in the stockbroking industry. It was written for general public to learn to invest based on facts and not on fantasies or hearsay....
ooi8888
1,650 posts
Posted by ooi8888 > 2021-08-26 21:26 | Report Abuse
what to do there are so many tai lang gong in this forum.