Sneakpeek Target: penny stock by next year 15/10/2021 9:24 PM ------------------------------ What? Target penny stock? Normally people target from penny stock become above RM1 stock and from RM1 to become multi ringgit stock but this guy aims for the opposite. Strange!
Harta has very aggressive long term capacity.ecpansion.plan from.current 43 b capacity to 95 billion in 2027. So far Supermx has committed to increase its capacity to 48 b by 2023 . A simple calculation show that supermx can also increase its capacity to 88 b in 2027 in tandem.with the yearly growth rate of 12 to 15 % durimg post pandemic without borrowing . Even with such expansions and supermx is still.able to pay lucrative dividend every.year.and maintain a nett cash positions throughout the years.
high vaxxing rate alone not gonna bring covid under control, vaxxing needs to be combined & integrated with restrictions, good healthcare preventive measures & precautions, use of ppe, tight sop etc.
even highly vaxxed singapore struggling hard to manage covid now
so called 'living with covid' strategy does not mean simply forgetting that covid still exists & still raging & rampaging
OTOH living with covid means living & working as normal BUT keeping all safety health precautionary preventive measures, stringent restrictions, using appropriate preventive ppe, tight sop etc. to keep covid daily cases at as low level as achievable
shorting gang spend every hour of their life awake dissing gloves, badmouthing gloves, attacking gloves, talking gloves down, in order to drag glove stock price down further
Gloves Big 4 are collectively a significant source of tax revenue for govt of Malaysia
Lagi they already donated RM400 million to Malaysian govt last year for fighting covid
So Malaysian govt very sayang sama Gloves Big 4 & will be defending the interests of Gloves Big 4 & also other glove firms in general, including defending their stocks from the indiscriminate attacks & destruction & devastation from RSS shorting gang
shorting gang are not really concerned at all about us losing our money, that line of talk is just simply their complete bullkrapping
they're really only concerned with themselves losing their money, when their desperate pathetic bullkrapping fearmongering does not work on us any more & they fail to drag down the stock price further
With the huge cash piles of 3.78 billions in the coffer plus the coming estimated 1.73 billions earnings for FY 2022 ,supermx is able to fund future capacity expansions further and pay lucrative dividends and still maintain a high cash in hand in subsequent years .
Supermx will be transformed in terms of growth in capacity and earning , paying good dividend and maintain a strong nett cash company from its pre pandemic nett debt ,slow growth and much less aggressive capacity expansion company . Below are how the huge cash piles and future earnings can be allocated . My wish list .
FY2022
Balance cash end June 2021 3780 m Add PAT in FY 2022 1730 m Minus prepayment or deposits 631 m Minus part payment for cap add 455 m Minus 60 s dividend for 4 qtrs 1632 m
Balance cash in hand 2792 m
FY 2023 ( assuming normalised ASP of 26 )
Add consensus PAT in FY 2023 880 m Minus balance cap add to 48 b 500 m Minus 40 s dividend 1088 m
Balance cash in hand 2084 m
FY 2024 ( assuming ASP of 26 )
Add PAT (48x26x0.85x4.15x0.2) 880 m Minus 25 sen dividend 680 m Minus 6 b cap add ( 6 x62 m) 372 m
Balance cash in hand 1912 m
FY 2025 ( assuming ASP of 26)
Add PAT ( 54x26x0.85x4.15x0.18) 891 m Minus 25 sen dividend 680 m Minus 7 b cap add ( 7 x 62) 434 m
Balance cash in hand 1689 m
FY 2026 ( assume ASP of 27 )
Add PAT (61x27x0.85x4.15x0.17) 987 m Minus 25 sen dividend 680 m Minus 8 b cap add ( 8 x 62 m ) 496 m
Balance cash in hand 1500 m
FY 2027 ( assume ASP of 28 )
Add PAT ( 69x28x0.85x4.15x0.17) 1158 m minus 25 sen dividend 680 m minus 9 b cap add ( 9 x 62 m) 558 m
Balance cash in Hand 1420 m
Summary
The above is a summary of how the huge cash pile can be allocated to expand capacity ,pay dividend and keep it in cash in hand for future use. Supermx is capable of keep expanding capacity with a rate of adding between 12 to 15 % in tandem with the growth of gloves usage in the world . At the same time pay a dividend of about 25 sen per year and still keep a cash in hand of about 1.5 b . The average dividend yield for the next 6 years will be about 15 % at current price of 2.20 . At a stabilised ASP of US26 to 27 per thousand and a margin of 17 to 18 % , supermx can still generate about a billion PAT per year . The EPS for PAT of a billion is 36 sen . If you assign a PE of 10 , it is worth 3.60 , A PE of 12 will give 4.32 and a PE of 15 will 5.40 .
Supermx is no more the old prepandemic supermx . It has and will continue to be transformed into
1. A strong earning growth company from 124 millions in FY 2019 to a billion PAT company 2. A strong nett cash company with about 1.5 billion cash in hand
3. A high Dividend Yield company with about 15 % DY at current price
4. A high capacity growth company growing to 2, 3 to 4 times the prepandemic capacity of 22 b per year within 4 to 8 years .
You are welcomed to adjust whatever assumptions as you wish . It is a balancing act and make your own judgement .
Disclaimer : It is not a buy or sell call. It is for sharing . My intention is to show that supermx has enough money for aggressive capacity expanding , pay lucrative dividends and still keep a strong nett cash for the next 6 years or more .
no matter how well u anticipate the earning and cash reserve, when the manipulator trying to push the price down, nothing much u can do, don’t forget there are 2.72 billions to play with
Posted by pjseow > Oct 14, 2021 6:25 PM | Report Abuse
MM , I am.a supermx investor whereas you dont even own a single supermx share. Everyday you talk bad about supermx , profit drop.lah, price going down to 65 s lah and no more money for dividend etc. Are you.mad , insane or crazy ? When did ST said company no.more money to pay dividend? The site for the US plant has not even been .selected yet and here you are talking like supermx CEO.
Posted by bang_miskin > Oct 13, 2021 2:19 PM | Report Abuse
ToneeFa: yup agree with pjseow, SpmX coming QR should be ard 500mil+, with dividend ard 0.10
_______________________________________________________________ If dividend is at 0.10 per share, at current price, that makes it one of the highest yield dividend stock. Twice the return of Maybank.
we have yet to see whether malaysian high vaxxing rate can deliver a sustainable low daily infection rate or otherwise, what with the rapid opening up & loosening up of everything
daily infection rate is the outcome part that we sould be focusing on
vaxxing rate is merely the input part
UK, US, israel, singapore all already achieved high vaxxing rate 7 months or more earlier than malaysia
but look what happened up to them all after they opened up & loosened up everything so fast, even with 85% vaxxing rate
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This book is the result of the author's many years of experience and observation throughout his 26 years in the stockbroking industry. It was written for general public to learn to invest based on facts and not on fantasies or hearsay....
Larn
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Posted by Larn > 2021-10-15 16:04 | Report Abuse
https://www.theedgemarkets.com/article/lim-wee-chai-buys-top-glove-shares-first-time-three-months-price-dips-below-rm3