The action that i take mainly to alert the new investor do not fall into this trap & to prevent management repeat same mistake/ no excuse to repeat same mistake unless they can clarify their actual reasonable reason to convince us. In the most recent 5 years, Johotin has spent total CAPEX of RM82mil for expansion.
Which is more than sum total of net profit for 2015 + 2016 + 2017 = RM79mil.
The business owner will only spent such a big amount of CAPEX if there is potential to grow and the company has the intention to grow.
As at end of Dec 2017, the new plant still haven't started to contribute to the company revenue and bottom line as per confirmation with the investor relation department.
Refer to Master ColdEyes book in 2018, normally the result from expansion of Johotin could only be shown after 1-2 years from the completion of the expansion. Johotin is one of the 4 companies that ColdEyes identified as growth company that he mentioned in his new book.
The 3rd QR 2017 also mentioned that Able Diaries Marketing started its operation since 3rd quarter 2017 therefore more distribution cost needed for start up.
Sapurakencana :
As at end of Dec 2017, the new plant still haven't started to contribute to the company revenue and bottom line as per confirmation with the investor relation department.
CY1214,if you the boss of this company,do you willing to wait 1 more year to start contribute to company after spend 82mil for the past 5 years.rediculous 01/03/2018 12:48
if this issue not solve asap,i'm not afraid to said that this company may be incurred loss for the coming quarter.. Dont forget high material cost & doubtful debt issue still not settle. I rather down grade this counter to 80cent before any improvement 01/03/2018 12:55 05/03/2018 14:15 14/03/2018 18:59 03/04/2018 00:18
This is base on strong ringgit wil hurt the foreign currency exchange,delay of new plant production schedule & until now we never see any Johotin product sell at our shoping mall outlet and not even hear /see the advertisement promote of their product so how to increase local revenue. Unless the above issue being solve,otherwise is impossible to upgrade this counter to 90 cent.
Strong or weak ringgit is just a good excuse for poor management. Currently economy growth is considered reasonable but most unable to deliver. Blaming is a good tatic, and you can see the management withdrawing good remuneration despite weakening results. Anyway, market is just a casino. Good luck.
when management keep on spending without take care of minority shareholder,what we can do is hightlight their weekness more frequently so that lesser newbie cheated by their beautiful poison story.still remember 3 year ago when they plan right issue to build new plant,minority share holder spend RM1.28 to brought the right issue,but now the price only RM0.92.
if this issue not solve asap,i'm not afraid to said that this company may be incurred loss for the coming quarter.. Dont forget high material cost & doubtful debt issue still not settle. I rather down grade this counter to 80cent before any improvement
@sapurakencana, the share has been split into 2 and bonus 1 of every 3 ordinary share in 2016, so 3 share RM 1.28 --> 8 share RM 0.92, u still earn money.
High revenue is useless without good profit, EPS and dividends. Some companies recorded a higher profit with less profit or even making losses, but continued to withdraw high remuneration. Good luck anyway. TP75.
The action that i take mainly to alert the new investor do not fall into this trap & to prevent management repeat same mistake/ no excuse to repeat same mistake unless they can clarify their actual reasonable reason to convince us. In the most recent 5 years, Johotin has spent total CAPEX of RM82mil for expansion.
Which is more than sum total of net profit for 2015 + 2016 + 2017 = RM79mil.
The business owner will only spent such a big amount of CAPEX if there is potential to grow and the company has the intention to grow.
As at end of Dec 2017, the new plant still haven't started to contribute to the company revenue and bottom line as per confirmation with the investor relation department.
CY1214,if you the boss of this company,do you willing to wait 1 more year to start contribute to company after spend 82mil for the past 5 years.rediculous 01/03/2018 12:48
if this issue not solve asap,i'm not afraid to said that this company may be incurred loss for the coming quarter.. Dont forget high material cost & doubtful debt issue still not settle. I rather down grade this counter to 80cent before any improvemen
High capex in the first few years which affected the cash flow. This followed by a high depreciation later and would affect the profit unless its profit margin is more than sufficient to absorb depreciation. Good luck. TP 75.
I still believe market will maintain 92 cent merely because of it NTA value 93 cent,do you think it worth 93 cent if the coming quarter report keep on show bad report .
Let see the additional capital expenditure that utilise in the year 2017 & the reason given by management.
Statement from the annual report The Tin Manufacturing segment increases its capital expenditure for the current financial year as compared to previous year by investing in new machineries. With the new machineries, the increase in capacity will help to cope with the demands and potential increase in sales. Due to the limitation on storage space under F&B segment, a new piece of land is purchased during the financial year for an amount of RM6.8 million. Subsequent to the financial year end, a contract has been awarded to GT-Max Construction Sdn. Bhd. to construct 1 unit of 1-storey factory (build-up area of 7,574.03 square metre) attached together with 3-storey office building, 1 unit of guardhouse and waster chamber and 1 unit of electrical substation with a total sum of RM14 million and is expected to be completed by fourth quarter of 2018.
Let guess how big return we expect to get from the above cap expenditure & how long period to get the return from this investment?
The main factors that affected the operating activities in the Tin Manufacturing segment are shortage of labour,increased in raw materials prices and machineries upgrading. The shortage of labour supply, both local and foreign, has resulted in challenges to complete customers’ orders as per schedule. Therefore, more overtime is needed to complete the order on time and leads to an increase in costs. To resolve this issue, we have appointed several recruitment agencies to source for new workforce and currently we are able to cope with the demands and control over the increase in operational costs.
sapura reply: Shortage of labour-due to labour require no need high skill,i dont see this issue can not solve within 1st quarter of 2018.Shortage of labour start happen during 2017,when this issue will be last? If management can recruit enough of labour,more overtime issue not a issue any more. management pls speed up your execution of job.
The increased in raw materials prices has affected our profit margin. To remain competitive, we have always maintained our prices to our customers for as long as possible. In the event of continuing increase in raw materials prices, we may have to increase our selling prices to our customers. The weakening of Ringgit Malaysia (“RM”) against United States Dollar (“USD”) has brought about an increase in our manufacturing cost for our directly imported raw materials as well as increased in prices from our local suppliers using imported materials for their productions. Our operations team is always vigilant and monitors the cost of manufacturing for us to stay competitive in the industry.
Sapura reply : management said profit decrease due to higher import material cost & weakness of ringgit. In current situation Suger & milk price keep on droping & our currency already recover from RM4.45 to RM3.92 (2.5.2018),It should be fovourable to our Tin & F&B business for whole 2018.Am i right,pls dont give excuse again & again.
Higher maintenance costs are expected as the existing machineries require frequent maintenance and overhaul due to ageing of the machineries. Scarcity of the spare parts is a challenge to the maintenance team when fixing older model of machineries. To resolve these issues, the production has upgraded existing machineries and replaced them with new machineries with higher capacity and outputs.
sapura reply : Another main reason is the reversal of RM3.01 million that was recognised in the first quarter of the current year as gain on disposal of machinery. The equipment supplier decided that they do not need the equipment and instead of a trade-in, they gave us a discount of RM3.01 million. This also another un acceptable reason-did company engage unqualify engineer to make the wrong dicision to purchase the wrong machinery,until the company need to back charge under this quarter. Doubtful debt appear 2 time in current financial year. If this 2 issue continue happen,is unfair to the long term investor. Management ,pls do the necessary step (SOP) to protect the shareholder interest. Pls dont be silent,pls show the result to convience us.
Dependence on Key Management and Skilled Personnel The Group’s continued success will depend upon, to a certain extent, the skills, experiences, abilities and continued efforts of the key management personnel. The loss of key management personnel in the Group may have an adverse impact on the performance of the Group. The Group recognises the importance of attracting and retaining the key management personnel to support the business operations. The Group presently has in place, human resources strategies which include providing competitive and performance-based remuneration and providing employees with a variety of on-going training programmes to upgrade their knowledge and capabilities. However, we cannot provide any assurance that the above measures will be successful in attracting and retaining the key management personnel.
Sapura reply : This also the main issue of key management & personnel,additionally management also highlight that However, we cannot provide any assurance that the above measures will be successful in attracting and retaining the key management personnel.
If management can not maintain the high skill management,we all will expect doubtful debt & wrong brought the old machine incident wil happen again & again in near future.
@sapurakencana, can you represent us to attend AGM? we really need some shareholders to bring the questions to the management, otherwise they will continue ignore us. The main concern is why Johotin keep expand (build another new plant but existing new plant still not contribute) but no improvement of the net profit? Can management retain the cash or payout as dividend instead of keep build new plant which may not utilize or contribute to net profit? Anyone will attend the coming AGM?
I unable to attend AGM,that why i try to post my opinion here, hope somebody help me to deliver the massage ,if can record their answers as a evident for next year AGM.
Shares value already destroyed, anyway this is not the only one, many stocks also down significantly. Stocks without EPS growth and reasonable dividends are at best for speculation only and the price will ultimately drop.
Whole year impairment loss on receivables is 8.41mil (mostly came from F&B division), look at AR2017 pg 114 Debtor Ageing Analysis, they fully impaired those more than 1 year overdue which supposedly shld do so in FY2016 actually.
The Management already done they shld done. If they able to recover back the bad debts, that's extra income to them. Hopefully they shld stringent the customer collection pattern and monitor closely the overdue credit term.
i treat impairment loss was unrecoverable.permenently.dont u see the price 0.895 .it already reflect current quater will show bad result.than i wil downgrade tp from rm0.82 to ???
as usual i believe no businessman will expand their capacity by so many folds if the future is getting bad . johotin only increase their capacity when their management is full of confident .
beware of the trap, i stil maintain TP 0.82 due to external & internal business enviroment,unless new goverment deliver efficient policy & management show pro-active working attitude.
amzarb . you need to read all the report by public and TA on this counter . read their annual report and news . most of the information you can get there .
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This book is the result of the author's many years of experience and observation throughout his 26 years in the stockbroking industry. It was written for general public to learn to invest based on facts and not on fantasies or hearsay....
amzarb44
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Posted by amzarb44 > 2018-04-25 17:08 | Report Abuse
Are you confident this quarter shud good?