targetinvest,how you know factory start to contribute positively soon! proof me with the fact. how about doubtful debt & currency exchange loss,wil it happen again. without reliable info,we only conclude it as fate news
are you sure the result is acceptable. profit before tax last year 13mil this year 7.9.for me it is unacceptable,nearly 50% drop.let me check the detail
Base on the result, the worst condition is over, the profit back to normal. However, i still want to ask the management, how long we still need to wait the expansion's fruits? Is the new plant (milk powder) still not contribute profit?
Revenue (Mar2018) 103mil (Mar17) 102mil only increase 0.009% (Mar2018) 103mil (Dec2017) 116mil means drop 11.2% ,it means no increase in revenue & also means that new plant still not bring any contribution to this quarter revenue & sales figure keep on droping,beware of this issue.
Cost of good sold (Mar2018) 89mil (Mar 17) 86mil why cost of good sold increase 3mil when sales only increase 0.009%
Administration &distribution cost also up 2 mil when sales remain the same . Admin & Distribution (Mar2018)8.884mil (Mar2017) 6.583mil
Foreign currency gain (Mar2018)2.105mil (Mar2017) 898K,it means that if deduct this 2 mil ,this quarter profit before tax only RM7.935mil - RM2.105mil = RM5.83mil ,do u think this is good
Segmental sales & profit Tin revenue (Mar2018) 29mil (Mar17) 23mil increase 26% Profit (Mar2018) 3.1mil (Mar17) 6.2mil drop 50% Tin revenue(Mar2018) 29mil (Dec2017) 27mil increase 7.4 % Profit (Mar2018) 3.1mil (Dec2017) loss 340K With this comparison means even though revenue increase ,profit keep on droping,wil this trend be continue for coming quarter? this is important due to this segment contribute 28.1% of total revenue.
Segmental sales & profit F & B revenue (Mar2018) 74mil (Mar17) 78mil decrease 5.2% Profit (Mar2018) 5.2mil (Mar17) 7.755mil drop 32.9% F & B revenue(Mar2018) 74mil (Dec2017) 89.33mil decrease17.16 % Profit (Mar2018) 5.2mil (Dec2017) 4.87mil increase due to 2 mil gain in foreign currency,if deduct this gain current profit before tax only RM5.2mil - RM2.105mil = RM3.095mil With this comparison means revenue decrease ,profit keep on droping,wil this trend be continue for coming quarter? this is important due to this segment contribute 71.9% of total revenue. If new plant still not bring contribution,how to convience investor coming quarter revenue & profit will increase.
Doubtful debt also the big issue where still not settle yet. 23/05/2018 19:15
Trade receivable (Mar18)81mil (Mar2017) 76mil up 6.5% Cash (Mar2018) 76mil (Mar2017) 85mil drop10.6% Shor term borrowing (Mar 2018 ) 50.7mil (Mar2017) 41.399mil increase 22% in short term loan.
With the fact stated above, i still maintain TP 82 cent till end of the year unless 1. revenue increase from the new plant. 2. Doubtful debt not happen again & again. 3. Increase Production efficiency
In addition, pls help to question management, if new plant still not contribute, why still spend 14 million to build new plant which expect to complete in Q4'2018? It is ridiculous. Last question is Mexico JV, what is the status? I also not able to attend the coming AGM.
Not only that ,still remember,during 2012 ,this company raise right issue RM29mil, RM25 mil for the purpose of buy land & build new factory.what is the outcome of this factory? start operation or not? how much it contribute to the company revenue.pls disclose.jangan diam diam OK.
Judge your self base on fact,dont wait security firm to tell u the TP.They wil put u in trap like Lafamalaysia Jan TP 5.73, now 3.46, Johotin TP 1.48 (TA) & 1.60 now 0.99 and so many other.rediculous
Actually based on the past trend, usually the 1st quarter are the worst performance throughout the year. This happen to nestle, dutchlady as well. Lets said johotin remain the current performance and remain the same eps, and second to 4th quarter pick up like past trend, (0.0245+(0.0245×1.10×3) =0.1053. Let said the market willing to give 10pe, the share should worth 1.05 at the moment. It is relatively cheap at this moment
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This book is the result of the author's many years of experience and observation throughout his 26 years in the stockbroking industry. It was written for general public to learn to invest based on facts and not on fantasies or hearsay....
amzarb44
528 posts
Posted by amzarb44 > 2018-05-15 09:49 | Report Abuse
Our patience test to see it sideways downtrend for sooo long while others increase