btw, GE-Shen is aggressively expanding... they are having 2 acquisitions in one month!! - bought the remaining 25% of Polyplas - propose to buy 70% of DOSB (a company who does metal stamping, die casting, etc)..
scottybang, first, i am not speculating... i bought GESHEN at the price of 60sen and i have got 180% of paper gain now... second, i do not believe i have the magic to make thing worse by sharing facts/info...
expansion is on-going and the increase of revenue/profit will not come in immediately. Let's wait for the next 1-2 quarters before we decide if it is game over for GESHEN... i am still "cautiously" optimistic.. haha...
Polyplas is one of my company's plastic injection molding suppliers and the sales manager told me that they are overwhelmed with work orders until Q2 next year... so I would expect GESHEN's revenue and net profit to increase substantially in the next few quarters (as they are now 100% owning Polyplas)...
nobody asks u to buy or sell... u just sit there do nothing and see if their Q3 & Q4 results will improve or not... we can revisit this post later to see what happens at that time... ok?
2. RATIONALE The Vietnam economy has been growing strongly over the past three (3) years and many multi-national companies, including brand owners and contract manufacturers have been setting up manufacturing and assembly operations in Vietnam. With the growing prospect in the plastic injection moulding industry, the Company wishes to further expand its production capacities to ensure that the Company can cope with the growing orders from new and current customers. This will also allow the Company to achieve economies of scale as the current rented factory or site is operating at maximum capacity and has no further room for expansion. Upon Completion of the LSA, the Company will expand the factory floor capacity on the new site to ensure that the Company will have sufficient manufacturing and warehousing facilities for the current and future operations. The site of the LSA is approximately 1 km from the current site and is in the same industrial zone of the current factory. By entering a LSA which is close to current site, the Company can ensure business continuity, staff retention and a smoother moving process. Following the move to the new site, the Company will be able to realise a number of additional operating and cost benefits including cheaper rental cost as the Company intends to terminate the lease and operations at the current factory and move its operations entirely to the new site. The Company will have a security of tenure with no further increase in rental costs. It is expected that the Company will also invest in better facilities which will improve production efficiencies, productivity and yields
if you guys did some homework on this counter and explore it..will find some special stuff (substantial shareholders) and look back recently acquired company. I believe Ge-shen potential growth is much more than now..already acquired some and keep it for long term.
when Q2 results were released, Icon said the result is poor... that time i told you guys Q3 results will improve a lot... not many believed... now Q3 results were released and it proved what I researched was correct...
n view of the latest development, naturally I will have to identify export play as one of the major theme for 2017. In the past few days, I reshuffle my portfolio by adding various export stocks. They are the usual suspects : Geshen..............
Dow Jones: 18,867.93 pts (-35.89pts, -0.19%) Wall Street retreated as the Dow fell 0.2% from near record high level, on profit taking activities ahead of the holiday-shortened trading week.
FBM KLCI: 1,623.80 pts (-2.97pts, -0.18%) The FBM KLCI extended its losses for the third straight session after the local currency sank to 10-months low against the US Dollar. The immediate support level is located around the 1,610 level.
Crude Palm Oil: RM2,869 (-RM7, -0.24%) Crude palm oil prices closed marginally lower and posted its biggest weekly decline since July 2016. The RM3,000 level will serve as the immediate resistance level.
WTI Crude Oil: $45.69 (+$0.12, +0.26%) Crude oil prices rebounded, recording its first weekly gains in four weeks. Crude oil prices might continue to hover between US$43-US$46 levels.
Gold: $1,207.89 (-$8.57, -0.69%) Gold prices slipped for the third straight session after demand was hurt by expectations of interest rate hike in December. The US$1,200 level will serve as the immediate support level.
Bursa Malaysia Trade Statistics - 18 Nov 16 Institutions: Net BUY 186.5 mln (53.0%) Retail: Net SELL 15.2 mln (16.0%) Foreign: Net SELL 171.3 mln (31.0%)
1st of all i must say this iloveshare128 is bad mouth, each time talk then share price sure down, i hope you can zip your mouth forever. secondly i must say henghuat888 u are wrong, 1.60-1.70 is safe area, geshen is a good stock, dun spoiled this stock just by "hear" the news.
if you read the Q3 2016 quarterly report, it says that:
The group has recorded a significant increase in profit before tax to RM8.75 million for the current period from RM3.48 million in the immediate preceding quarter. Such increase is also due to contribution from the newly acquired subsidiary as disclosed in Note A9 and effective cost management.
This is a significant improvement from Q2 due to the acquisition of:
1) The Group have acquired the remaining 25% equity interest in Polyplas Sdn. Bhd 2) The Group have acquired 70% equity interest in Demand Options Sdn. Bhd. (“DOSB”)
But what is interesting is: (for 2nd acquisition):
The fair value of the identifiable net assets of DOSB at the date of acquisition were:- RM’000 Fair value of identifiable net assets acquired 15,081 Less: Non-controlling interests (4,549) Add: Goodwill on acquisition 2,468 ------------------ Total purchase consideration 13,000 Cash and cash equivalents acquired 71 ------------------ Net cash outflow for acquisition of a subsidiary 13,071 ========== The acquired subsidiary has contributed the following results to the Group:- RM’000 Revenue 7,369 Profit after taxation 1,743 ========== If the acquisition had taken place at the beginning of the financial period, the Group’s revenue and profit after taxation from continuing operations would have been RM151.03 million and RM10.35 million respectively.
assume full year revenue and profit from DOSB to GESHEN (at 70% stake) = RM29.476M & RM6.972M. Based on outstanding shares of 76.908M, the additional EPS contributed by DOSB alone (in 2017, assume annualized profit without any growth) = 9.07sen!!! So you now see why I said the DOSB acquisition is very interesting... assuming 2017 EPS = 17sen + 9 sen = 28sen... this share is worth around RM2.80 at PE10 (simple calculation)...
Sorry, in my assumption above, I have not factored in the additional profit that will be generated from the 25% Polyplas that GESHEN just acquired (now GESHEN 100% owns Polyplas). So i believe 2017 EPS will be more than 28sen...
sg999, that is only projection... of course, it is not guaranteed. but if you look at what the management wrote in the quarterly report:
If the acquisition had taken place at the beginning of the financial period, the Group’s revenue and profit after taxation from continuing operations would have been RM151.03 million and RM10.35 million respectively.
This means that DOSB has been quite consistent in making profit since early of this year... of course, whether they can sustain or not that is another question. Afterall, it is only a projection based on some past records as no one can tell what will happen in future, right?
Anyway, I am still quite confident that this is achievable.
Post a Comment
People who like this
New Topic
You should check in on some of those fields below.
Title
Category
Comment
Confirmation
Click Confirm to delete this Forum Thread and all the associated comments.
This book is the result of the author's many years of experience and observation throughout his 26 years in the stockbroking industry. It was written for general public to learn to invest based on facts and not on fantasies or hearsay....
iloveshare128
825 posts
Posted by iloveshare128 > 2016-07-20 10:22 | Report Abuse
btw, GE-Shen is aggressively expanding... they are having 2 acquisitions in one month!!
- bought the remaining 25% of Polyplas
- propose to buy 70% of DOSB (a company who does metal stamping, die casting, etc)..
http://www.bursamalaysia.com/market/listed-companies/company-announcements/5115565
http://www.bursamalaysia.com/market/listed-companies/company-announcements/5143253
and they also bought another new warehouse - rationale is due to increasing demand and they need more warehouse to store...
http://www.bursamalaysia.com/market/listed-companies/company-announcements/5152005
no wonder recently the price is moving uptrend again..