quite sad... it didnt fly this morning as expected but i think it will come anytime from now...just someone is placing big block at 1.60 for some reason...just watch out when this big block is taken out.. hopefully will be today...
Company Profile Wellcall Holdings Berhad is Malaysia’s largest industrial rubber hose manufacturer. Originally serving for three major application markets, the company has scaled up its markets to more than six, including the air & water, welding & gas, oil & fuel, automobile, ship building, as well as food & beverage.
Investment Merits 1. Recovery in Global Economy Boosted Sales - After a rough 2016 year, Wellcall has finally posted exciting results for FYE 2017. Riding on global recovery following better oil prices, demands for industrial rubber hose are expected to follow suit. - While the overall effect has yet to remain unknown, the company has in fact performed better with 18.32% and 16.41% surge in the revenue and net profit respectively. The better performance is due to higher sales achieved on the back of higher demands from its clients. - As almost 90% of its sales are derived from export markets, the recovery in global economy would provide the company a better earnings visibility moving forward. - Wellcalls’ export markets spread quite evenly across developed and emerging markets, and this would help to balance out the concentration risk.
2. Attractive Dividend Yield - Wellcall has been giving out dividend since its listing, and has a dividend policy to distribute a minimum 50% of its net profit annually. - For FYE 2017, the company has paid dividends of 7.7 cents, equivalent to a dividend yield of 4.97%, which is considered high among mid and small cap peers. - If we were to compare the company with gloves manufacturers which also use nitrile rubber as raw materials, we would see Wellcall’s dividend yield would be the best, with others mostly stay at 1% -3%.
3. Gearing Up for Production and Efficiency - It is known that Plant 3 of the company has yet to reach full production capacity, giving it more room to grow moving forward. - We are aware that the plant has opted for more automation as compared to the previous two, potentially driving down the cost but also improving the quality and production efficiency. - The company is said to have its Plant 2 for higher capacity and automation upgrading.
The forecast for FYE 2018 is derived from a conservative growth rate based on the company ’s previous performance. However, the outlook for industrial hose manufacturing sector remained positive due to orders start picking up again after having slowed down in 2016.
this shows that JP Morgan is managed by a bunch of goons. Earnings deteriorated same as MEDIA that they have been busy buying up. They only know one thing control and buy up enough shares and pump and dump
@Sleang, do you know/inquiry about which type of cost escalate further up during the AGM meeting ?
I googled the price of natural rubber (which is their main cost) , it appears to be downtrend and i cannot brain the logic of "increase cost" ...
If they suffered from increasing cost due to Factory 3 efficiency then that is a temporary problem... but if their margin is eroded .... well ... let's say that their margin is one of the prized jewel that gives them superb valuation....
1. Cost of Production is increased .... Why ? - Rubber price is downtrend, but it is not the major cost of production. - Synthetic Rubber consumption is in fact, higher (5 times more) consumption than natural Rubber. - Synthetic Rubber price is on increasing trend for the past 9 month. - Hence, WELLCAL factored in the cost that bought on the higher side. - Forex issue.
2. Factory 3 issue. - It is not simple as improve production volume by 70%. - Factory 3 is divided into 3 parts. - Part 1 : Mandrel hose production line. - fully utilized - Part 2 : Spiral hose production line - unsure of utilization rate, they need to secure more customer (customer in this field tends to be loyal/recurrent, hence wellcall claimed that they need extra effort to penetrate this market ) - Part 3 : For sudden demand surge / change in the trend. Currently vacant.
3. Workforce issue. - has no shortage of foreign worker issue. - Foreign worker compose of 50% of workforce. - No problem with KDN.
4. Revenue Growth - Trailing 6 month order is increased by approximate 7%-8%. - Largest market is category is Oil,Gas,Water,Air hose production - compose of 60% of the sales. - Oil and Gas - compose of approximate 40%-45% of the category. - They securing some US client that involving in the O&G company where they will place recurrent order every 4 month.
Ermmm .... Revenue is indeed increased by 8% as CFO informed me. Revenue stood at 42M GP is 12.8M (compared to previously 14M Profit From Operation Exclude One Off Gain is 9.394M vs 10.7M
Margin compression is real ... In summary :
True Earning : 1.36c Forex Gain : 0.21c Hence total EPS : 1.57c
omgimnoob, you can contact Wellcall's IR ... they usually don't respond to email, as quote from the guy "I'm scared that I'm giving the wrong impression by writing, I would like to clarify through a phone call" .
ps. if you planned to call them, can you inquiry about what they going to achieve with the new JV ? I am lazy to call them , still in CNY mode . :P
Thanks @ James Yeo and CFTrader. Did my homework, the fundamentals are solid. Also think the JV is a catalyst if they execute well. Now in my watchlist.
The Q result is OK. With the prospect of join venture with Trelleborg and consistency to payout dividend quarterly. It is worth to look into this counter for mid and long term..
Taiwanese-run company in Bursa , they will have a similar trait. They will earn money, then declare the profit as dividend, so that they can enjoy it (as most of them are substantial shareholder)
Instead of Malaysian-run company that declare fat renumeration and don't declare a single shit dividend to shareholder, Taiwanese run company is very suitable for those who invest for dividend (and future dividend growth) .
Sincerely CFTrader
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This book is the result of the author's many years of experience and observation throughout his 26 years in the stockbroking industry. It was written for general public to learn to invest based on facts and not on fantasies or hearsay....
CFTrader
812 posts
Posted by CFTrader > 2018-02-06 16:47 | Report Abuse
all hail JPMorgan