1. Maybe I should using the following scenario: 1Q22 CPO spot price: RM 6,051; TSH: RM 1.68(if anyone have 3mthPWAP, pls replace it) 2Q22 CPO RM 6,552; TSH: RM 1.06(if anyone have 3mthPWAP, pls replace it ) 3Q CPO assuming also RM 6,552 ; TSH: RM X 4Q CPO assuming also RM 6,522: TSH: RM Y
Can anyone fill up for me what is the expected RM X and Y for TSH in 3Q and 4Q22, assuming TSH is 100% correlated to CPO ?
2. FCPO to hit all time high @ RM 8k? When? If there is RM 8k, how much do you expected crude oil to be hit? Assuming FCPO and FCO s 100% correlated. I m not sure HOW USD related to Crude oil, please check also To let Crude oil hits such higher price, what factor will cause it?
U see the selling Q u know already bungkus by operators already. Mind you, two call warrants expiring this month and in October. Only after October got chance to up above 1.15 lah. For now, sure bungkus by operators. But anything below 1.15 is a good buy. Come Nov, warrants expiring at 1.40, so it s safe. Dec, warrants expiring at 1.60. Might see some uptrend after Oct when operators no longer bungkus TSH.
Come Dec, the most u can sell is below 1.60. That's all. Nothing about RM2 or RM3. It wont happen by this year. Maybe there s a chance for it to up to rm2 in Jan/Feb 2023 before it dropped back drastically in March and April 2023 as one warrant expiring at 1.30 in April 2023 and another at 1.10 in May 2023
Calvin, it wont happen. Just stop dreaming of IOI buying TSH. Higher probability for Tan family to privatize. IOI would be silly to pay high price for TSH if can buy from the open market now for low price. But they aren't doing it. Why? Because they have no plan to acquire TSH at the first place. Like KLK, how much have they owned IJM before they offer to acquire the remaining IJM plantation?
calvintaneng
Do not wait to buy as cheap prices now on offer might no longer be here
anything can happen
just like Klk suddenly took over Ijmplant at Rm3.10 from Rm2.20
As mentioned before, you cant beat the operators who controlled the call warrants. One warrants expiring in Oct at 1.15. Operators wont let TSH to rebound high which they wont be able to suppress later. Since they already managed to keep TSH below 1.20 for months, they would cont to do so for the next 2 months. The chances for rebound will only come after Oct 20.
calvintaneng
Sure can buy as prices will rebound up from Aug and Nov 2022 great qtrs
Director still buying up from 293 million shares to break 300 million shares soon
Anyway, if you dont mind to put in your fund for nothing for the next two months, you can buy anything below 1.15. It's a good price to enter after all.
IOI mentioned before they are not interested in Indonesia assets and plantation. It happened TSH has major assets in Indonesia. So, you go and figure out if TSH is in the radar by IOI.
Calvin, till then, do u agree that TSH has been controlled by the operators due to call warrants and wont have any uptrend until all the warrants expired in the next 4 months? You are hoping for a "miracle" that IOI would announced to buy TSH at RM2. That isnt better performance or profit by TSH. That is purely acquisition possibility. WIthout such "miracle" no matter how much profit TSH can make, it has already bungkus by the operators at the moment.
This book is the result of the author's many years of experience and observation throughout his 26 years in the stockbroking industry. It was written for general public to learn to invest based on facts and not on fantasies or hearsay....
SEE_Research
4,673 posts
Posted by SEE_Research > 2022-08-22 15:48 |
Post removed.Why?