Bought a piece of 78acres residential land (12 units per acre) connected to Second Link Highway and surrounded by Setia Eco Garden from Vincent Tan, for RM149m. Should be positive (strategic location). (although sentiment wise at the moment is not so positive, but most importantly, the location is good, hence, potential profits will be good.
The land they invested for Capital City, Johor, is only RM30m over 20 years ago, today, they get share of GDV of RM326m, a very respectable return.
Property has similarity like restaurants. Property is for location, restaurant is for taste, so it is very difficult to generalised the entire property sector industry. Just like some restaurants (also glut), some property developers are doing good, despite generally sentiment (due to overbuilt) is not good.
The critical issue here is the ability to sell. Good location (like good taste), normally will attract buyers (customers).
Dun think Gadang will declare special dividend. Instead, they will pay off the loan interest as soon as possible after interest rate hike announced last month.
To buy Johor land from tycoon Danny Tan's private firm for RM149m. Gadang Holdings is acquiring two parcels of freehold land totalling 78 acres in Pontian, Johor from GP Views Development SB — a private company owned by Tropicana Corp founder Tan Sri Danny Tan Chee Sing and his family — for RM149m cash. Gadang said the proposed acquisition is in line with its strategy to expand the revenue and earnings contribution from its property development segment. It added that the land comes with a master development layout approval, which will be procured by GP Views for residential development with the density of 12 units per acre.
MIEA positive on property market in 2018. The Malaysian Institute of Estate Agents (MIEA) is positive on the local property market despite the hike in the overnight policy rate (OPR), given the strong economic growth, low unemployment rate and young demographic. MIEA President, Eric Lim said the newly launched Digital Free Trade Zone, coupled with rising crude oil prices would be significant catalysts for economic growth, thus lifting the property market.
Gadang is anticipating to receive huge cash inflow from Capital City. For manufacturing, it will expand the capacity by starting a new manufacturing line, so, it is very natural for property developer to increase capacity by buying new land banks.
Including this purchase, Gadang has bought about RM300m worth of land over a year plus + entered one or two JVs with land owners for property development, which has increase drastically its GDV, from perhaps RM3b to RM5b. Of course, depends on the scale, it may takes many years to develop. More importantly, Gadang is able to sell, on the pretext the location is in demand.
Unfortunately, sentiment towards property development is negative due to "glut" in a few segments like luxury condos, retails, offices, shoplots etc. For landed properties, demand is still positive.
After all, based on the plot of 78 acres purchased, they are only allow to build 12 units per acre, total of about 900 units. With a good location, demand should be there. Anyway, it takes time, its not immediate. (if we look at IJM Corp or Gamuda, both went into property development, and if you look into their past earnings, you will not be able to tell what is the property sector contributing. As long as it makes reasonable cash flow, it is a good business, although its tough. Even Scientex, a manufacturing company, did quite well in its property development foray).
If we still believe that long term, the market is a weighing machine, Gadang potential is good, both in value and growth (because the next 3 years average PAT is about RM130p.a or more., now is only RM100m).
FA does not tell you the direction of the stock price. Liquidity and sentiment will.
(Hap Seng Consolidated stagnant for 5-6 years (when it was around RM2), until the last 4 years, it went up 5x (from RM2 to RM10), not many can hold that long.
I hope investors will not get freaked out if they receive about RM220m in the next 2 years from Capital City.
Came out in the Edge Daily, the Johor Land GDV is about RM550m, or RM560k per unit, slightly lower than Setia Eco (selling at RM600k) seems reasonable. After all, it is a landed properties, hopefully demand is not too bad.
Hmm. Something is brewing that EPF has been accumulating shares and never disposed for quite some times. Maybe there will be good news coming soon for Gadang ???
The only link between Gadang and EPF would be the Kwasa Land deal.Hopefully they can announce some good news to the market soon !!
Growth only add value when ROIC > COC. Focus on its capital allocation, make an estimates between its ROIC vs COC on its RM149 million investment. Was told the GDV is RM550 million.
sosfinance, what do you think about the never ending esos? isnt it suppose to dilute gadang's earnings further? i am puzzled why the management continue to exercise esos
@mianpao, 1.Gadang has 82m ESOS at 86 sen. 2.ESOS is spread over 5 years 3.Total proceed raised is RM71m. 4.Impact on NTA is 1 sen (based on enlarge share capital + SF) 5.Impact on EPS is 1 sen (based on enlarged share capital vs additional profit of say RM5m from the proceeds) 6. Theory impact on market cap is, improved RM5m profit x PE 10x = about RM50m. 7. In conclusion (divided over 5 years), negligible. (the bigger the SF, the smaller the impact, the higher the profits, the smaller the impact over the years)
The only way to allay the weak property sentiment in Gadang is the future profits which is expected a CAGR of 12-15% for FYE16-19.
Gadang is focus on affordable housing and landed properties which are still in demand (less negative impact). Therefore, investors need to be patience, one of the important tenets of a good investor.
Post a Comment
People who like this
New Topic
You should check in on some of those fields below.
Title
Category
Comment
Confirmation
Click Confirm to delete this Forum Thread and all the associated comments.
This book is the result of the author's many years of experience and observation throughout his 26 years in the stockbroking industry. It was written for general public to learn to invest based on facts and not on fantasies or hearsay....
godhand
1,944 posts
Posted by godhand > 2018-02-06 16:59 | Report Abuse
Wing23 sold all waiting at rm1 or below
slowly wait