I'm as much in the dark as you all, from the earning it looks OK, what I don't like is no dividend since 2009, I'm waiting for the Q3 report and the total number of warrant conversion before I make my decision to enter or not.
This MAY BE the reason why the shares face a strong selling pressure , the free-float of shares is about 30%+ leaving the majority shares holders having about 60 over percent and hence about 60M+ warrant with them . to let the warrant expire is a waste ,to convert the warrant needs lots of cash, so the best way is to sell the mother and convert the warrant , the profit can be quite handsome.
OMG...if it is true....conversion price .....rm0.53????
9318WA FITTERS-WA FITTERS DIV BHD - WA Expiry/Maturity of the securities
Type of Securities : Warrants
Type of Expiry : Expiry/Maturity of the securities Mode of Satisfaction of Exercise/Conversion Price : Cash Exercise/ Strike/ Conversion Price : MYR 0.5300 Exercise/ Conversion Ratio : 1:1 Settlement Type/ Convertible into : Cash Last Date & Time for Trading : 07/11/2012 05:00 PM Date & Time of Suspension : 08/11/2012 09:00 AM Last Date & Time for Transfer into Depositor's CDS a/c : 20/11/2012 04:00 PM Date & Time of Expiry : 27/11/2012 05:00 PM Date & Time of Delisting : 28/11/2012 09:00 AM Remarks : You are advised to read the full contents of the announcement or attachment at http://www.bursamalaysia.com.
The problem with company warrants is that one needs to come out with money to convert to the underlying shares. Say because the warrants are cheap, one may have bought a lot, for example 100,000 shares just for RM8,000 at 8 sen each. But to convert you need to come out with RM53,000! One may get scared that even you have the money to convert, what if Fitter shares drop further after conversion? The other thing is there is this dilution effect with the conversion of the warrants and the Fitters shares may not worth its value per share now. If you don't convert, you have to sell, and likely at a big loss. Sigh, susah lah. Yeah, with the discount of the warrants now at 4%, if you have Fitters shares, it may be advisable to sell the underlying shares and convert the warrants when the time come, if you don't want to expose too much to the business of Fitters.
Dan Iel, the reality is that if I am one of the major shareholders who holds lots of warrants and the underlying shares, and I have no money, or not willing to come out with more money to own more Fitters shares, I would sell Fitters shares now, and take the money to convert the warrants to Fitters shares later. I will save 4%, being the discount of the warrants in respect to Fitters shares if I were to do it the other way round; ie, sell the warrants and keep the underlying shares. This would have the effect of depressing down the Fitters shares, which I believe is happening now as the expiry date is very close now. If you have the money to convert, you can analyse the effect of the dilution of the soon-to-be converted shares, and see if it is worthwhile to keep your existing Fitters shares, or even buy more if after the dilution, Fitters share price now is still a bargain. Who knows it may present a money making opportunity for you.
TCLeng....may I know why you say so then? Bcos, the BuyBack at 0.655 and 0.640? That's should be the lowest level right? But I still hope your view going up soon is right..
How much more will mother fall? I think the worst scenario will be 0.535sen. That is the point when warrant worth .05. But it may not happen. May 1 or 2 sen below 60sen. That the floor. Its a good time to enter at 58 sens. Any one agree with this?
was told that the charges is the normal brokerage charges and stamp duty etc normally incurred by you when you trade. In other words very minimum and insignificant. Maybe somebody else could verify this.
I have bought around 287,000 shares at Rm 0.72 and luckily already cut loss at Rm 0.69. Some time accept a small loss is better than let the loss getting bigger. Still waiting for the right moment to enter again. But I believe the bottom should be very near already.
For those people who are worried about Fitters, see I I can comfort them. Fitters seem to be doing well in the last few years, good growth in revenue and profit. At 62 sen, last fy Pe is low at 6 and enterprise value just 5 times ebit. This two quarters have also improved. As warrants are traded at discount at 6.5 sen and conversion price just 9 sen below Fitters, I think the effect on dilution is minimal. More shares but company received a lot of cash for the warrant conversions, which can be used to reduce its borrowings. I guess the sell down is due to the selling of Fitters by the big shareholders to get cash to convert their warrants. Just guessing. My only concern is its poor cash flows from operations. Hope this improves. This is the only reason I don't buy Fitters shares. I don't know this concern of mine is valid or not for a fast growing company like Fitters. Still it is my philosophy of emphasizing of cash flows rather than earnings.
Each times I read the posting, I am asking why the ECM Broker recommended me to buy? Isn't he knows the background of the counter, where you all forumers knows better.... I get more reliable info here.
Understand that the best opportunities usually carry more perceived risks, and distinguish carefully between the risks that matter most and those can live with. For my point of view on this counter's prepare to delay decision on share buy back if ongoing unclear company warrants settlement not over yet.Trade in safe mode.Right?
This book is the result of the author's many years of experience and observation throughout his 26 years in the stockbroking industry. It was written for general public to learn to invest based on facts and not on fantasies or hearsay....
Dan Iel
26 posts
Posted by Dan Iel > 2012-11-01 16:55 | Report Abuse
adui 64 ct. i think will go lower then wa expire