It has gone up too fast. Likelihood to go down back to 0.935 to 0.945 range. But you can sell it at intraday high. The rule with this counter is, don't play short term. you can lose big.
Axiata e.co bought 700 towers in Pakistan for USD90.0 miillion or RM385million, which is simply RM550k per tower. This is significantly higher than the average tower owned by OCK. They pay premium probably due to huge population and also quite a number of telco companies.
Pakistan: 188 million (>10 telcos) Vietnam: 91 million (6 telcos) (penetration more 100%, close to 25000 towers) Myanmar: 54 million (4 telcos, penetration 90%, 11700 towers) Malaysia: 32 million (4 major telcos) (penetration 137%, more than 15000 towers)
ICurrently OCK towers are valued at RM300k per tower (based on market cap/number of tower and effective stake of in SEA Tower - 1200 towers, grand total 2800 towers). If we were to put a valuation of RM 380k per tower as ascribed to e.co, the share price should be RM1.21, providing an upside of 24% from current share price of RM0.97. This is before they deliver another 310 towers to Telenor by end of this year, which would increase the share price to RM1.34.
Vietnam and Myanmar present a huge market for OCK, apart from the established market in . Indonesia. Btw, OCK-WA MACD is about to cross the line, which may indicate upward momentum.
yes danyuenyu82, you are correct. The average value per tower for Axiata e.co is RM380k. That is how I derived the number. E.co pays premium for 700 towers in Pakistan, due to high tenancy of 1.4x (97% urban and 3& rural), and as a group e.co has a tenancy of 1.58x (based Kenanga report), which is higher than OCK's 1.27x. Nevertheless, OCK can attract more telcos, and they would benefit if there are new entrants in their key market (Vietnam, Myanmar, etc).
Based on movement today, looks like OCK-WA share price is intentionally being depressed for fund/operator to buy in. It is good that the mother share increase albeit slowly. Once the volume/ major news come, both mother and son would increase dramatically.
buy its warrant lah. premium low until mother also cannot recognize. should not call it ock warrant. name it otherwise. coz its movement has no correlation with its mother. :)
'until mother also cannot recognize'. I can stop laughing when you say this. Haha
U Mobile would be terminating their network sharing with Maxis. Good opportunity for OCK, which may benefit if U Mobile wanted to lease tower from them. Even better if U Mobile take a stake in OCK. hahahaha
@danyuenyu82, if I am American Tower CEO, I will pay RM1.30 to - RM1.50 for OCK Group and get it privatised. After all, USD is strong now RM4.28 per USD against 3 years ago RM3.00. (USD has appreciated over 40%)
They could possibly do so since they are on an acquisition spree. But AT's leverage is pretty high at the moment. OCK's foot print is pretty wide. Buy 1 cover a couple countries.
In April, American Tower acquired around 1,400 towers in Paraguay from a unit of Millicom International Cellular SA for $125 million. In February, the company completed the acquisition of about 2,400 towers in France from FPS Towers for about $700 million along with Dutch pension fund manager PGGM.
Telenor and Ooredoo are in the midst of a major urban rollout. Demand for towers is the highest it has been in years.
Telenor spokesperson Mr Joachim Rajaram said the telco has never stopped expanding in the countryside, and has more than 7,200 towers serving more than 19 million customers throughout Myanmar. But as the growth of new users slows, it is refocusing on urban areas.
“We are strengthening our network capacity in cities and towns across the country where data adoption continues to grow,” Rajaram said.
This means hundreds of new towers – everything from large, standalone “greenfield” structures (to use an industry term), to small towers erected on existing infrastructure. As they scramble to claim territory, tower builders are staking out sites on rooftops, billboards and even light poles.
“Network transmission in layman terms can be viewed as plumbing pipes,” said Mr Ricky Steyn, Edotco’s director of engineering. “The water can be compared to data and the pipes to bandwidths. The bigger the pipes the more water you can direct through; thus the bigger the bandwidth the more data you can send through your network.”
He said the focus on urban areas was not surprising. “Data traffic is increasing dramatically in urban areas: there is a capacity issue and black spots are forming, resulting in the need for more towers.”
Most of the towers erected in Yangon this year will be at what Steyn calls “filler” towers, which fill in the coverage gaps between the larger “macro” towers. From a construction perspective, these small urban towers are far less costly than the rural installations, which are usually much larger and more difficult to supply.
Higher demand for towers due to 4G rollout .... For Telenor alone, how many do you think it targets to increase next year? And how many going to award to OCK?
Telenor, with a network that already includes more than 7,400 tower sites, plans to add its antennas to another 9,000 sites in urban and rural areas by 2018, said company spokesperson Mr Joachim Rajaram. Telenor will lease space on the towers...
This book is the result of the author's many years of experience and observation throughout his 26 years in the stockbroking industry. It was written for general public to learn to invest based on facts and not on fantasies or hearsay....
funda
484 posts
Posted by funda > 2017-06-14 17:48 | Report Abuse
Wow... hopefully this round can break rm1.00