Blog Headlines (by Date) Blog Index Daily Technical Highlights: (NAIM, OCK) Author: kiasutrader | Publish date: Tue, 4 Aug 2020, 6:35 PM
OCK Group Bhd (Trading Buy) OCK offers exposure to the buoyant growth prospects of the 5G network rollout, the NFCP (National Fiberisation and Connectivity Plan) implementation and the upcoming award of large-scale solar projects. The Group is in the telecommunication tower business with an existing portfolio of more than 4,200 towers in Malaysia, Myanmar and Vietnam. Its other businesses are in: (i) trading of telco & network products; (ii) green energy & power solutions; and (iii) M&E engineering services. The Company has recently proposed to raise at least RM5.6m via a rights issue with warrants on the basis of 1 rights share for every 10 existing OCK shares held at a minimum issue price of RM0.20 per rights share, together with 1 free warrant for every 1 rights share subscribed. The Group made a net profit of RM6.6m (+23% YoY) in 1QFY20. Based on consensus net profit estimates of RM31m in FY Dec 2020 and RM34m in FY Dec 2021, the stock is currently trading at forward PER valuations of 15.9x this year and 14.5x next year. Technically speaking, OCK appears appealing from a risk-reward perspective. After sliding from a recent high of RM0.615 on 11 June to RM0.515 currently, its shares are now trading near the key support level of RM0.48 (as identified from the Fibonacci retracement line of 50%). On the back of a likely share price recovery, the stock could climb to our resistance target of RM0.60 (R1) initially before challenging our next resistance barrier of RM0.65 (R2). This represents upside potentials of 17% and 26%, respectively.
according to the company strong prospect...above RM 1 and more should be possible... yes...health care and glove , mask ....are all important... but when one lock down at home and work or study at home...can't live without wifi...network...so...5G launching is definite....just the matter of time...but i dont think it will delay cause china is getting stronger on 5G .
I treat ock as an ultility stock which is a slow growth stock which mean I will only buy when a value emerges. If you revisit the chart, there are plenty of opportunities to buy ock at 0.40.
Now market is hot. A lot of hot money. I expect big correction to market soon. I will only buy ock below Rm0.30-0.35. Don’t be surprised if I can buy ock at that price when market is tumbling.
Slow growth stock shall only be assigned to a PE of below 10. There is no need to factor in future gain because it is still uncertain whether it can get the so called big national contract,
OCK Group Bhd (June 7, 46 sen) Maintain buy with a lower target price (TP) of 70 sen: Our TP is derived from a fully diluted earnings per share of 2.8 sen pegged at a price-to-earnings ratio (PER) of 25 times. We retain our positive outlook on OCK as a group despite a slower-than-expected roll-out of its tower business order book.
Risks include i) further slowdown in the roll-out of towers, ii) competition for solar projects, and iii) increased borrowing and finance costs.
Year-on-year revenue increased RM5.98 million (+6.1%) from RM97.5 million to RM103.5 million, from higher overall sales in each of its business segments. Profit before tax (PBT) fell 6.4% as margins narrowed, accentuated by the accounting impact of Malaysian Financial Reporting Standard 16 (MFRS 16) on depreciation and amortisation and finance cost.
Profit after tax (PAT) fell, attributed to the inclusion of unrealised foreign exchange gains of RM2.2 million in the first quarter of financial year 2018 (1QFY18). Factoring this out, PAT has gone up 39.6% from a lower PAT in 1QFY18 of RM4.8 million to RM6.7 million in 1QFY19.
Quarter-on-quarter revenues fell 23.1% to RM103.5 million from RM134.5 million, and PBT clocked a decrease of 37.7% from RM13.2 million to RM8.2mil caused by the adoption of MFRS 16 and coupled with lower segment sales from telecommunication network services, trading, and mechanical and electrical engineering services.
Sales revenue missed our expectations at 18.6% of our forecast. PAT for the quarter missed our forecast as well at only 19.8% of our full-year estimates. We tweak our earnings forecast downward by 12.5% as we lower our expectations, in anticipation of a slower roll-out.
The group’s outlook looks to improve with tailwinds such as the National Fiberization Connectivity Programme, and expansion of major operators’ telco infrastructure to meet growing demand.
OCK aims to maintain its status as a market leader of network-managed services, currently managing over 28,000 telco sites in Malaysia and Indonesia, as well as focus on its recurring revenue stream from its tower leasing business.
In Myanmar, OCK owns over 900 towers with a tenancy ratio of 1.4 times and targets improving that ratio to 1.6 times. The group has more than 500 telco sites outstanding in its order book.
In Vietnam, OCK owns more than 2,500 telco sites . — Inter-Pacific Research, June 4
cannot one la. you buy he sell, you buy more he sell more. other stock up very fast. turtle also slow. buy Lambo 0.01 now what price. make it easy man. pe 100 or 1000 no difference if no aggresive buyer.
Downside is low but upside as well. Not much meat for this counter. Capital intensive industry and they been raising money via new issuance share capital (i.e. private placement, rights issue) and debt just to acquire growth, but with the expense of dilution in shareholders' interests.
Some analysts placed 25x P/E ratio to arrive at their target prices. But I won't be paying that valuation unless supported by (i) high growth in both topline and bottomline (ii) scale-up easily with, minimal costs. That's not the case for OCK. And OCK is not a tech company. It is more of a telco infrastructure company.
And why their receivables keep growing every year. That's because they provide financing to their customers but this has put a burden on cash inflow of the Group. Hence, they need to incur more debt and raise more funds to stimulate growth. As for IPO listing, it would not be materialised at least a year or two
OCK couldn’t match its profit with cashflow and its dilution with issuance of new share capital to fund for expansion activities means that shareholders own less of the company than the did before (unless they bought more shares). For that reasons, despite showing growing earnings but the earnings apparently are lower quality
i found out....local research analyst are all bullshit...look at others counter ....bad or good company also fried like no body business... i have regretted to read kenanga research analysis about OCK.....maybe they are the one who sell down the stock.....very disappointed
At this crazy market.... all people who come into stock market , they are all play like they are in casino....no fundamental reason ...no strong company background, just purely follow punters words of mouth which stock to play next.... SO, Dear stockist or " Tai Lo" punter, when is OCK turn for you to fried huh?????
US economy is now powered by the global demand for technology products - from the mobile phone, computer to medical devices - thus it creates a huge stream of good earning prospects that lead to an ever-growing of US Big Tech companies like Apple, AMD, Qualcomm or the recent massive success Taiwan Semiconductor (TSMC). 5G is coming
1) Telco towers latest revenue is about RM150m (recurring) and growing about 8-10%p.a. - locked in for 10-15 years with major MNOs/Telcos (Can bring in RM2b in 10 years)
2) Solar PV revenue (also recurring) with 15-20 years of concessions to run based on old tariff (higher than new tariff), expanding with new acquisition from 6MW to 12MW.
3) Rotational themes on gloves, healthcare, tech, o&g, gold, penny stocks. Small & mid size stocks (around RM500m) and NFCP & 5G Spectrum may be next.
SOS, I have high regards for you. The info you shared have been very detailed. The only problem I have is that ock is a utility company and as such it is a slow grower. Which means it is only worth buying when it dips below Rm0.35 (undervalue Line). Then we sell when it surge about Rm0.60 (fair value)
You are right @ Misai ! I believe you have bought a lot at RM0.35...so this time round,,,need another 10 cents more, u can sell with good profit , Congratulation!
Lately, you will notice "value traded of more than 50%" stocks are concentrated on healthcare related sector (esp gloves), tech (follow NASDAQ), and penny stocks (mainly volume traded) (as well as rotational play gold, o&g, vaccine distribution, NIIS, solar, plastic, masks and many more). Very concentrated to trend play. OCK is not in the trend yet, so have to wait. Some remisiers recommends to allocate some capital to "trend play".
This book is the result of the author's many years of experience and observation throughout his 26 years in the stockbroking industry. It was written for general public to learn to invest based on facts and not on fantasies or hearsay....
holyspirit
217 posts
Posted by holyspirit > 2020-08-04 20:43 | Report Abuse
@ Stonecold: Can u elaborate more please....appreciate....