Sona-w is trading at very very very high premium of 45%!!!!!!! it has to be adjusted to 30% level i predict 2 scenario on Sona future movement
scenario 1 adjustment on warrant to 30% premium(if mother 0.45) (130% x 0.45) - 0.35 = 0.235 ideal warrant price is 0.235
scenario 2 adjustment on mother with warrant 30% premium (warrant 0.30) 0.35 + 0.30 / 1.3 = 0.50 ideal mother price is 0.50
i hope this will help a lot of newbie here, take my advice as a guide,do not simply listen to ppls buy buy buy but without any theory. now you think carefully what are the risk factors when invest in mother or son.
Harvard oh harvArd... As if the wa won't naik.. Your warrant prediction 0.235...haha...let me laugh first.... Ok ok Orait now.... You should see the sona performance as well... Not base on your calculation or crystal ball.... I agree with you bout spac... But from what I see sona should be able to perform.. So what you say bout hibiscus? Miscalculation or crystal ball to blur?
The market has given a higher premium value to SONA warrant as the market somehow had perceived that the quality of QA and the quality of its Management to be much more superior over the other SPACs listed earlier in BURSA. The general formulae on valuing warrant is only a guide but it is not an absolute truth.
all theory above are purely rubbish.... ---------- The only theory to explain this is:
"in play"-"confidence"-"gamble"-"goreng"-"before it last" ---------- because the mother is not that received well by investors or punters ----- people whom got the ipo dumped the mother as much as they can and then buying the 'sons' for what they've seen in cliq before...so they're following this pattern ...and they're hoping...and it works...the only problem is that the mother fell too much compared what happen to cliq
Guys guys guys please wake up.. If sona got monkey management that's the different stories... Failure of spac will make Malaysia look like a donkey to the world.. Among all the SPAC.. Sona is the only one that will prosper in future in terms of projects and revenue.. Look at Hadian the honest kampung boy...he will prove he can do it...
May be dr Kim ,Artbox,stone nut all 3 names are same person ! One promote in i3 and one promote in investlah Newbie better don't believe them, I think harvard57 is more neutral n make sense he don't simply talk. I recall harvard57 keep remind us to jump ship from cliq n csl 2 weeks ago.I took his advice on puncak-wb n make 10 sen liow.
Harvard57 2 scenario above also make sense,what he said is if we buy sona w at this level is high risk, I think he suggest us to buy mother which has has less downside risk,and upside potential to 50 cts
Dato kim is DR KIM.... Dr Kim sold all his warrant now bang bang his head regretting.. Now holding mother... But is ok Dato Kim or tan Sri Kim whatever.. Now wa 30 cents super cheap..still can buy!
His job is to promote sona only mah He don't hav any knowledge on share but keep talking on sona bcos he ham tam Last week!! If Monday sona-w correction 15% sure he talk more n ask to buy buy buy buy buy buy buy only He use artbox name in investlah also taking rubbish, one day say sell sell sell sell, when ppl said good buy then he change his principle buy buy buy buy I think stone nut also busuk now n need to change name again ! Ki ki
Hmmm no matter what... This sona really got potential... Don't talk bad bout it... Face the reality. If they got good business deal or projects.. Share sure naik one...
Guys guys.. I want to bang bang my head thousands time... Hadian management will secure very very big projects k? Trust the kampung boy and power girl maznah...
Both are equally good, if we based on the promoter or management of company who are all experience and experts in their own fields. However, they do not have track records on doing business yet. In order to make money, you must have good business sense and able to take calculated risk. Many of our tycoons are not experts but they have excellent business sense.
Okay, now should we buy Sona or Sona-W.
It all depends on your risk appetite. Sona for lower risk and lower returns or lower losses. Sona-w for higher risk and higher returns or higher losses.
Let's take an example of both Sona & Sona-W gaining 20 cts by end August and calculate the returns. Sona - 0.45 + 0.20 / 45 = 44 % return Sona-w - 0.305 + 0.20 / 0.305 = 66 % return.
Sona-w provide higher returns with much smaller capital. But, warrant shares are not guaranteed. However, Sona shares are guaranteed 90 pct of the IPO prices if the company is unable to find a QA in 3 years. Warrant shares are not entitled to dividend if any. (Guess Sona won't be paying dividend for another few years).
Let's compared Sona-W with Cliq.
Sona-w 0.305 + 0.350 (ex price ) = 0.655 Premium over Sona 0.655 - 0.450 = 0.205
Cliq-w 0.40 + 0.50 (ex price ) = 0.90 Premium over Cliq 0.90 - 0.705 = 0.195
The difference is only 0.01 cts.
Please do not compared with Hibiscus-w due to the warrant having about 1 year to maturity. Therefore to buy Sona or Sona-w all depends on your risk appetite.
Wishing all my friend Selamat Hari Haya and Happy Holidays.
to brilliant guys harvard57 and datukim...could you presents scenarios for hibiscus..and from your smart calculation does hibiscus justify current price RM 1.44 mother and RM0.99 for warrant
People chasing sonia for it's soon to be announced QAs. What ever scenario and calcalation you put forward won't count. Of course ...use your logiclah..if assets aquired by sonia give a good profit..ppl chasing for it and price will go up. I believe the management of sonia before they put forward this spac for listing..they already had in mind of good oil and gas assets that ready to be aquired. To non believer and pretend you are oldie in the market you better wait for QA .....I am afraid you will go to Pulau pinang bridge and jump..regretting on this beautiful SONIA
Guys, it's funny you are arguing over paying a premium for a SPAC counter. Please bear in mind that there is NO fundamental (yet), and you can't use the conventional calculation and argue that Sona-WA is at a PREMIUM over its mother share. SPAC has got no business, no cashflow, no balance sheet, no P&L and etc. This has everything to do with VALUE of the the future business and on its Qualifying Acquisitions. So if you were to ask me, Sona-WA is going to fly. Not convinced? Pull out Hisbiscus-WA and Cliq-WA chart and take a look for yourself. Mark my words, it will go further after Raya. My call? RM 0.35 and above, at least. Happy trading!
not a single concrete and valid info...just gorrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrreng :) . and people like fried stock...fingers lickin good...just don't eat ayam tak sembelih sudalah
Anbz.. I'm not sure bout other industries but for Q&G industries.. Wages is normal even for small time engineers.. Maybe RM20k per month per person... Those who operates ROV remote offshore vehicle the salary is bout RM200000 per month!!!! So back to directors salary.. Are they justified? For O&G industries the ANSWER IS YES YES!!! Don't forget the salaries is based on MAlaysia ringgit if converted to US dollars is just peanuts salaries. The salary is truly justified and nothing To fuss about... The writer who wrote this really know nothing... He should see the whole picture.. Do survey first before published it.
Air.... I not only want to work with my monkeys friend.. I want to be monkey in Q&G as well.. Climb up and down of the oil platform and earn $$$$$$$$$$$$$$... Who says pay peanuts get monkeys? Hahahaha wohohohoho
Derick, my brother working as GM also got RM40K per month..... Why not those SONA directors? I really can't focus what focus Malaysia talking bout... With no business going on maybe you doubt... What bout hibiscus? Hibiscus got operation going on what you gonna say? Maybe the author never see big salary people before... Or he got jealous with people got high pay... But those are experts.. They deserve to be paid that way... Can you pay ah jib gor RM3k for his services to our country? No way right?.... Just a say from heart.. No offense....
Let us get the basics right...If you pay peanuts you get monkeys running the show. As an investor, I will be extremely concerned in paying peanuts to get monkeys running the show. As you all know ..Monkeys are just plain MONKEYs and if you pay for MONKEYS to be in Management, then you better cut your loss.
So what is the big problem in paying for TALENTS????
Agreed. SONA management is top class and moreover BURSA has much much more stringent criterion in listing of SPACS..so the decision is very clear. Invest with top class management as top class management will deliver the goods unlike MONKEYS in management...
This book is the result of the author's many years of experience and observation throughout his 26 years in the stockbroking industry. It was written for general public to learn to invest based on facts and not on fantasies or hearsay....
Harvard57
495 posts
Posted by Harvard57 > 2013-08-09 22:49 | Report Abuse
Sona-w is trading at very very very high premium of 45%!!!!!!!
it has to be adjusted to 30% level
i predict 2 scenario on Sona future movement
scenario 1 adjustment on warrant to 30% premium(if mother 0.45)
(130% x 0.45) - 0.35 = 0.235
ideal warrant price is 0.235
scenario 2 adjustment on mother with warrant 30% premium (warrant 0.30)
0.35 + 0.30 / 1.3 = 0.50
ideal mother price is 0.50
i hope this will help a lot of newbie here, take my advice as a guide,do not simply listen to ppls buy buy buy but without any theory.
now you think carefully what are the risk factors when invest in mother or son.