What Putin said was all oil producers including US shale oil, Canada, Mexico .... should cut their production to lift oil prices. If the US only wants a free ride, there is probably no agreement in sight.
His decision to tariff import of oil might bring the Petro-Dollar to an end. Why must OPEC price their oil in USD when US tariff their oil ?
By 1975, all of the OPEC nations had agreed to price their own oil supplies exclusively in U.S. dollars in exchange for weapons and military protection.
This petrodollar system, or more simply known as an “oil for dollars” system, created an immediate artificial demand for U.S. dollars around the globe. And of course, as global oil demand increased, so did the demand for U.S. dollars.
If the Petro-Dollar comes to an end, the Fed would no longer have a free hand in printing USD.
If you compare Covid-19 infection rate between Asean Countries( Singa, Malai, Thai ) and Wuhan, Itali, Spain, LA and New York----the infection Rate is 10X faster / Deadlier in Colder Countries. USA is entering Summer / Spring (April), and CDC list Louisiana as next epi-centre will verify whether Hot weather Delay infection rate
I think USA will take a glancing Blow instead of a Direct Hit like Italy and Spain. Economy should recover much faster than most economist expectation. Come Sept (winter), alot of vaccine will be ready( emergency used) and many Treatment Drugs are readily available by then---- Looking at Wuhan, i don't think USA will achieve V-shape recovery, certainly not L-shape bcos got 2.2Trillion stimulus----somewhere in between 2019-----Oil should price around $40--50 for very long Time-----Buy Very Big CC suv next year (no sub,sub Compact Car )
WASHINGTON (Reuters) - It is illegal for oil producers to meet to discuss pushing up oil prices under U.S. antitrust law, but perfectly legal if state regulators or the federal government set lower production levels for them, U.S. antitrust experts said on Friday.
That said, the decision by a Texas state official to talk with Saudi Arabia and Russia about supporting oil prices marks a sharp contrast with U.S. policy. A year ago President Donald Trump tweeted that OPEC needed to "increase the flow of oil. World Markets are fragile, price of Oil getting too high."
A two-thirds drop in oil prices in the last three months has swiftly changed Washington's thinking on whether or not it should meddle in the energy market.
Trump has called on top producers to stop a market rout caused by the coronavirus pandemic, as OPEC and its allies work on a deal for an unprecedented oil production cut equivalent to around 10% of global supply.
"Trump himself, other federal officials, and Congress cannot violate antitrust (law) by any official actions they take. It doesn't apply to them," said Chris Sagers, who teaches antitrust at the Cleveland-Marshall College of Law.
When oil prices are high, anti-OPEC bills, nicknamed NOPEC, gained traction in Congress. The bills would allow OPEC to be sued in U.S. courts for violating antitrust laws.
Such bills have been introduced in the U.S. Senate and House of Representatives for more than a decade, but have never succeeded. In February 2019, the latest version was approved by the House Judiciary Committee.
"From an antitrust perspective, businesses have been complaining about OPEC and complaining about these foreign systems for years," said Barbara Sicalides, an antitrust expert at Pepper Hamilton LLP. "I don't think it's an antitrust violation. It's certainly a change in policy."
Oil prices have fallen to around $20 per barrel from nearly $65 at the start of the year as more than 3 billion people went into a lockdown, reducing global oil demand by as much as a third.
Texas regulator Ryan Sitton, one of three members of the Texas Railroad Commission, waded into oil diplomacy on Thursday, calling Russia's energy minister to discuss possible oil production curbs and angling for talks with Saudi Arabia as many producers in the U.S. state's biggest industry warned it was near collapse.
The Oklahoma Energy Producers Alliance has urged its state's regulator to curtail crude oil production.
This kind of conduct in private industry would not be permitted, but under the state action doctrine it is allowed if it is done under the commission's authority, said Sicalides.
They will do what they intend to do...Trump wants to maintain power. History has shown that most US President last for two term. The Hidden hand will make it happen.
Remember, each US$1 per barrel increase in oil prices brings our Treasury RM300 million in revenue per year. As I mentioned earlier during USA Presidential Election year Brent Crude Oil price will bullish or add on around USD 20-25 ..so take USD 25 lowest..God Speed we will see Brent Crude Oil will be back to USD 45-USD 50 pretty soon..
The alliance (OPEC+) is tentatively aiming to hold the virtual gathering on April 9 instead of Monday as it previously intended, a delegate familiar with the matter said.
Meeting suppose on April 6 (Monday), delayed to April 9 (Thursday). So, got 3 more days for us to Sailang on O & G stocks before it’s share price spike up to sky high ! Huat ah ! Heng ah ! Ong ah !
Oil price spiked on Friday...buying frenzy will resume next week with rising optimism of an agreement among major oil producers...this time including hillbilly U.S shale...oil traders will send Brent oil price above USS40 and crude to above USD35....let's see.
On Saturday, U.S. President Donald Trump focused instead on tariffs as a response to the oil price crash.
"If I have to do tariffs on oil coming from outside or if I have to do something to protect our ... tens of thousands of energy workers and our great companies that produce all these jobs, I'll do whatever I have to do," Trump told reporters in a briefing about the coronavirus outbreak.
"The President has now told us what Plan B is: tariffs," said Robert McNally, president of Rapidan Energy Group in Bethesda, Maryland.
American import 7.9Mil Barrel / day....Saudi share: 0.430mil barrel /Day....Russian Share: 621mil barrel / Day. If Trump Hit All 7.90mil barrel / day with Tariff, basically Trump push 7.9mil Barrel Back into Open Market.....There is No more Land Oil Storage, even Tankers storage at Sea is Full. How saudi is going to pump more Oil and hope to sell when there is No demand and No storage.????
USA don't Saudi Oil, Shale Oil is a Net Export-----3.251 ( and China Got to Buy bcos Trump's Tariff on China Export is so Huge )
A 25 percent spike in oil prices in a single day is enough to make even the most cynical market observers believe a market rebound is upon us. The truth is, the movement you saw was nearly entirely sentiment-driven and has next to nothing to do with oil market fundamentals.
Oil prices shot up on Thursday on the back of a flurry of tweets from Trump and some positive noises coming out of Saudi Arabia about production cuts. But even a brief look at oil market fundamentals should be enough for market observers to understand that the current rally will be brief.
Those that have taken profits on Friday, well done. I have taken profits in quite a number of my collection of Battleships to lower my holding cost except for Dayang and Hibiscus since these two are still under collection mode.
I still believe all 3 parties will eventually comes to an agreements. Right now all these wayang is part of their negotiation strategies. So trade wisely and adapt to these developments.
Hibiscus is still Okay for Oil rebound but dayang depends on Oil Infrastructural projects( Petronas) ------no projects for next 2 years( ppl blindly believe in what yKK said ) Most of the time(99%) He sells First
@Mabel have the same view as you lady. for those collected at lower price should not be a problem but for those using margin and contra, please trade at your own risk
Yemen’s Saudi-aligned government says Houthis attacked oil pipeline pumping station in Ma’rib: Saudi Press Agency / The Mighty 790 KFGO | KFGO Thomson Reuters April 05, 2020 01:45 am
DUBAI (Reuters) - The oil ministry of the internationally-recognized, Saudi-aligned government in Yemen said on Sunday the Iran-aligned Houthi group had attacked an oil pipeline pumping station in the province of Ma'rib, the state-run Saudi Press Agency reported. The pipeline is operated by the Safer oil company, owned by Yemen's Saudi-aligned government, the agency added, without giving details on the attack. A spokesman for the Houthi group was not immediately reachable for comment.
(Reporting by Maher Chmaytelli; Editing by Mark Potter)
NEW YORK (April 6): Global benchmark oil prices traded as much as $3 a barrel lower as the market opened for Monday's trading session, reflecting fears of oversupply after Saudi Arabia and Russia postponed to Thursday a meeting about a potential pact to cut production.
I hope No Deal better then Trump will Hit Saudi and Russian with 100% Tariffs And All their US customers will be replaced with Other Suppliers. The moment Saudi is Hit with Tariff, Singapore and China Buyers will request similar Discounts (bcos there are No more storage at Sea and Land )-----No Buyers are hurry to Buy Bcos No Demand anyway
This book is the result of the author's many years of experience and observation throughout his 26 years in the stockbroking industry. It was written for general public to learn to invest based on facts and not on fantasies or hearsay....
Junichiro
2,063 posts
Posted by Junichiro > 2020-04-04 09:59 | Report Abuse
What Putin said was all oil producers including US shale oil, Canada, Mexico .... should cut their production to lift oil prices. If the US only wants a free ride, there is probably no agreement in sight.
His decision to tariff import of oil might bring the Petro-Dollar to an end. Why must OPEC price their oil in USD when US tariff their oil ?