Bplant fundamentally is a good company, I think at most it will go back to the price before it being pushed up by sharks to dispose at higher price since 2-3 weeks ago
"Prospects for Rest of the Year The Group’s profitability for this year is dependent on the price direction for CPO and crop production. Palm oil production in the first Quarter of 2023 had been adversely impacted by the heavy rainfall and flooding phenomenon in parts of Malaysia. However, CPO production is forecasted to trend higher in second half of 2023 following the expected improvement in weather condition in the months ahead. Palm oil prices remained favourable in the first Quarter of 2023 driven by lower production of other vegetable oil in Ukraine due to ongoing war with Russia, rising biodiesel demand and increase in edible oil imports by China, among others. Nevertheless, CPO prices are forecasted to weaken in the second half of 2023 due to expected higher CPO production season, high inventory level and subdue demand. The Group is optimistic that the gradual return of foreign workers would lift the FFB yield, which could partially offset the impact of lower CPO prices and rising costs. "
Higher production in 2H23, higher production=lower CPO price. No mention of 2Q23 production and CPO price though, well what is known is Apr production MT and what’s the CPO price 1 Apr till 26 May. Not hard to calculate Q223 profit/loss. Inventory value write down will be a pain too. My personal opinion, Sarawak plantation land need to get rid asap, perhaps to those suitors which have a strong footprint in Sarawak…
No, the price spread between soya vs CPO is already very narrow, hence CPO movement is limited, if CPO price go up somemore buyers will buy Soya instead
brian, I'm inclined to believe your suggestion particularly today's movement of this counter. This leads to the next question: How high are they going to push it up? Your best guess.
I still think that LTAT will soon monetize the deep value Bplant . Plantation is not yielding a resonable and sustainable return to them and furthermore they don’t have expertise to manage plantation business or any businesses for the matter.. LTAT will eventually be a diversified portfolio investor like EPF and PNB.
Plantation counters are up broadly, only thing is bplant up more than others. If there are insider news, the price won’t be slam down the day before and fly the next day. There are sharks at play. Only they know what’s the target price. But 1 thing for sure, Q2 results will be red.
for a transaction to complete, there must be a willing seller, matched with willing buyer... for sure if enbloc sales, there will be no takers due to Sarawak and Sabah (Dutaland), plantation outlook are not looking good in the near term too... thus land sales can only happen for peninsula piece by piece... and for purpose other than plantation...
Brian, I agree en bloc sale of land is near implausible. Insiders definitely knows something we don't. We can only play the guessing game at this juncture. My suspicion is LTAT is increasing its stake from the open market.
I have never seen such trades on BPlant shares since it was relisted! It started in May. Pushed price up to 0.79. Dumped down to 0.68 and announced a sen dividend. Further dumping down to 0.64 before it make a complete turnaround in less than 24 hours! Unusual times. I am holding onto my shareholding very tightly.
Hi Lube, LTAT had too easy time taking Bstead Holdings private at low price . They think the extremely bearish Bursa now is very good timing to do on Bplant . Question is at what price ?
This is definitely an unusual market activity. Well I dumped everything and exit this counter today, getting nett 13% returns over 1.5 years with this counter (when i bought at the high 84 cents and getting the high dividends as well). But I will still pay very close attention to this counter, could enter again when the price hit sub-70 cents 😁
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brianklc
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Posted by brianklc > 2023-05-25 12:47 | Report Abuse
Bplant fundamentally is a good company, I think at most it will go back to the price before it being pushed up by sharks to dispose at higher price since 2-3 weeks ago