btw, excess cash means you can take away the cash and the business still operates as per normal. In other words, the company can declares a special dividend of 10c per share, and it still can operates to generate 4c eps annually.
How much shares can RM29.8mil buy? From 46c to 66c, take the mean price of 56c, it can buy 53.2 mil shares. That is about 17% of the total o/s shares of 298 mil. I am very sure, before it can buy 5% of total shares, the stock price already reach 66c.
It is indeed very frustrating that stock price of such a good company is so depressed, until 40% below its fair value. Small investor who are in need of money have to force sell at such a depressed prices.
The only option to solve such problem is to exercise your right as a shareholder, to request the board to approve stock buy back (SBB).
How SBB can regulate stock price to its fair value?
Let says the board had approved a SBB fund of RM3mil. It can break into equal portion for 12 months, or into 26 portions biweekly. So each month, it has RM250k for SBB. CFO can determine the fair value of the company stock price quarterly, let say 66c. If stock price fall below 10% of the fair value, i.e. <=60c, the SBB will exercise the allocated fund Rm250k to buy the company share. RM250k can buy ~446k shares at 60c (or ~543k@46c). If stock price recover above the fair value, the company can sell back the shares in open market to restore the SBB fund with at least 10% profit.
If SBB fund had used up, each year the board can determine if additional fund be added. Until the total SBB fund buy up 10% of company shares (i.e. max. allow).
This way, SBB stimulates stock trading activities periodically and hence acts to restore stock price to an acceptable level, says 60c, rather then lets it depressed until 45c because of low participants.
How SBB can regulate stock price to its fair value?
Let says the board had approved a SBB fund of RM3mil. It can break into equal portion for 12 months, or into 26 portions biweekly. So each month, it has RM250k for SBB. CFO can determine the fair value of the company stock price quarterly, let say 66c. If stock price fall below 10% of the fair value, i.e. <=60c, the SBB will exercise the allocated fund Rm250k to buy the company share. RM250k can buy ~446k shares at 60c (or ~543k@46c). If stock price recover above the fair value, the company can sell back the shares in open market to restore the SBB fund with at least 10% profit.
If SBB fund had used up, each year the board can determine if additional fund be added. Until the total SBB fund buy up 10% of company shares (i.e. max. allow).
This way, SBB stimulates stock trading activities periodically and hence acts to restore stock price to an acceptable level, says 60c, rather then lets it depressed until 45c because of low participants.
QR as expected, on track for annual eps = ~4c. Sufficient for a 2.8c dividend payout (70% payout). Yield=6% at current price of 46c, or 4% at fair value of 66c.
Not too bad as revenue had sustained. Coming quarters should see better results as: 1) CPO production is rising and plantation companies are increasing their capital expenditure again. 2) New Perak factory in operation.
Hi CentnSenses - I thought a significant chunk of the cash came from IPO proceeds. Hence, that is part of the equity which I suspect that they will be doing share buyback. *Correct me if I am wrong*
The company generate >10mil in profit each year. 70% as dividend. 30% as SBB. That is perfectly viable. The size of SBB can be adjust as feasible to its financial capability. There is no need to add new SBB fund each year, only depend on market condition, and once allocated need not necessarily use up either. Company can set the policy on how this SBB operates.
I am opposing SBB to chase up stock prices to unfair level. But under highly depressed price, such as now ~40% below fair value, why not allocate some fund for SBB? SBB will be profitable, and eventually shareholders get the benefit too. After all, SBB is a legitimate tool to ensure stock price are fairly reflecting company's fundamental. Most listed companies have SBB.
Yes, IPO proceeds are not meant for SBB. I read somewhere, said SBB fund can be allocated from company reserves (i.e. retained earnings). This company has tons of it.
I do not agree to use SBB to regulate the share price, company shouldnt involve in price regulation. SBB should be use on reducing the market total share (buy and cancel it, leads to increase in EPS) or treasury shares to give as bonus share to shareholder in the future.
Those are just a few ways to treat SBB. I did come across some company resale SBB share back to open market. It followed with a bursa announcement. It's all pure accounting. It depends on how you want to manage and use it.
Compare with other business undertaking such as operation expansion, or buying stake on other companies, SBB is like investing in itself. It showed "the company has great confidence in itself." It sends strong signal to investors.
What will go wrong if you buy a company with good fundamental at a "great discount"? I am sure the accountant know how to make the best of it.
Whether the board will approves SBB, let the shareholders decide.
i bet those companies which are buying and selling their own share is not a fundamentally strong companies.
Good company won't buy and sell their own share, they put their focus in the business instead of their own share price.
Pecca has SBB policy, but with good intention: buy back 10% shares from market and waive it. This is indirectly increase the EPS by 10% OR reduce the PE by 10% OR extra 10% of the dividend. Whatever it is, the shareholders know the benefit is coming in the future.
So shareholders should ONLY support SBB for 1. collect and waive 2. collect and give to shareholders as bonus share
Is a no no for price regulation. If the stock is under value, it will goes back to its fair value, just a matter of time. THE MARKET IS ALWAYS CORRECT. 0.455 is the "fair" value for DANCO given by the market at the moment.
By looking at the volume, I would say this is the consolidation period for DANCO before it flies. Be patience and we shall be rewarded.
This book is the result of the author's many years of experience and observation throughout his 26 years in the stockbroking industry. It was written for general public to learn to invest based on facts and not on fantasies or hearsay....
FlyFlewFlown
50 posts
Posted by FlyFlewFlown > 2017-11-06 16:54 | Report Abuse
Rubish ctr.
Thanks to Bursa Blue Ocean,promoted when 0.75
First class to Holland