I project next year nett profit of about 25mil. 25mil divided by 625mil shares, it is about 4sen in EPS! With 30% dividend policy, you get 1.2sen in dividend.
1.2 divided by 24sen, you 5% in dividend yield!
At 4sen EPS and PE of 8 times, you get target price of 32sen!
DIRECTORS’ SHAREHOLDINGS (As per the Register of Directors’ Shareholdings) Direct Interest Indirect Interest No. of No. of Name of Directors Shares % Shares % Cheah Ham Cheia – – 323,750,000 (1) 51.80
MR CHEAH JUN KAI 03-Dec-2018 Acquired 20,000 0.275 View Detail MR CHEAH JUN KAI 30-Nov-2018 Acquired 50,000 0.270 View Detail MR CHEAH JUN KAI 30-Nov-2018 Acquired 30,000 0.270 View Detail MR CHEAH JUN KAI 15-Oct-2018 Acquired 100,000 0.300
B3. Prospects for the Current Financial Year GDB is on track to deliver stronger profitability in the financial year ending 31 December 2018 in line with the construction progress of our ongoing projects. GDB’s order book stood at a healthy level of RM613.74 million as at 30 September 2018. The sizeable order book provides positive earnings visibility until third quarter of the financial year ending 31 December 2020, and comprise ongoing projects namely AIRA Residence in Damansara Heights and Menara Hap Seng 3 within the Kuala Lumpur city centre. While we are seeing a slowdown in the construction sector, we remain optimistic on our prospects to secure new contracts due to our track record for delivering projects ahead of contractual completion dates, while adhering to stringent quality and safety standards. GDB will also aim to enhance the competitiveness of its bids in view of the current challenging operating environment.
past 4 quarters Total EPS 5.25 cent. Let say earning maintain around that figure, with 30% dividend payout, it will translate to 6.2% at current price? But of course pre requisite is that they manage to maintain same amount of profit for the next few quarters
A rising ROE suggests that a company is increasing its ability to generate profit without needing as much capital. ... Likewise, a high level of debt can artificially boost ROE; after all, the more debt a company has, the less shareholders' equity it has (as a percentage of total assets), and the higher its ROE is.
GDB is a high ROE company! The surprise thing is achieving it without much borrowings!
The following was i wrote in respond to Bursa999 at the AirAsia forum lately!
Thank you for pointing out on the startup valuation! Not sure about snapchat case though as i did not follow in this case! If you are referring to GDB case, a counter which i like, i can talk a bit on this!
One of the main thing i like about GDB is the 30% dividend policy! A small start up company committing to pay dividend right at the start! This is rare!
As an investor, i like the idea of getting paid via dividends while waiting for the company to grow! Most companies don't normally pay dividends at the start up phase, including AirAsia!
If you read GDB IPO prospectus, my view is that their growth strategy plan is just a very natural progression to grow in a construction business, nothing fancy or overstated there! Of course the jury is still out there if they can successful or not in their growth plan. In the high rise segment, which is their current experty, they are doing quite well. You can compare GDB with some of the other construction counters especially on their profit margin! Having a reputation of always completing projects ahead is not an easy task! It gave me a hint on their management strength! This i hope to follow up in later AGMs.
An interesting metric i noted on GDB is their high ROE! It will be great if they can maintain it! GDB is like AirAsia, a high ROE company!
The IPO price was 35sen! At current depressed market, the weak ones are being shakened out! Since IPO listing in April, some buyings by GDB directors offer some idea of what the insiders think on what it is worth! You can do some homework to check out!
GDB have enough orders in hand to last them at least in the next two years! As an investors i am willing to sit out with them but with a reasonable dividend, this is supported by their 30% dividend policy! They have paid 1.0sen interim in first half, indicating there is a 2nd dividend in second half!
GDB is an ACE counter, which i hope they can be in the main board in 3 to 5 years!
Why dividends matter Buy low, sell high is the most commonly heard philosophy in investing. Of course, it is the most obvious way to make money. But to be honest, how many can really time the market accurately every time?
How many can predict the share price accurately by buying at the lowest and selling at the highest consistently?
There are so many investors who thought that the stock they bought was at the lowest price but it went down even lower.
Well, there is no doubt that buying low and selling high will make you money but it is not the only way; you can make money from dividends as well.
In the previous issue, we discussed the five simple steps before you invest in dividend companies. Now, we will share with you the power of dividends.
How do you take advantage of dividends?
The company you own pays you dividends for being patient. In other words, dividends allow you to generate cash flow even without the need to sell the stock.
However, to make superior profits through dividends, you have to understand compounding.
“Compound interest is the eighth wonder of the world. He who understands it, earns it. He who doesn’t, pays it.” – Albert Einstein
That’s the power of compounding.
When you receive dividends, you have the option to either spend them or reinvest them. If you choose to reinvest the dividends, you will then have more stocks which in turn pay you more dividends.
By consistently reinvesting these dividends, you will then experience the compounding effect on your net worth.But this is easier said than done. It takes time to achieve and requires tremendous patience.
That is why most investors are unable to generate profits consistently because they sell too early to have compounding on their side.
Dividends can help you eliminate risks
To demonstrate this, let’s quickly examine a well-known local company called Hup Seng Industries. It has a simple business model in manufacturing and selling biscuits, beverages and confectionery in Malaysia.
Imagine you invested in Hup Seng 10 years ago, in December 2008, at about 14 sen a share and you have held it until today. The shows the dividends you would have enjoyed every year.
Just by collecting dividends alone, you would have received a total of 38.1 sen for every share.
Meaning, by investing RM140,000 10 years ago, you would now have got back RM381,000 of dividends, passive income! Your return on investment (ROI) on dividend alone will be 272%.
And how does dividend eliminate risks? Remember that the maximum risk an investor is facing is the capital put into the stock.
If you have invested RM140,000 and gotten RM381,000 in dividends, what is your risk now?
None because you have collected all your capital back from the dividends.
Dividends set you free
Today, many among us are looking for a way to be financially free. We start a business, start direct selling or even do odd jobs just to increase our income.
However, what many do not pay attention to is that dividends are the easiest and purest way for anyone to attain financial freedom and build their stream of passive income.
All you need to do is buy some shares of dividend companies and the passive income starts immediately with no additional work.
But some would lament that the amount is not enough. If you had bought Hup Seng at 14 sen a share back then in 2008, you would only be getting 0.06 sen in dividends for the entire year or a 4.3% dividend yield on your investment.
Let’s be honest; a 4.3% yield is not excellent, because you will get about 4% by putting your money in fixed deposit. But, this is only the beginning.
Is it possible for a company to prosper over the years and reward shareholders better? Definitely!
If you have held on to Hup Seng from that time until today, instead of getting 0.06 sen in dividends, you would be getting 4 sen in dividends for the entire year.
Compared with your initial investment of 14 sen, that is a 43% dividend yield per year! Meaning, if you had invested RM140,000 10 years ago, right now you will be receiving a passive income of RM60,000 every year.
Great companies will pay you more dividend over time when they make more profits. Your only job is to invest in these companies and do nothing.
You do not need to actively monitor the share price. Patience is a virtue, precisely, in investing.
What if you have even reinvested those dividends you have collected? And the best part – these dividends are tax-free!
Conclusion
Still, most investors lose money in the stock market. The biggest reason lies in their emotional stability.
Remember, the skillset to identify and invest in great companies is only a small piece of the puzzle. The biggest piece lies in your own emotional stability.
Investing is not a destination but a journey. To generate massive wealth is to invest in great companies and most importantly, to have the patience, giving time for them to grow.
Now, imagine you own a cow, a cow that will generate you passive in
Risk and rewards of this company were good...support at 22sen, 1st resistance 25sen, currently trading at 22.5sen... consolidation breakout 25sen, TP 27.5/ 29.5sen from a technical point of view...
If applied EPS of 5sen (easily can be achieved in 2019F), applied with forward PE of 8, the fair value should be traded at 40sen (IPO price = 35sen)... This is just a simple calculation, the forward PE of 8 (current PE = 4.94) was given due to its grade G7 license approved and Building Information Modelling...
Disclaimer: Buy/Sell on your own risk, this is a low market floatage counter...
one more information, they are being invited to tender... at the same time, they also rejected some because there are too many for them to handle... they are experiencing increased (invitations), some of the jobs are also even larger....
This is what the founder says during the press conference after AGM, can try to check see whether got any video...
I am concerning of oversupply of high-end properties as well, but GDB is different from other, they are construction services provider...if you check back their track record in this company or the previous companies (Perdana builders berhad), you will know the founders are not simple...
just my 2 cents...
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This book is the result of the author's many years of experience and observation throughout his 26 years in the stockbroking industry. It was written for general public to learn to invest based on facts and not on fantasies or hearsay....
Nottoogreedy
37 posts
Posted by Nottoogreedy > 2018-12-12 15:08 | Report Abuse
Lets see how low it can go, hehe