Damien88. I am OMH investor but your passion to speculate pmetal has desire for OMH is pure bias imagination. Do you know top glove investors also imagine that the top glove multi billions cash in hand could and would take over bankings in malaysia. Such imagination is only understandable as it soothes our pain. Anyway, OMH cannot be compared to glove since today is just the first day which broke its support line while glove is achieving continous new low.
I have no idea about the shares, I do only know the TA knowledge, at this current price, will continue down, can't see any support on the share by the operator. Almost 1 week of broke Fibonacci Support Levels.
It has broken EMA10, 20 and sitting on EMA30. 3 black crows is shown now and whether it ends the day as 3 black crows remain to be seen. I queued last week but did not hit my EP, am sidelined for now.
macro environment on commodities at china temporary dissappear to make way for winter olympic and keep resident warm.
OMH investor relation didnt even bother (not compulsory) to disclose the Q3 profit (see elkem), by any mean, but however very honest throw out manpower issue and nexr quarter production might reduce
all this create uncertainty for operator to further drag down the sp.
if it break rm3, its accumulation time again. by end dec 21, think should have another investor briefing, to look at glimpse of Q3 result.
for short term gain, i would advice to look at CMSB (audit report out soob), cement price is raising by nov 21, and budget table on friday.
i myself still hold both. TA for OMH is weak for now, partly due to above.
nagasaran93: If you are a trader, today opening sould sell already since you aready knew aus OMH fell and huge sell q at opening. But if you are an investors then you already know, it is a very normal and common for a stock to go sideway for 6months or more.
Looks like a bumper profit day for the short seller. Although the ferroalloy prices are at record level, the short seller can still bring the prices down from RM 4, that’s quite some thing.
Today is purely sentiment reacting to the news that China is putting a cap to the coal prices. While fesi futures in China fell in tandem with coal futures, the actual spot international prices still remain somewhat stable of above $3,000/tonne (still higher compared to historical prices). Fundamental is still intact. Ferroalloy supply remains tight globally. Nothing major change. OMH will benefit greatly. Time to collect more on such a cheap price!
i tot OMH would follow KLSE SC and release Qr report in term of profit....
bryah exploration (core studies, est 3 mth) should have some good news soon....may be that will help spike up a bit.
haiz.....dont know how IR work, u flash out all the down side (manpower) until next qr, but then u didnt show the upside (how much u earn this qr and how much will u eaen next qr, is it a record)
u just give the operator the upper hand to further collect....oh well
If you look at the management compensation of good progressive companies with outstanding shareholder returns (div and share price), their payout are linked to shareholder returns. management n shareholder interests are aligned
OMH Chairman/CEO and directors incentive payout is based on profit and is not tied directly to shareholder returns (ie Div, Share Price, Market Cap). The incentive to work on share price and shareholder values may not be the top priority of the CEO. Whether shareholder values is up or down, will not impact CEO incentive payout, while shareholders values may stay stagnant or even drop. I fully support profit incentive for the CEO but the incentive is missing out the element that links directly in to shareholder values. The incentive to invest in IR and create shareholder value may not be as strong or given equal emphasis. Also share buyback will give tremendous value to all shareholders but have been resisted by management/directors, wonder why when it is in the interest of all.
Two possible reason (1) short seller or (2) Takeover given how cheap the company is now. Bring down to making takeover offer at a lower price is clever strategy.
Most shareholders, I believe would welcome a new shareholder who may give the stock a booster.
Current management looks a bit ‘worn out’, and the existing shareholders also equally ‘worn out’ waiting too long for disappointing shareholder returns which looks very illusive under current team.
@Damien88 the average short volume of OMH in the ASX is not even 0.1% of its shares in issue over the past few months and furthermore it is not on Bursa's permitted shorts list so where is this impression of short selling pushing down OM's price coming from?
Have not reach the bottom. Those with caiptal can hold. I think the bottom is in next few days or weeks. Stock most important aspect is trend. Dont fight with trend as an upward moving stock will reward those who buy.
I can now see why PMetal is worth so much more than OMH despite the fact that OMH might make even more profit than PMetal. It all boils than to management. PMetal investors trust that PMetal management will take care of shareholders and has consistently increase the shareholder values for all shareholders – this is the “Prosperity for all” mentality.
But if you look at OMH, share prices has been tumbling down 30-35% for the past month and it is even lower than 10 years ago. You can see how shareholder value has been eroded despite skyrocketing ferroalloy prices. The Chairman incentive payout is linked solely to profitability but no direct linkage to shareholder values (such as share price, market cap or dividend). Even though, some shareholders have called for share buyback, it is resisted by management as share price is not a determinant of Chairman incentive payout. many shareholders suffer – this is the “Prosperity for one” mentality.
Softbank announced share buyback lately, and the share price jump by 11%. It still puzzles me why the management is resisting share buyback scheme that benefits all shareholders and signals to the market that the share price is undervalued.
Share buyback is when you are in net cash and no future investment plan. OMH is net debt and if they can generate operating cashflow, it should go for debt repayment. The interest saving go back to shareholder value indirectly. Hope it clarify that one strategy do not fit all
This book is the result of the author's many years of experience and observation throughout his 26 years in the stockbroking industry. It was written for general public to learn to invest based on facts and not on fantasies or hearsay....
DarenWai
351 posts
Posted by DarenWai > 2021-10-28 10:24 | Report Abuse
Damien88. I am OMH investor but your passion to speculate pmetal has desire for OMH is pure bias imagination. Do you know top glove investors also imagine that the top glove multi billions cash in hand could and would take over bankings in malaysia. Such imagination is only understandable as it soothes our pain. Anyway, OMH cannot be compared to glove since today is just the first day which broke its support line while glove is achieving continous new low.