WahLau Backtesting
"Sell In May And Go Away" "5窮". Can we use it in KLSE? Ver.2
I start it with interesting chart. It come with 2 side of views.
1st with S&P 500 average rolling. http://ekonomiorangwarasdaninvestasi.blogspot.com/2016/05/sell-in-may-and-go-away.html
2nd https://www.zerohedge.com/news/2018-05-07/trader-why-sell-may-may-be-delayed-year
3rd Show some positif data for who want to continue invest in May
https://bullmarkets.co/study-why-you-shouldnt-sell-in-may-and-go-away/
4th https://www.fool.com/retirement/2018/04/23/a-foolish-take-should-you-sell-in-may-and-go-away.aspx
Below is KLSE data taken by me form 1994 until 2014
Please read my previous post (*inside got many seniors and pro/ sensei advise, example Ooi Teik Bee in comment)
https://klse.i3investor.com/blogs/Backtesting/85101.jsp
How about our KLSE results from Mar 2015 until Feb 2019??
=.=... The KLSE results no good and follow "Sell in May formula"
Jul and Dec are good months. After check 1994 until 2014 monthly and Mar 2015 - Feb 2019 chart
Which action your taken? Please leave comment.
A) Sold big amount of they share and keep they cash.
B) Buy more share due to "buy low sell high" concept.
C) Don't care about this. My buy sell fundamental, just wait and see the quarter report results.
D) Don't care about this. My buy sell base on tips.
E) Don't care about this. My buy sell base on chart or technical.
F) Other (please leave it in comment, I will update here)
All friend, senior, sifu, pro or sifu, your comment are welcome and thanks for reading it.
I wish our new government doing something for our economic (In May 2019 we will review the results after they takeover)
**Just sharing as study case and take your own risk to use it in your investment.
If you need the data, check below:
| Date | % | Point | Average % | Date | % | Point | Average % | Date | % | Point | Average % | Date | % | Point | Average % | Average % 2015 May - 2019 Feb | |
| Mar-15 | 0.53% | 9.57 | Mar-16 | 3.80% | 62.83 | Mar-17 | 2.73% | 46.32 | Mar-18 | 0.39% | 7.26 | 1.86% | |||||
| Apr-15 | -0.68% | -12.51 | Apr-16 | -2.61% | -44.86 | Apr-17 | 1.61% | 17.65 | Apr-18 | 0.37% | 6.91 | -0.33% | |||||
| May-15 | -3.89% | -70.75 | -2.23% | May-16 | -2.79% | -46.72 | -0.23% | May-17 | -0.12% | -2.19 | -0.14% | May-18 | -6.94% | -129.75 | -0.75% | -3.44% | -0.84% |
| Jun-15 | -2.34% | -40.88 | Jun-16 | 1.73% | 28.08 | Jun-17 | -0.12% | -2.2 | Jun-18 | -2.82% | -49.12 | -0.89% | |||||
| Jul-15 | 0.97% | 16.5 | Jul-16 | -0.05% | -0.82 | Jul-17 | -0.21% | -3.64 | Jul-18 | 5.48% | 92.75 | 1.55% | |||||
| Aug-15 | -6.41% | -110.4 | Aug-16 | 1.50% | 24.8 | Aug-17 | 0.75% | 13.13 | Aug-18 | 1.98% | 35.41 | -0.54% | |||||
| Sep-15 | 0.51% | 8.3 | Sep-16 | -1.52% | -25.51 | Sep-17 | -0.99% | -17.58 | Sep-18 | -1.46% | -15.44 | -0.86% | |||||
| Oct-15 | 2.76% | 44.67 | 0.42% | Oct-16 | 1.20% | 19.91 | 0.51% | Oct-17 | -0.44% | -7.66 | 1.15% | Oct-18 | -4.68% | -83.88 | -0.95% | -0.29% | 0.29% |
| Nov-15 | 0.39% | 6.45 | Nov-16 | -3.19% | -53.34 | Nov-17 | -1.72% | -30.06 | Nov-18 | -1.72% | -29.41 | -1.56% | |||||
| Dec-15 | 1.22% | 20.35 | Dec-16 | 1.40% | 22.61 | Dec-17 | 4.60% | 78.95 | Dec-18 | 0.64% | -5.76 | 1.96% | |||||
| Jan-16 | -1.46% | -24.71 | Jan-17 | 1.82% | 33.61 | Jan-18 | 3.99% | 71.77 | Jan-19 | -0.42% | -7.05 | 0.98% | |||||
| Feb-16 | -0.78% | -13.05 | Feb-17 | 1.33% | 9.84 | Feb-18 | -0.66% | 10.34 | Feb-19 | 1.44% | 24.2 | 0.33% | |||||
More articles on WahLau Backtesting
"Buy when everyone is fearful" backtesting in FKLI/ DOW 30/ HSI or SE001
Created by Wah Lau | Nov 12, 2015
Discussions
3 people like this. Showing 13 of 13 comments
qqq3 - =.=... small guy play with data
ramada - thanks you
nckcm - hope KLSE become better and better
2019-04-28 20:50
Hey you American? Y believe what people say? Maybe sell in March and go away......too late for you? Don't worry the new Malaysia will be good for everyone!
2019-04-29 10:16
Malaysia no summer holiday.
Only winter holiday meh
Bcou everyday is summer
2019-04-29 17:47
teareader818 - =.=... need keep more cash
dusti- sometime we don't follow American, they Dow 30 up from 15,000 to 25,000+. Our KLSE just up from 1,500 to 1,600+ =.=..
mamatede - Yes, many still monitoring
BifsmallTalk - Can we consider mostly Malaysia Dec Quarter Report results better than Mar Quarter Report results or get bonus to put in share? (Need time to take data to prove it =.=...)
Thanks for comments and like ^^V
2019-04-29 18:48
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2019-05-03 18:38
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2019-05-04 00:13
There is obviously a lot to know about this. I think you made some good points in Features also. Keep working, great job!
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2020-05-07 15:08
After reading your article I was amazed. I know that you explain it very well. And I hope that other readers will also experience how I feel after reading your article.
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big data guy. no play play.
2019-04-28 18:24